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Disney has a revenue disaster

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Walt Disney (DIS.N) reported missing Wall Street’s revenue expectations for the quarter, yet assured investors that it was set to surpass its earlier commitment to slash costs by over $5.5 billion as pledged in February.

Despite the announcement, the entertainment conglomerate noted a slight underperformance in U.S. Disney+ subscribers compared to analyst forecasts.

Following the release of the results, Disney shares experienced a 1% decline in after-hours trading.

CEO Bob Iger, in his second tenure leading Disney, confronts a range of challenges spanning the entirety of the entertainment empire. Apart from Wall Street’s mandate to attain profitability in its streaming division, Disney contends with a deteriorating television segment and a film box office that has yet to rebound to pre-COVID levels.

Unprecedented times

Iger addressed this transformation in a statement, characterizing it as “unprecedented” and inclusive of company restructuring aimed at enhancing efficiency and rekindling creativity. “In the eight months since my return, these important changes are creating a more cost-effective, coordinated and streamlined approach to our operations, that has put us on track to exceed our initial goal of $5.5 billion in savings,” he stated.

Disney’s fiscal third quarter saw a reduction in losses within its streaming video services to $512 million, compared to a loss of approximately $1.1 billion from a year ago. The addition of 800,000 Disney+ subscribers fell short by 100,000 in comparison to analyst projections. Furthermore, the company saw a decrease of 12.5 million subscribers for the Disney Hotstar service in India, representing nearly 25% of its subscribers. This was attributed to the relinquishment of rights to Indian Premiere League cricket matches.

Revenue for the quarter ending July 1 was reported at $22.33 billion, indicating a 4% increase from the previous year. However, this figure fell below the Wall Street consensus estimate of $22.5 billion, as per Refinitiv data. Adjusted earnings per share amounted to $1.03, surpassing Wall Street’s forecast of 95 cents per share. The comparability of these adjusted profit figures was not immediately clear.

Restructuring costs

The quarter included $2.65 billion in impairment and restructuring charges, covering expenses related to content removal from streaming services, termination of licensing agreements, and $210 million in severance payments for laid-off employees.

Disney’s conventional television business sustained a decline in revenue and operating income across both its broadcast and cable TV sectors. Elevated production costs for sports programming and decreased affiliate revenue impacted the performance of its cable channels. Television revenue for the quarter experienced a 7% decrease, amounting to $6.7 billion, while operating income dropped by 23%, reaching $1.9 billion.

Disney’s direct-to-consumer segment recorded a 9% rise in revenue, totaling $5.5 billion, with higher average revenue per subscriber for Disney+ and Hulu.

The unit responsible for content sales and licensing reported a more substantial operating loss of $243 million, compared to a $27 million loss in the preceding year. This quarter encompassed the release of “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3,” which underperformed at the box office compared to the prior year’s “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness.” The live-action remake of “The Little Mermaid,” released during the same quarter, also fell short of expectations.

The Parks, Experiences, and Products group observed a 13% revenue increase, reaching $8.3 billion, alongside an 11% boost in operating income, totaling $2.4 billion. The upturn was driven by the recovery of Shanghai Disney Resort, which operated throughout the quarter compared to the same period a year ago when it was closed for all but three days due to COVID-19 restrictions. The domestic parks experienced a decline in operating income, largely attributed to decreased performance at the Walt Disney World Resort in Orlando, Florida.

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China prioritizes boosting domestic consumption amid economic concerns

China pledges to boost domestic consumption, plans bigger budget deficit, lower interest rates amid stagnant spending and economic concerns.

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China’s Communist Party leaders have prioritised boosting domestic consumption during their recent meeting in Beijing.

President Xi Jinping led the discussions, where officials agreed to larger budget deficits, increased borrowing, and lower interest rates, as reported by state media.

Consumer spending has been hampered by a collapsing real estate market, which significantly affects household wealth.

These decisions indicate Beijing’s readiness to adopt aggressive measures to stimulate spending, following efforts that began in September to address weak demand and growth.

The meeting highlighted the importance of sustaining economic growth and stability in employment and prices for the coming year, with a focus on enhancing consumption.

Specific policies

While the meeting conveyed a supportive stance on growth, specific policies were not detailed.

Economist Larry Hu noted that direct cash aid to consumers is unlikely; instead, the government will likely increase public spending to boost overall demand.

Following the meeting, Chinese stock futures declined, reflecting market uncertainty.

This conference is typically used to outline priorities for policy changes and upcoming budget announcements.

Earlier, the Politburo acknowledged the need for a stronger economic approach, signaling a willingness to lower interest rates.

Financial strain

China has faced challenges this year with sluggish growth and declining prices, leading to consumer reluctance and local governments facing financial difficulties.

Experts believe the government needs to enhance support to restore consumer confidence.

Since September, the government has initiated large-scale measures to stimulate spending but may not significantly shift from its state-led growth focus.

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Trump’s crypto venture partners with terrorists-linked platform

Trump’s crypto venture partners with Tron, linked to militants, raising ethical concerns and potential conflicts of interest.

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A new cryptocurrency venture by Donald Trump and special envoy Steve Witkoff has partnered with Tron, a platform criticised for ties to Iran-supported militant groups.

World Liberty Financial, co-founded by Witkoff, raises ethical concerns among experts due to this partnership.

Tron is noted for its speed and low fees and has been linked to crypto transfers involving designated terrorist organizations, according to financial crime experts.

The platform’s founder, Justin Sun, is set to advise the Trump-Witkoff venture after Tron’s $30 million investment in World Liberty.

Israeli authorities have frequently associated Tron with militant funding, highlighting the freeze of numerous Tron wallets tied to terrorist activities.

Crypto advocate

Concerns about potential conflicts of interest and ethics surround Trump’s financial ties to World Liberty, where he is listed as a “chief crypto advocate” and is entitled to a share of revenues.

Experts worry that Witkoff’s financial stake may influence U.S. policy, despite plans for a blind trust.

Witkoff’s appointment as envoy comes as the region faces rising tensions, raising further scrutiny of his dual roles in business and government.

The role of special envoy does not needed Senate confirmation, potentially allowing Witkoff to accept outside income while serving, which complicates oversight.

Experts say that strict boundaries should exist between his diplomatic responsibilities and personal financial interests.

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U.S. small business confidence hits 3-1/2-year peak

US small business confidence hits 3.5-year high post-election, driven by optimism for economy and hiring plans.

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U.S. small-business confidence reached its highest point in nearly 3-1/2 years in November, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

The NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index increased by 8.0 points to 101.7, marking the highest level since June 2021.

This surge followed the recent elections, which saw Donald Trump winning the presidential race and the Republican Party gaining control of Congress.

Small business owners, who typically lean Republican, showed increased confidence, a trend anticipated by economists.

Other sentiment surveys also reported improvements in consumer confidence post-election.

Economic improvement

The percentage of small business owners expecting economic improvement rose significantly, indicating a shift in outlook.

More owners believe now is a good time to expand their business, with expectations for higher sales growth increasing. Concerns about inflation slightly lessened, as fewer owners cited it as their primary issue.

Additionally, the uncertainty index for small businesses dropped, reflecting increased stability in economic expectations.

Despite ongoing labor shortages in various sectors, the number of businesses planning to hire rose to the highest level in a year.

Compensation for employees saw an uptick; 32% of owners reported increases, while a notable percentage plans further raises in the coming months.

 

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