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Attorney General Merrick Garland: the iceberg cometh for Trump

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A week later and Washington, the political class, the media and much of the country are still reeling from the USS Trump’s collision with the iceberg that is the Attorney General of the United States, Merrick Garland

Only a portion of the AG’s work is visible above the surface, but beneath is a massive juggernaut that can inflict serious damage on those who collide with it.  Trump is listing, his momentum slowed.

Trump does not own the documents from his presidency, whether they were classified or not, whether he took them out of the White House or not, whether he destroyed any or not.  

The website of the National Archives of the United States is absolutely clear:

The Presidential Records Act (PRA) of 1978, 44 U.S.C. ß2201-2209, governs the official records of Presidents and Vice Presidents that were created or received after January 20, 1981 (i.e., beginning with the Reagan Administration). The PRA changed the legal ownership of the official records of the President from private to public, and established a new statutory structure under which Presidents, and subsequently NARA [National Archives], must manage the records of their Administrations. 

No president, current or former, owns presidential records.  The American people do.

Trump took boxes of documents from the White House on January 20, 2021, the day he left office and became the former president.  The National Archives has tried to track those down and have them returned ever since.  Finally, after months of efforts, several boxes were recovered.  But not all, and the Archives obtained a subpoena for the rest.  Trump never responded to it.  Finally, after showing a Federal judge the necessity of recovering the documents – principally because of the national security implications of the materials –  the AG obtained a search warrant and Garland approved the FBI search of Mar-a-Lago. Multiple boxes and documents were recovered.

No former president has ever been subject to such a law enforcement action. 

Former U.S. President Trump

Richard Nixon was pardoned for his Watergate crimes by President Gerald Ford, insulating him from further investigation.  No other former president has aroused any such concerns about the lawfulness of their activities after leaving office.  No other former president was impeached twice or treated the basic rules of the handling of intelligence matters with such contempt. 

For Trump – and especially for Trump’s base and his supporters, who yearn for his restoration – the raid  was a vicious persecution by the Deep State, the Regime, who wants him destroyed politically.  . Trump extremists have labelled the FBI as traitorous, and calls to defund the bureau.  

But as these events unfolded, and the seriousness of the reckless handling of these documents became evident – especially those that are top secret, and which can only be held and viewed under stringent security protocols – the mood among some Republicans has shifted.

There are real issues here which are adding to the baggage Trump is carrying as he prepares to declare for the 2024 presidential campaign – baggage which makes him less attractive to those Republicans who want to turn the page on Trump and his obsession with the past and instead turn to the future.

What is also extraordinary is how Trump can continue to dominate the news cycle.  The intensity of coverage over this last week rivalled the frenzy in 2017-19 over Special Prosecutor Robert Mueller’s investigation of the Trump campaign’s ties with Russia and whether Trump obstructed justice. 

The past week has been a breathless, wall-to-wall engagement.

U.S. President Joe Biden delivers remarks and signs documents endorsing Finland’s and Sweden’s accession to NATO, in the East Room of the White House, in Washington, U.S., August 9, 2022. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein

And it has pushed to below the fold on p1 what the current president, Joe Biden, has achieved.  Biden has had his best two months since taking office:  a black woman jurist has joined the Supreme Court, a bipartisan gun safety bill was signed into law, a bipartisan multibillion program to secure America’ s leadership in computer chips, and all they drive in our economy, is now law.  Gasoline prices have declined 20% from their peak.  Inflation is slowing.  Congress has passed – and Biden will sign into law this week – the largest investment in clean energy in the history of US environmental law, lower prescription drug process and health insurance costs, and minimum taxes on the biggest corporations in the country. 

Together with last year’s Covid recovery programs and the trillion-dollar infrastructure investment to rebuild the country, and with leadership with allies on Ukraine – the Senate approved Sweden and Finland joining NATO –  Biden now has a record of a consequential president.

A wave of anger about the Trump Supreme Court’s repeal of a woman’s constitutional right to abortion is moving across the country – even in conservative states like Kansas.  Women trapped in states hostile to reproductive health care are getting the message:  the only way to restore abortion rights is to vote for Democrats.

The bottom line is that prospects for the Democrats for the midterm elections have improved.  

The FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago follows the weeks of hearings this summer of the January 6 Committee. 

What has been presented is an exceptionally compelling case of a conspiracy conceived and executed by Trump and his minions to overturn the presidential election he lost in 2020.

There has been immense pressure by many Democrats, historians, and legal experts for the Attorney General to seek Trump’s indictment for the insurrection and attack on the Capitol. 

There has been open frustration from these advocates that Garland, in the face of Trump posing a clear and present danger to America’s democracy, is not moving fast enough – is not sufficiently committed – to bringing Trump to justice.

What the past week shows is that they are only seeing the tip of the Garland iceberg.  It is clear from the FBI raid that Garland has been working quietly and deliberately to ensure that Trump is not above the law. There may yet be indictments for violation of the Espionage Act and other national security laws.  There is a grand jury currently working on the very issues posed by the insurrection. It is the biggest investigation in the history of the Justice Department.  Many witnesses who testified before the January 6 Committee are appearing before the grand jury.

Trump may well collide – again – with the Garland iceberg. It could be titanic.

Bruce Wolpe is a Ticker News US political contributor. He’s a Senior Fellow at the US Studies Centre and has worked with Democrats in Congress during President Barack Obama's first term, and on the staff of Prime Minister Julia Gillard. He has also served as the former PM's chief of staff.

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Trump’s campaign tactic – debase and disgrace the legal process

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Donald Trump, former president of the United States, hated Arraignment Day I in Manhattan two months ago, the first time a former president had been criminally charged. 

Trump was being forced against his will into a proceeding he had utter contempt for.  He was being arrested and fingerprinted and photographed under an indictment under the jurisdiction of Manhattan in New York City for allegations of hush money payments and fraudulent bookkeeping practices to conceal criminal activity. Trump heard the charges read out against him and he entered a plea of not guilty.

Trump had a terrible day. Trump wore a scowl throughout. His countenance was fearsome.  What Trump hated most about his arraignment in New York is that he had to sit at a table with his counsel side by side with him — equal to him — and with the judge above him looking down on him. Trump could not control the discussion and could not interrupt to make his points.

Trump was subordinate to the judge. He was subordinate to no one as president.

Arraignment Day II

Arraignment Day II in Miami will be worse from Trump, even more stressful.  The charges are substantially more serious:  the alleged violation of federal criminal statutes involving the alleged mishandling and illegal possession of classified documents, lying to legal authorities, and obstruction of justice.  Potential penalties run to years in prison and millions of dollars in fines.

Trump throughout his business life had always crafted his affairs to avoid being a defendant. But in his term in office, he was caught up in it big time. He was a defendant in two impeachment trials – again, unprecedented events – and left office in disgrace.

But Trump does not feel disgraced. He never does.  Trump does not have a reverse gear.  He never retreats.  Never admits. Never concedes. Never yields.  Trump is never embarrassed. Trump never feels ashamed. When something goes wrong, it is always the fault of someone else.

And Trump never repents.

Trump can feel this way because Trump is waging war on behalf of his armies in “the final battle” for the future of the county. In his first, fiery post-indictment speech in Georgia, Trump said, “They’ve launched one witch hunt after another to try and stop our movement, to thwart the will of the American people.  In the end, they’re not coming after me. They’re coming after you … “Either we have a Deep State, or we have a Democracy…Either the Deep State destroys America, or WE destroy the Deep State.”

It is a powerful formulation, and his true believers love it.

Hours later, In North Carolina, Trump mainlined his distilled message for the Republican crowd:

“We are a failing nation. We are a nation in decline. And now these radical left lunatics want to interfere with our elections by using law enforcement.

It’s totally corrupt and we cannot let it happen.

This is the final battle.

With you at my side we will demolish the Deep State.

We will expel the warmongers from our government.

We will drive out the globalists.

We will cast out the communists.

We will throw off the sick political class that hates our country.

We will roll out the fake news media.

We will defeat Joe Bide and we will liberate America from those villains once and for all.”

Any lesser mortal would be staggered by these events.  Any other presidential candidate would be driven from the race.  But not Trump.

Debase and disgrace

Trump is using the same playbook today as he successfully triggered after being charged in New York:  debase and disgrace the legal process by terming it completely political.  Trump said the federal indictment is “election interference at the highest level.”

Almost every other Republican running for president has adopted this line, insulating Trump from pressure to leave the field.

Trump’s chief opponent, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said after these indictments: “The weaponization of federal law enforcement represents a mortal threat to a free society. We have for years witnessed an uneven application of the law depending upon political affiliation.”

Republican congressperson Nancy Mace: “This is a banana republic. I can’t believe this is happening.” Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: “Democrats are arresting their political enemies. and they work together in their corrupt ways to get it done.”

Trump is using his affliction to raise millions of dollars from his base.

Trump will likely face Arraignment Day III in Georgia in August.  A state prosecutor is expected to charge Trump with criminal interference in the certification of Georgia’s vote for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election.

As of now, there is no sign of cracks in Trump’s support among Republican voters.  There is no surge to another candidate.  What remains to be seen is whether Republican voters, as they see Trump spend his days in courtrooms and his evenings at rallies around the country, reach a conclusion that this is a spectacle too far, too much to bear, and that they want to turn to another conservative populist who stands for them in the political trials— and not the criminal trials – of 2024.

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Donald Trump’s legal woes will serve him well

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It’s not often that a U.S. President faces federal indictment, but if it’s going to happen to anyone, it might as well be Donald Trump first.

The news that Donald Trump is facing a federal investigation over the removal of secret documents from the White House in 2021 came as no surprise.

Keen watches of the Washington soap opera have seen this playbook before, albeit in a different form.

There is no doubt that Donald Trump is a Washington outsider. But as seriously damaged as he may be (thanks to the events of January 6), his support base has only grown whenever he faces scrutiny.

For his supporters, his legal woes mirror their own relationship with the government – a giant, unfair beast that picks and chooses its fights.

Trump is accused of storing sensitive documents—including those concerning matters of national security—in boxes, some even in a shower.

The documents were seized last August when investigators from the FBI executed a search warrant at Mar-a-Lago.

The Department of Justice has historically avoided charging people who are running for public office. Whether they should do that is a debate for another day. But it’s happening now. And it’s making it all too easy for Trump to claim there is a concerted campaign to get him away from the White House.

Trump exposed the deep state. IF they exist, they probably don’t want him back in power. Whether they exist doesn’t matter really, because plenty of Trump’s supporters agree with him, and believe the secret state is working against them. Call it QAnon, call it a conspiracy – it doesn’t matter in a democracy.

The DoJ now has to go all in. Failing to secure a conviction would be a serious embarrassment for the department.

This is the second time Trump has been indicted in recent months, yet the opinion polls show he only increases his popularity among MAGA and Republican voters. It leaves the Republican party in a difficult position. Support their leading candidate or support the law?

As other Republicans rallied around the embattled candidate, Trump held on to his loyal base of supporters.

For the Democrats, and for Biden, another reality will soon sink in – if Trump becomes President, and they lose office next year, how will a Trump-run DoJ deal with them?

Broadly, the tit-for-tat one-up-manship of U.S. politics is breaking tradition and potentially breaking the country.

 

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