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How high will interest rates get in 2022?

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The world is grappling with the rising cost of living, but exactly how long will the price hikes continue?

On a global scale, the economy is still trying to cope with the ongoing fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

And on top of that, China’s ongoing covid lockdowns are impacting global trade. This has sent the price of necessities skyrocketing, with groceries and petrol prices hurting the back pocket.

The key U-S banking authority just gave the public an insight into its state of mind, releasing minutes from the latest policy meeting.

The Federal Reserve has indicated that interest rate hikes could go higher than anticipated in an attempt to cool inflation.

Officials have confirmed they are willing to go ahead with multiple 50 basis points rate increases.

 

“The markets responded very favourably today…The Fed is getting ready to not allow the markets to fall much further”

octavio marenzi

But exactly how high will interest rates go?

“I think it’s going to be a good deal higher than 3.5 or 4%”

Octavio marenzi

The new data shows that there is some hope when it comes to cooling inflation, but also clearly shows there’s skepticism about financial stability.

Went we look at housing, sales of new houses have declined by approximately 16%, with many concerned that buying a house is simply out of reach for people right now.

This is, of course, on top of sky-high petrol prices, groceries, and minimum wages.

“For many Americans, housing is now out of reach… Houses are very expensive… It’s having an affect on home owners and home renters”

octavio marenzi

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Tesla’s robotaxi reveal sparks excitement

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Analysts and investors are eagerly awaiting Elon Musk’s big reveal—a fully functional autonomous vehicle that could revolutionise ride-hailing.

Tesla’s stock has soared 52% since Musk first announced the event in April, reflecting high hopes for the launch of its much-anticipated robotaxi.

The vehicle, dubbed the “Cybercab,” is said to be a sleek, two-seater without a steering wheel or pedals—straight out of the future.

Tesla also teased a ride-hailing app that will summon these driverless cars to pick up riders at their chosen locations.

Not convincing

But not everyone is convinced—some analysts warn that while Musk’s vision is bold, the timeline for these innovations may not deliver immediate results.

Musk has a history of overpromising on autonomous tech, and this event might be more about grand ideas than tangible products.

Tesla first floated the robotaxi idea in 2016, with Musk hinting at a future where owners could lease their cars to others for extra income.

If the software keeps pace with Musk’s ambitions, the future of driverless Teslas might be closer than we think.

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Inflation creeps up as core CPI rises in September

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The core consumer price index (CPI) climbed 3.3% year-over-year in September, signalling continued inflationary pressure in the U.S.

 

Month-over-month, the increase was 0.3%, slightly higher than the expected 0.2%, raising concerns about the Federal Reserve’s ability to ease policy.

This latest inflation data narrows the Fed’s room to manoeuvre, making a significant rate cut at their next meeting less likely.

In other economic news, weekly U.S. unemployment claims have risen to 258,000.

Latest numbers

Ticker’s Ahron Young spoke with Steve Gopalan from SkandaFX about the latest numbers.

Steve Gopalan discusses the impact of rising unemployment claims, inflation, and geopolitical tensions on the market, including the potential effects of Israeli strikes on Iran and China’s policies.

He also addresses expectations for the Fed reserve rate cut and near-term risks affecting the Australian economy and talks about how traders are preparing for China’s Finance Minister news conference on fiscal policy.

The increase in claims is partly attributed to the impact of Hurricane Helene and furloughs at Boeing.

Economists are closely watching how these factors will play into broader economic trends.

With inflation rising and unemployment numbers fluctuating, the economic outlook remains uncertain.

 

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Middle East tensions rise as Iran issues warnings

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Tehran is threatening to target oil-rich Gulf states and other U.S. allies if their territories are used in any attack on Iran, Arab officials reveal.

Israel has warned Tehran of severe consequences after a recent barrage of Iranian ballistic missiles hit the country. In response, Iran vows to strike Israel’s civilian infrastructure and any Arab state that aids in the assault.

Countries like Jordan, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar have already expressed concerns to the Biden administration, saying they don’t want to be part of any offensive actions against Iran.

These Gulf states, traditionally under U.S. protection, fear Iran could target their vital oil facilities if the conflict escalates.

With U.S. troops stationed across the region, officials are on high alert as Tehran’s threats loom over an area packed with American military personnel.

Tensions between Israel and Iran continue to rise, with both sides exchanging warnings of devastating consequences.

The energy-rich Persian Gulf, known for its stability under U.S. protection, could now be at risk as the situation remains tense.

The eyes of the world are focused on the region, as threats of conflict keep mounting.

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