One Nation gains momentum in Victoria, potentially shifting upper house power amid Liberal Party’s internal strife
The Victorian election could see One Nation significantly influencing the balance of power in the upper house. As the election approaches, the party is gaining momentum, potentially becoming a key player in shaping state policies.
Zareh Ghazarian, Associate Professor at Monash University, explained that One Nation is performing remarkably well in Victoria, with some polls placing it as the second most popular party after the Coalition.
This momentum could lead to a strong presence in the upper house, which, although unable to block the government’s budget, can significantly influence policy outcomes.
One Nation is doing really well in Victoria, potentially becoming a key player in shaping state policies.
Zareh Ghazarian, Associate Professor, Monash University
Impact of voting changes
Ghazarian noted that recent changes to the voting system might reduce the success of minor parties.
Voters will now have to list their candidates from one to five, potentially decreasing the chances of minor parties winning seats through preference deals.
This shift could result in major parties, along with One Nation and the Greens, holding the balance of power.
The Victorian Liberal Party, led by Jess Wilson, is also navigating internal divisions.
Ghazarian highlighted the split between socially progressive MPs and those favouring conservative policies.
This internal disunity has been a challenge, but Wilson’s leadership is seen as a new direction for the party.
Wilson’s campaign focuses heavily on her leadership, aiming to differentiate from past elections.
The strategy is to appeal to a broad range of voters, including those considering independents, the Greens, or even Labour. Ghazarian described Wilson as a popular leader, with her campaign being both professional and strong.
Looking ahead, the Victorian election remains a high-stakes event, with the potential to reshape the state’s political landscape.
The outcome will determine not only the government but also the influential voices in the upper house.
