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Disney has a revenue disaster

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Walt Disney (DIS.N) reported missing Wall Street’s revenue expectations for the quarter, yet assured investors that it was set to surpass its earlier commitment to slash costs by over $5.5 billion as pledged in February.

Despite the announcement, the entertainment conglomerate noted a slight underperformance in U.S. Disney+ subscribers compared to analyst forecasts.

Following the release of the results, Disney shares experienced a 1% decline in after-hours trading.

CEO Bob Iger, in his second tenure leading Disney, confronts a range of challenges spanning the entirety of the entertainment empire. Apart from Wall Street’s mandate to attain profitability in its streaming division, Disney contends with a deteriorating television segment and a film box office that has yet to rebound to pre-COVID levels.

Unprecedented times

Iger addressed this transformation in a statement, characterizing it as “unprecedented” and inclusive of company restructuring aimed at enhancing efficiency and rekindling creativity. “In the eight months since my return, these important changes are creating a more cost-effective, coordinated and streamlined approach to our operations, that has put us on track to exceed our initial goal of $5.5 billion in savings,” he stated.

Disney’s fiscal third quarter saw a reduction in losses within its streaming video services to $512 million, compared to a loss of approximately $1.1 billion from a year ago. The addition of 800,000 Disney+ subscribers fell short by 100,000 in comparison to analyst projections. Furthermore, the company saw a decrease of 12.5 million subscribers for the Disney Hotstar service in India, representing nearly 25% of its subscribers. This was attributed to the relinquishment of rights to Indian Premiere League cricket matches.

Revenue for the quarter ending July 1 was reported at $22.33 billion, indicating a 4% increase from the previous year. However, this figure fell below the Wall Street consensus estimate of $22.5 billion, as per Refinitiv data. Adjusted earnings per share amounted to $1.03, surpassing Wall Street’s forecast of 95 cents per share. The comparability of these adjusted profit figures was not immediately clear.

Restructuring costs

The quarter included $2.65 billion in impairment and restructuring charges, covering expenses related to content removal from streaming services, termination of licensing agreements, and $210 million in severance payments for laid-off employees.

Disney’s conventional television business sustained a decline in revenue and operating income across both its broadcast and cable TV sectors. Elevated production costs for sports programming and decreased affiliate revenue impacted the performance of its cable channels. Television revenue for the quarter experienced a 7% decrease, amounting to $6.7 billion, while operating income dropped by 23%, reaching $1.9 billion.

Disney’s direct-to-consumer segment recorded a 9% rise in revenue, totaling $5.5 billion, with higher average revenue per subscriber for Disney+ and Hulu.

The unit responsible for content sales and licensing reported a more substantial operating loss of $243 million, compared to a $27 million loss in the preceding year. This quarter encompassed the release of “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3,” which underperformed at the box office compared to the prior year’s “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness.” The live-action remake of “The Little Mermaid,” released during the same quarter, also fell short of expectations.

The Parks, Experiences, and Products group observed a 13% revenue increase, reaching $8.3 billion, alongside an 11% boost in operating income, totaling $2.4 billion. The upturn was driven by the recovery of Shanghai Disney Resort, which operated throughout the quarter compared to the same period a year ago when it was closed for all but three days due to COVID-19 restrictions. The domestic parks experienced a decline in operating income, largely attributed to decreased performance at the Walt Disney World Resort in Orlando, Florida.

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US stocks face tests from Tesla, Netflix earnings

US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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In Short:
– Earnings reports from Tesla and Netflix might affect U.S. stock performance next week amid high inflation concerns.
– Increased market volatility arises from U.S.-China trade tensions and fewer S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend.
This coming week, earnings reports from companies including Tesla and Netflix are anticipated to impact U.S. stock performance.
Investors are also awaiting delayed U.S. inflation data, which could test market stability as it remains near record highs.Recent trading activity has shown increased volatility, influenced by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and concerns regarding regional bank credit risks. The CBOE volatility index has seen a rise, indicating increased market uncertainty.

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The S&P 500 entered its fourth year of growth amidst these fluctuations, having previously experienced a period of calm. Experts suggest market risks are intensifying as valuations reach peak levels.

Market Volatility

Concerns regarding U.S.-China trade relations escalated last week when the U.S. threatened to raise tariffs by November 1 over China’s rare-earth export policies. President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with President Xi Jinping in two weeks to discuss these issues.

Despite these challenges, major stock indexes gained ground over the week, with the S&P 500 up 13.3% year-to-date. However, a noticeable decline in the number of S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend raises caution among investors about underlying market weaknesses.

The upcoming third-quarter earnings will be closely monitored, especially as the government shutdown halts economic data releases. Companies like Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, RTX, and IBM are due to report. The delayed U.S. consumer price index is also expected to provide crucial insights ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on October 28-29.


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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent

Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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In Short:
– Australia’s unemployment rate rose to 4.5% in September, the highest since November 2021.
– Economists note a cooling labour market, with fewer job ads and increased participation rate amid rising living costs.
Australia’s unemployment rate increased to 4.5 per cent in September, up from 4.3 per cent in August.It marks the highest seasonally adjusted unemployment rate since November 2021.

Economists suggest that the Reserve Bank should consider another interest rate cut next month. BetaShares chief economist David Bassanese noted a slowdown in employment demand as the labour market struggles to accommodate job seekers.

The number of officially unemployed rose by 33,900 in September, while the employment count increased by 14,900. The labour force expanded by 48,800 people, resulting in a participation rate rise of 0.1 percentage points to 67 per cent, returning to July levels.

In trend terms, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.3 per cent.

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Labour Market

BDO chief economist Anders Magnusson stated that while the unemployment rate has increased, the labour market is cooling, not collapsing.

He pointed out that the 14,900 jobs added in September were slightly below the average for the past year.

A growing participation rate indicates that rising living costs are prompting more individuals to seek employment. Magnusson said the release confirms a gradual cooling of the labour market that keeps the Reserve Bank on track without necessitating immediate action.

He added that hiring activity is slowing, signalled by a 3.3 per cent drop in job advertisements in September, the largest monthly decrease since February 2024.

Despite this, he does not foresee a rate cut in November.


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Stocks rebound after Trump eases China trade tensions

Stocks rebound 600 points as Trump eases China trade tensions, signalling optimism in markets following Friday’s sell-off

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Stocks rebound 600 points as Trump eases China trade tensions, signalling optimism in markets following Friday’s sell-off

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In Short:
– Stocks rose on Monday after Trump expressed optimism about trade relations with China.
– The Dow Jones gained 621 points, with significant increases in tech stocks and broad market recovery.
Stocks gained ground on Monday, recovering from Friday’s decline after President Donald Trump expressed optimism regarding trade relations with China, stating they “will all be fine.”The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 621 points, approximately 70% of its previous loss. The S&P 500 experienced a 1.6% increase, nearing a 60% recovery of its earlier drop. The Nasdaq Composite increased by 2.3%, bolstered by rebounds in technology stocks.

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Oracle’s stock surged over 5%, with AMD and Nvidia seeing 1% and 3% increases, respectively. Broadcom’s stock jumped 10% following the announcement of a partnership with OpenAI.

Trump’s comments hinted that he might not impose a significant increase in tariffs on China, which had previously caused market turmoil. Vice President JD Vance similarly indicated a willingness to negotiate with China, while also asserting that the U.S. holds advantages in potential trade discussions.

Broader Recovery

Monday’s trading saw a positive shift with four out of five S&P 500 stocks rising, indicating widespread recovery. Small-cap stocks also made gains, with the Russell 2000 rising over 2.5%.

Market concerns persist, however, with a government shutdown continuing and a major payroll deadline approaching on October 15. Earnings reports from major financial institutions, including Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase, are expected this week, potentially impacting market sentiment.


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