Connect with us
https://tickernews.co/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/AmEx-Thought-Leaders.jpg

Money

The ‘huge impact’ that will cause disruption to every business until 2026

Published

on

As the war in Ukraine remains chaotic, many key industries are feeling the brunt with unintended consequences

The world is facing severe supply disruptions. However, some countries are being impacted more severely than others.

Delivery speed is a key metric in supply chains and this has never been more essential when it comes to the crisis between Russia and Ukraine.

Ukrainian forces are needing military aid as quickly as possible to combat Russian aggression – so with major disruptions, sanctions and a war, how is Ukraine getting supplies?

What differentiates military supply chains in comparison to commercial supply chains?

Peter Jones from Prological consulting joined a panel with ticker’s Brittany Coles and Holly Stearnes.

The supply chain expert says in military supply chain, it is absolutely critical that things happen the way that they are intended to happen.

Medical supply donations for Ukraine are prepared for shipment in a Vanderbilt University Medical Center warehouse off of Dayton Avenue Friday, March 11, 2022 in Nashville, Tennessee.

“It’s a very big part of alternative forces strategies to disrupt the supply chain of their particular enemy, because that means then people aren’t being fed food and water can’t get through, let alone armament and other military types of support infrastructure. So there’s actually quite a significant difference at that first base level that people’s lives are at stake,” Peter says.

He continues to say the second level is in commercial supply chains, and at war time, nations tend to “open up the chequebook and whatever is required. So from a financial perspective, that support is given as much as possible with domestic commercial supply chains, that commercial imperative always has to be considered.”

How are goods transported to Ukraine and Russia amid war?

There’s sanctions on Russia, global companies boycotting. So what does the supply chain landscape look for shipping and also air freight?

Air freight to Ukraine

Peter breaks this down to two elements.

At a local level

Peter begins with Crimea, which is basically Russia’s major gateway, into their nation, and then out of Ukraine. These local areas will be enormously disrupted.

At a global level

Peter says Russia only occupies around about one and a half percent of global movement or product in and out of Russia.

“So that global level, Russia doesn’t have a big impact in terms of the volume going through the networks, and the Ukraine is only half a percent. So at that local level, it’s enormous, because nothing can move in and out, due to ports disrupted,” he says.

“But at an international level, that factor by itself is not going to have a huge impact. The follow on to that though, where the big impact will come into global shipping is firstly, the energy crisis as this is creating.”

Energy and employment crisis brewing at ports

Ships are one of the biggest consumers of crude oil in on the globe. With Russia being the second largest exporter of oil in the world, Peter says commercial pressure on businesses will impact global trade.

On the other side, there’s employment.

According to the global shipping chamber, around 15% of global seafarers within merchant navies come from Russia, a bit over 10% and the Ukraine a little under 5%. So that’s 15% of a global employment group coming from the two countries that are in conflict.

“Global shipping lines are going to get conflicted about their ability to continue to employ the Russian employees. And the Ukrainian government more and more is bringing as many of their men back into the Ukraine to look after the nation. So those two elements with is going to have a huge impact if this conflict goes on for any length of time.”

What about China?

Peter says global shipping is still a long way from recovered from the events of 2020.

When demand around the world just fell off a cliff, the shipping lines took the opportunity to retire their old equipment, because it was coming with new taxes and fees being applied because of emissions regulations.

Lockdown fears hitting global supply chains

“So they said rather than us applying those taxes and fees, here’s an opportunity, we’ll get rid of the ships demand came back very, very quickly and unexpectedly, but the ships had been retired. So that was one of the issues that led to a lack of demand,” Peter says. “Then we put up the overlay on top of that port shutting down, empty containers being in all the wrong places. All of those issues are still very present today from COVID.”

Now with the Ukraine situation having emerged and the wash back through to China, and the things happening there, these issues are just going to amplify even further.

The question is how long is this disruption going to go for?

So with global shipping, the general thoughts were until a month ago, maybe towards the middle of 2024, q3 2024.

Peter says the industry has really been thrown a curveball due to war and further lockdowns in China.

“If the Ukraine Russia scenario lasts for many months, then that timetable is going to get pushed right out 2025/2026.”

PETER JONES

The implication to that comes back to countries being able to get what they need in order to run the nation from government perspective.

Peter is based in Australia and says he has heard of quite a lot of talk about onshoring more manufacturing and becoming more self sufficient as a nation.

“So what these issues will lead to is just that conversation being amped up again, at government level and in boardrooms as they try and work out what their risk profile looks like in terms of how long we believe this Russia and Ukraine scenario is gonna last,” Peter says.

He believed we could well see a pivoting back towards much more national security from a manufacturing and a maintaining sovereignty perspective.

Continue Reading

Money

Research shows daters are looking for solvent partners

Published

on

As the cost-of-living crisis continues to grip Australia, new research reveals a shifting landscape in the realm of dating preferences.

According to the survey conducted by eharmony, an overwhelming two-thirds of Australians are now keen to understand their potential partner’s financial situation before committing to a serious relationship.

The findings indicate a growing trend where individuals are becoming more discerning about whom they invest their affections in, particularly as the economic pressures intensify.

Read more: Why are car prices so high?

The study highlights that nearly half of respondents (48%) consider a potential partner’s debts and income as crucial factors in determining whether to pursue a relationship.

Certain types of debt, such as credit card debt, payday loans, and personal loans, are viewed unfavorably by the vast majority of respondents, signaling a preference for partners who exhibit financial responsibility.

Good debt

While certain forms of debt, such as mortgages and student loans (e.g., HECS), are deemed acceptable or even ‘good’ debt by a majority of respondents, credit card debt, payday loans (such as Afterpay), and personal loans top the list of ‘bad’ debt, with 82%, 78%, and 73% of respondents, respectively, expressing concerns.

Interestingly, even car loans are viewed unfavorably by a significant portion of those surveyed, with 57.5% considering them to be undesirable debt.

Sharon Draper, a relationship expert at eharmony, said the significance of financial compatibility in relationships, noting that discussions around money are increasingly taking place at earlier stages of dating.

“In the past, couples tended to avoid discussing money during the early stages of dating because it was regarded as rude and potentially off-putting,” Draper explains.

“However, understanding each other’s perspectives and habits around finances early on can be instrumental in assessing long-term compatibility.”

Continue Reading

Money

US energy stocks surge amid economic growth and inflation fears

Published

on

Investors are turning to U.S. energy shares in droves, capitalizing on surging oil prices and a resilient economy while seeking protection against looming inflationary pressures.

The S&P 500 energy sector has witnessed a remarkable ascent in 2024, boasting gains of approximately 17%, effectively doubling the broader index’s year-to-date performance.

This surge has intensified in recent weeks, propelling the energy sector to the forefront of the S&P 500’s top-performing sectors.

A significant catalyst driving this rally is the relentless rise in oil prices. U.S. crude has surged by 20% year-to-date, propelled by robust economic indicators in the United States and escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Investors are also turning to energy shares as a hedge against inflation, which has proven more persistent than anticipated, threatening to derail the broader market rally.

Ayako Yoshioka, senior portfolio manager at Wealth Enhancement Group, notes that having exposure to commodities can serve as a hedge against inflationary pressures, prompting many portfolios to overweight energy stocks.

Shell Service Station

Shell Service Station

Energy companies

This sentiment is underscored by the disciplined capital spending observed among energy companies, particularly oil majors such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

Among the standout performers within the energy sector this year are Marathon Petroleum, which has surged by 40%, and Valero Energy, up by an impressive 33%.

As the first-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear, with reports from major companies such as Netflix, Bank of America, and Procter & Gamble, investors will closely scrutinize economic indicators such as monthly U.S. retail sales to gauge consumer behavior amidst lingering inflation concerns.

The rally in energy stocks signals a broadening of the U.S. equities rally beyond growth and technology companies that dominated last year.

However, escalating inflation expectations and concerns about a hawkish Federal Reserve could dampen investors’ appetite for non-commodities-related sectors.

Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel Corp., highlights investors’ focus on the robust economy amidst supply bottlenecks in commodities, especially oil.

This sentiment is echoed by strategists at Morgan Stanley and RBC Capital Markets, who maintain bullish calls on energy shares, citing heightened geopolitical risks and strong economic fundamentals.

Continue Reading

Money

How Australians lose nearly $1 billion to card scammers in a year

Published

on

A recent study by Finder has unveiled a distressing trend: Australians are hemorrhaging money to card scams at an alarming rate.

The survey, conducted among 1,039 participants, painted a grim picture, with 2.2 million individuals – roughly 11% of the population – falling prey to credit or debit card skimming in 2023 alone.

The financial toll of these scams is staggering. On average, victims lost $418 each, amounting to a colossal $930 million collectively across the country.

Rebecca Pike, a financial expert at Finder, underscored the correlation between the surge in digital transactions and the proliferation of sophisticated scams.

“Scammers are adapting, leveraging sophisticated tactics that often mimic trusted brands or exploit personal connections. With digital transactions on the rise, it’s imperative for consumers to remain vigilant and proactive in safeguarding their financial assets,” Pike said.

Read more – How Google is cracking down on scams

Concerning trend

Disturbingly, Finder’s research also revealed a concerning trend in underreporting.

Only 9% of scam victims reported the incident, while 1% remained oblivious to the fraudulent activity initially. Additionally, 1% of respondents discovered they were victims of bank card fraud only after the fact, highlighting the insidious nature of these schemes.

Pike urged consumers to exercise heightened scrutiny over their financial statements, recommending frequent monitoring for any unauthorised transactions.

She explained the importance of leveraging notification services offered by financial institutions to promptly identify and report suspicious activity.

“Early detection is key. If you notice any unfamiliar transactions, don’t hesitate to contact your bank immediately. Swift action can mitigate further unauthorised use of your card,” Pike advised, underscoring the critical role of proactive measures in combating card scams.

As Australians grapple with the escalating threat of card fraud, Pike’s counsel serves as a timely reminder of the necessity for heightened vigilance in an increasingly digitised financial landscape.

Continue Reading
Live Watch Ticker News Live
Advertisement

Trending Now

Copyright © 2024 The Ticker Company