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The possibility of a U.S. recession

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There’s been a lot going on in markets…

It’s been a turbulent time in financial markets, to say the least.

From seeing a banking crisis sweep around the world, to a new global reserve currency start to emerge – there hasn’t been a quiet day on the market.

And there’s also a little bit of Marty McFly meets Bog Iger from Disney, as UBS appoint a former Credit Suisse CEO to help with the merger of the two banks.

AND, the possibility of a U.S. recession…

Chris Uhl from 10minutestocktrader.com joins us to discuss.

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Money

Traders bet on Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year

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Surge in Bitcoin prices follows pro-crypto political victories, with traders betting on a $100,000 milestone by year-end.

Bitcoin’s value surged past $90,000 on Wednesday, marking a record high amid investor excitement surrounding a possible cryptocurrency renaissance as Donald Trump steps into his second term as U.S. president.

The election of Trump, who has openly endorsed crypto, has sparked a 30% rise in bitcoin’s price since Election Day, boosted by the success of dozens of congressional candidates supported by crypto-friendly political action committees.

Hitting $100,000

According to Jake Ostrovskis, an OTC trader at crypto market maker Wintermute, traders are betting that Bitcoin could hit $100,000 before the end of the year, with $850 million in options contracts speculating on this milestone by December 27.

The crypto industry, which contributed around $170 million to support candidates viewed as allies, is optimistic about a wave of deregulation and favorable policies.

Trump has promised to establish a national bitcoin reserve and aims to replace SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who has led a strict regulatory approach to crypto.

With aggregate open interest on Bitcoin derivatives soaring to $61 billion, investors are increasingly bullish, betting on bitcoin’s growth via options and perpetual futures contracts.

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Money

Consumer prices rise as Fed weighs December rate cut

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Consumer prices ticked up in October, marking a slight rise after September’s 3½-year low, showing an uneven path for inflation.

Despite the bump, the increase likely won’t deter the Federal Reserve from a possible December interest-rate cut.

The Labor Department reported consumer prices were up 2.6% from a year ago, with core inflation, excluding food and energy, up 3.3%.

Steady consumer spending and hiring may fuel debate on slowing rate cuts early next year.

Investors welcomed the report, betting on a quarter-point rate cut in December.

This response reflects confidence that President-Elect Trump and the Fed will avoid early policy clashes, despite Trump’s pro-lower-rate stance.

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Money

Wall Street rallies as oil prices dip and bitcoin hits new high

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Wall Street started the week on a high note, extending last week’s rally as oil prices fell and bitcoin surged to a new record.

The Dow Jones jumped 1%, reaching over 44,000, with Tesla and big banks leading gains.

Crypto stocks soared as bitcoin hit an all-time high above $82,300, driven by optimism about lighter regulation.

Investors are also focused on upcoming inflation data, which could provide more clues about interest rates.

The dollar remained near a recent peak as Federal Reserve speakers, including Chair Jerome Powell, are set to weigh in later this week.

European markets followed suit, with the pan-European STOXX 600 rising over 1% on Monday.

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