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Signs that the “Great Sacking” has started

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First came the Great Resignation, but now there are signs that businesses are about to begin the Great Sacking, to cope with economic headwinds

For the past 18 months, workers around the world have been signaling they’ve had enough. From burnout to worker fatigue, thousands have handed in their notice and in many cases taken that once in a lifetime trip.

Only two years earlier they would have been deemed mad to quit their high-flying corporate job, to step off the career ladder and venture into the unknown.

On their side was a record-low unemployment rate, and rising wages as businesses tried to lure fewer and fewer available workers.

But now there are signs that the good times for workers are coming to a sudden and dramatic end.

The great sacking

Amidst new forecasts indicating the impending ‘Great Sacking,’ a Brisbane employment lawyer, Jonathan Mamaril of NB Employment Law, urges workers to abandon quiet quitting and brace themselves for uncertain times.

The pandemic-induced rise in wages and the escalating cost of living have pushed employers to reevaluate their payroll structures, seeking ways to cut expenses.

One critical cost factor that has surged is the Wage Price Index (WPI), which gauges labor costs. Over the past three years since March 2020, the WPI has escalated by 1.5 per cent, reaching a peak of 3.7 per cent, the highest since September 2012, after a slight dip during the pandemic’s early stages.

Wage growth has also surged, with the private sector witnessing a 3.8 per cent increase and the public sector a 3 per cent climb between September 2020 and March 2023. The Average Weekly Earnings Report reveals that the average adult earns $1875.20 weekly, subject to the type of work, sector, and any overtime worked.

To cope with these mounting costs, mid-to-large sized businesses are now contemplating restructuring and redundancy strategies to curtail company spending.

Mr. Mamaril predicts that the first major wave of the wages correction cycle will likely strike just before Christmas, extending into early 2024. Overpaid employees may be the first to face lay-offs, especially those earning 30 per cent above industry and job level averages due to businesses’ desperation to secure staff.

Furthermore, positions that can be outsourced, such as administration, human resources, and marketing roles, are also at risk of being eliminated.

The situation calls for vigilance and readiness as the workforce braces for potential workforce reductions and restructuring in the coming months.

Telstra redundancies

Big companies are now trying to keep investors happy, amid higher costs.

Under the leadership of Chief Executive Vicki Brady, Telstra has made a significant move by cutting nearly 500 positions, marking its first major round of job cuts.

The telecommunications company is reducing staff across its enterprise unit, with the majority of the 472 affected roles located within the telco’s enterprise workforce.

These job cuts are part of Telstra’s ambitious goal to reduce fixed costs by $500 million as outlined in its T25 strategic plan. The plan was initially introduced by former CEO Andy Penn and has been continued under Ms. Brady’s leadership.

A Telstra spokesperson confirmed the proposed changes, stating that they aim to reshape the business to maintain competitiveness, efficiency, and effectiveness in their operations.

However, Telstra says there will be no workforce reductions in the Telstra consumer teams responsible for serving customers in stores, over the phone, or at home.

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Money

Aussie job market defies expectations with stable 4.1% unemployment rate

Australia’s unemployment held at 4.1% in May amid job loss; full-time roles surged, underemployment fell, and female participation rose to 60.9%, keeping RBA cautious despite rate cut speculation.

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Australia’s unemployment held at 4.1% in May amid job loss; full-time roles surged, underemployment fell, and female participation rose to 60.9%, keeping RBA cautious despite rate cut speculation.


Australia’s unemployment rate held firm at 4.1% in May, despite a small drop of 2,500 jobs—falling short of forecasts.

But dig deeper: full-time jobs jumped by nearly 39,000, underemployment hit post-COVID lows, and female participation reached a record 60.9%.

With labour market resilience still strong, the Reserve Bank is unlikely to be swayed—though markets see an 80% chance of a July rate cut.

The RBA remains in a balancing act, cooling inflation, without choking growth.

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#RBA #JobsData #AustraliaEconomy #Unemployment #InterestRates #LabourMarket #tickernews

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Central banks struggle with economic uncertainty and rates

Central banks face challenges amid economic uncertainty, impacting policy decisions and investor confidence worldwide.

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Central banks face challenges amid economic uncertainty, impacting policy decisions and investor confidence worldwide.

In Short:
Central banks are grappling with economic uncertainty, prompting various interest rate cuts globally to stimulate growth. Many central banks, including those in Norway, Sweden, and Japan, are adjusting rates in response to inflation and trade concerns, while others like the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are considering future cuts.

Central banks are facing significant uncertainty concerning economic growth and inflation, making their policy decisions increasingly challenging as they approach the end of their rate-cutting cycles.

This uncertainty is also impacting investors. Recently, Norway’s central bank surprised markets with an interest rate cut, while the U.S. Federal Reserve cautioned against relying heavily on its policy projections.

The Swiss National Bank responded to decreasing inflation and economic unpredictability by reducing its benchmark rate to 0% but may consider further cuts. The Bank of Canada has maintained its rate at 2.75%, suggesting a potential future cut in light of tariffs affecting the economy.

Sweden’s central bank cut its key rate as well, aiming to stimulate growth amid weak price pressures.

In New Zealand, expectations are for rates to remain steady after a recent reduction to protect its economy from global trade uncertainties. The European Central Bank has also cut rates, considering further adjustments to meet inflation goals.

The Federal Reserve is keeping rates steady, although further cuts are anticipated due to low inflation. In Britain, the Bank of England held rates but may continue cuts in response to weak labour indicators.

The Reserve Bank of Australia is prepared for rate cuts due to weak growth data and trade tensions, while Norway’s central bank has been cautious with its recent decision. The Bank of Japan remains the only bank in a tightening phase, balancing escalating tensions and tariff concerns with its monetary policies.

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Fed signals slower cuts amid rising risks

U.S. Federal Reserve revises economic forecasts downward, expecting growth slowdown and higher unemployment, but still plans rate cuts in 2024 and 2025.

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U.S. Federal Reserve revises economic forecasts downward, expecting growth slowdown and higher unemployment, but still plans rate cuts in 2024 and 2025.


At its latest meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve revised its economic forecasts downward, with growth trimmed, inflation nudged up, and unemployment expectations now higher.

Despite this gloomier outlook, the Fed still sees two rate cuts in 2025, but just one in 2024 and one in 2026, a major dial-back from earlier projections.

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