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Fed officials cautious on rate cuts and inflation risks

Fed officials cautious on rate cuts; inflation outlook uncertain amid policy changes and economic recovery, expect steady rates ahead.

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Fed officials cautious on rate cuts; inflation outlook uncertain amid policy changes and economic recovery, expect steady rates ahead.

The written account of the Dec. 17-18 policy meeting indicated that officials anticipate inflation will likely continue moving towards the central bank’s 2% target, though the process may take longer due to potential changes in trade and immigration policy.

The minutes reflected that a significant majority of the 19 officials believed a quarter-point rate cut was appropriate. However, some officials advocated for holding rates steady, indicating that the decision to cut was a narrow call.

Additionally, officials expressed comfort with the idea of maintaining current rates at the upcoming meeting. The minutes noted that the committee was nearing the point where a slower pace of policy easing would be fitting.

Recent projections from last month revealed growing uncertainty regarding the number of future rate cuts. A majority forecasted two cuts within the year, reduced from four in earlier projections.

Officials are considering two key developments: firmer inflation readings and the potential impact of new tariffs under President-elect Trump. Most participants acknowledged that risks to the inflation outlook had increased.

The Fed’s economic forecast suggested that anticipated tariff changes could result in higher inflation before a subsequent decline.

As they navigate these uncertainties, officials are assessing what constitutes a “normal” interest rate. They have reduced rates by one percentage point since September but remain unclear on the appropriate level to support economic growth without reversing progress on inflation.

Interest-rate futures markets imply the Fed is likely to maintain rates until May or June.

Money

Stocks rally ahead of Thanksgiving as markets log four days of gains

Markets gain momentum ahead of Thanksgiving, with the Dow up 388 points and Oracle rising 4% amid investor optimism.

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Markets gain momentum ahead of Thanksgiving, with the Dow up 388 points and Oracle rising 4% amid investor optimism.


Markets are moving into the Thanksgiving break with strong momentum, as stocks notch four straight days of gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 388 points, while the S&P 500 added 0.9%, pushing both indexes toward their best week since June.

Oracle led major movers, rising more than 4% after Deutsche Bank reaffirmed its bullish outlook on the tech giant. Broad investor optimism continues building across sectors as economic data softens and earnings remain resilient.

All eyes are now on the Federal Reserve and what potential shifts in interest-rate policy may mean for the markets. U.S. markets will close Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday and reopen Friday for a shortened trading session.

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#Markets #Stocks #Thanksgiving #DowJones #SP500 #Oracle #FederalReserve #FinanceNews


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Dow surges 500 points amid rate cut optimism

Dow jumps 569 points on fresh hopes for December rate cut and AI market optimism

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Dow jumps 569 points on fresh hopes for December rate cut and AI market optimism

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In Short:
– Dow Jones rose 569 points, reflecting optimism for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
– Alphabet’s stock increased as Meta may invest in AI chips, but Nvidia’s declined amid market concerns.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 569 points or 1.2% on Tuesday, reflecting investor optimism for an upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cut. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also posted gains, up 0.8% and 0.4% respectively. This represented a recovery from earlier losses, where the S&P 500 briefly fell by 0.7%.Banner

Markets anticipate an 85% chance of a quarter-point rate cut in December, driven by comments from New York Fed President John Williams, who indicated the possibility of lower rates soon. Investor sentiment strengthened following reports that Kevin Hassett may be appointed as the next Fed chair, potentially resulting in a more lenient monetary policy.

Tech Sector

Alphabet saw its stock rise by over 1% after reports indicated that Meta Platforms might invest in its AI chips. This could signal increased demand for AI technology, benefiting the sector overall. However, Nvidia’s stock fell more than 3%, suggesting concerns about its dominance in the AI chip market.

Investors are also wary of the valuation of tech stocks. Despite recent gains, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain down over 1% and 3%, respectively, for November, while the Dow has lost more than 1% this month. The broader market’s performance indicates ongoing scrutiny regarding tech valuations amid changing economic expectations.


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Gold prices surge as Central Banks buy big, but risks grow ahead

Gold prices surge as central banks increase demand; risks include a stronger dollar and rising interest rates.

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Gold prices surge as central banks increase demand; risks include a stronger dollar and rising interest rates.


Gold prices are climbing fast as central banks ramp up buying, pushing demand to its highest levels in years. The metal’s reputation as a safe haven is strengthening, especially amid rising geopolitical tensions and global financial uncertainty.

But experts warn the shine could fade. A stronger US dollar and the possibility of rising interest rates may weigh on momentum, making investors question how long the rally can last.

Dr Steven Enticott from CIA Tax breaks down the drivers behind gold’s surge—from ETF inflows to physical bar demand—and what could send the price sharply higher… or lower.

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#gold #markets #centralbanks #economy #finance #investing #interestRates #usdollar


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