Azerbaijan Airlines crash likely caused by Russian air defenses; 38 dead, questioning of official explanations ongoing.

A crash involving an Azerbaijan Airlines plane has resulted in at least 38 fatalities, sparking investigations into the cause.

The aircraft was en route from Baku to Grozny when it encountered issues and crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan.

Out of the 67 individuals on board, 29 managed to survive.

Aviation-security firm Osprey Flight Solutions suggested the plane was likely downed by a Russian military air-defense system, citing video evidence and the plane’s flight path as indicators of possible antiaircraft fire.

The path the flight took, disappearing from radar for a time before reappearing near its crash site, on the other side of the sea. Picture: FlightRadar

A Ukrainian national security official supported this claim, stating the plane had visible damage consistent with such an attack.

Despite these assessments, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan have indicated they are examining other potential causes, including a bird strike or poor weather conditions.

The crew reported needing an emergency landing shortly before the crash, which occurred about two miles from Aktau airport.

Experts noted the plane’s erratic flight pattern, indicating control issues, and highlighted concerns regarding heavy GPS interference that may have complicated its navigation.

Given the recent military activity in the area, including the downing of drone threats, Osprey had advised airlines of increased risks in this region.