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Global markets bounce back after heavy blow

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Markets around the world are expected to rebound today after a day of heavy losses.

The Australian ASX has bounced back big time following from Wall Street overnight that offset those tremors we saw last week.

Australian shares rushed to an early gain on Tuesday with the ASX 200 up 1.3 per cent, partly retracing the 1.8 per cent dip on Monday as global financial markets steadied after the anticipated moves from the Federal Reserve to thwart inflation.

Wall Street stocks rallied, staging a strong bounce back from last week’s rout.

The Dow last week suffered its worst week since October 2020, dropping 3.4 percent.

It came as the US Federal Reserve shifts towards a more hawkish stance on monetary policy, which could lead to higher interest rates.

That spooked investors last week, and the pain was felt on markets around the world on Monday,.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to appear before a congressional panel, and the markets are bracing for that.

Yesterday, markets across Asia dropped in early trade over inflation concerns

In Japan, the Nikkei slumped 4 per cent, while the Hong Kong Hang Seng dropped 1.45 per cent.

Mainland Chinese stocks were also down.

In South Korea, the market declined under 1 per cent.

The rollercoaster day for Australian investors

Australia’s share market dived in early trading after sharp falls on Wall Street on Monday.

The ASX 200 index fell as much as 1.5% to 7258 points.

It was the biggest decline in four weeks.

Sectors including Financials, Energy and Materials led early falls.

Commonwealth Bank fell 3.9% after a string of record highs in recent weeks.

The other major banks fell more than 2.2%.

Australian dollar is hitting a new low

So why has this happened? A big reason is following similar damage on Wall Street and in European markets which has been triggered by St Louis Federal Reserve president James Bullard predicting US interest rates would rise next year, perhaps earlier than some would expect.

The Australian dollar was firmer on Monday morning, buying around 75.05 US cents, after hitting its lowest level in six months as the US dollar strengthened.

Bullard added to expectations that US interest rates could rise sooner rather than later.

He is one of seven Fed policymakers to predict a first rate hike in 2022.

“This suggests the Fed will move earlier than the RBA and will be moving by slightly more than the RBA over 2023, which has implications for the [Australian dollar],” St George chief economist Besa Deda wrote.

Bitcoin takes a further tumble

Bitcoin fell to a two-week low amid an intensifying cryptocurrency crackdown in China.

The largest virtual currency fell 10% to $32,350 as of 8:50 a.m. in New York. Ether declined 13% to $1,950.

China announced on Monday that it summoned officials from its biggest banks to a meeting to reiterate a ban on providing cryptocurrency services. It’s the latest sign that China plan to do whatever it takes to close any loopholes left in crypto trading.

According to bitcoin aficionado Stephan Livera this latest crackdown, on one of the main regions for bitcoin mining, is the real deal.

This time seems like a more serious time. The largest mining pool operators have come out…so for example the leader of F2Pool (has said) from our numbers we’re seeing a very large drop in the amount of hash rate that’s coming to our pool out of China.” 

STEPHAN LIVERA, MINISTRY OF NODES

Bitcoin has many complex layers, it’s important to remember we’re talking specifically about bitcoin mining.

Mining is simply the process that sees new bitcoins entered into circulation. It’s also a critical component of the maintenance and development of the blockchain ledger. Mining is performed using very sophisticated computers that solve extremely complex computational math problems.

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Money

Australian Treasurer and RBA chief clash over economy

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A rare dispute has emerged between Australia’s Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock over the nation’s economic trajectory.

Governor Bullock argues the economy remains overheated, even as growth data shows recent slowdowns.

Treasurer Chalmers, however, warns that sustained high interest rates are “smashing the economy.”

This debate is critical for Australians, as it will influence the future of interest rates and inflation.

Data shows a mixed economic picture: while inflation is down, it’s still above target, and the jobs market remains historically strong.

Ultimately, deciding who’s right may come down to theory and perspective on economic health.

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Money

Central bank expected to ease interest rates as election nears

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The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates again this week, a move aimed at cooling inflation.

This quarter-point rate cut would bring the benchmark rate to about 4.6%, the second reduction this year.

Analysts expect that additional cuts could come in December, which would benefit borrowers by reducing loan costs.

If Trump were to win the election, economists say his proposals on trade and immigration could reignite inflation.

The Fed is balancing a strong economy and low unemployment with its inflation-calibrated rate cuts.

As Election Day approaches, all eyes are on both the Fed and the presidential race.

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Money

Big Tech pushes AI investments

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Tech giants like Microsoft and Meta are accelerating AI data center spending, with massive capital pouring into these projects.

Microsoft and Meta reported on Wednesday that AI investments are spiking their expenses, while Alphabet announced similar trends.

Amazon, due to report earnings shortly, is expected to mirror these projections, foreseeing further pressure on profit margins.

Wall Street is getting wary of the financial strain, as each company’s stock took a hit this week despite strong quarterly numbers.

Shares of Meta fell over 3%, and Microsoft saw a 6% drop, underscoring Wall Street’s jitters.

“It’s expensive to keep up with AI technology demands,” says GlobalData’s Beatriz Valle, emphasising a competitive race in AI capacity.

The high-stakes investments are starting to test investor patience in Big Tech’s ambitious AI journey.

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