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Signs that the “Great Sacking” has started

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First came the Great Resignation, but now there are signs that businesses are about to begin the Great Sacking, to cope with economic headwinds

For the past 18 months, workers around the world have been signaling they’ve had enough. From burnout to worker fatigue, thousands have handed in their notice and in many cases taken that once in a lifetime trip.

Only two years earlier they would have been deemed mad to quit their high-flying corporate job, to step off the career ladder and venture into the unknown.

On their side was a record-low unemployment rate, and rising wages as businesses tried to lure fewer and fewer available workers.

But now there are signs that the good times for workers are coming to a sudden and dramatic end.

The great sacking

Amidst new forecasts indicating the impending ‘Great Sacking,’ a Brisbane employment lawyer, Jonathan Mamaril of NB Employment Law, urges workers to abandon quiet quitting and brace themselves for uncertain times.

The pandemic-induced rise in wages and the escalating cost of living have pushed employers to reevaluate their payroll structures, seeking ways to cut expenses.

One critical cost factor that has surged is the Wage Price Index (WPI), which gauges labor costs. Over the past three years since March 2020, the WPI has escalated by 1.5 per cent, reaching a peak of 3.7 per cent, the highest since September 2012, after a slight dip during the pandemic’s early stages.

Wage growth has also surged, with the private sector witnessing a 3.8 per cent increase and the public sector a 3 per cent climb between September 2020 and March 2023. The Average Weekly Earnings Report reveals that the average adult earns $1875.20 weekly, subject to the type of work, sector, and any overtime worked.

To cope with these mounting costs, mid-to-large sized businesses are now contemplating restructuring and redundancy strategies to curtail company spending.

Mr. Mamaril predicts that the first major wave of the wages correction cycle will likely strike just before Christmas, extending into early 2024. Overpaid employees may be the first to face lay-offs, especially those earning 30 per cent above industry and job level averages due to businesses’ desperation to secure staff.

Furthermore, positions that can be outsourced, such as administration, human resources, and marketing roles, are also at risk of being eliminated.

The situation calls for vigilance and readiness as the workforce braces for potential workforce reductions and restructuring in the coming months.

Telstra redundancies

Big companies are now trying to keep investors happy, amid higher costs.

Under the leadership of Chief Executive Vicki Brady, Telstra has made a significant move by cutting nearly 500 positions, marking its first major round of job cuts.

The telecommunications company is reducing staff across its enterprise unit, with the majority of the 472 affected roles located within the telco’s enterprise workforce.

These job cuts are part of Telstra’s ambitious goal to reduce fixed costs by $500 million as outlined in its T25 strategic plan. The plan was initially introduced by former CEO Andy Penn and has been continued under Ms. Brady’s leadership.

A Telstra spokesperson confirmed the proposed changes, stating that they aim to reshape the business to maintain competitiveness, efficiency, and effectiveness in their operations.

However, Telstra says there will be no workforce reductions in the Telstra consumer teams responsible for serving customers in stores, over the phone, or at home.

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Money

US stocks face tests from Tesla, Netflix earnings

US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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In Short:
– Earnings reports from Tesla and Netflix might affect U.S. stock performance next week amid high inflation concerns.
– Increased market volatility arises from U.S.-China trade tensions and fewer S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend.
This coming week, earnings reports from companies including Tesla and Netflix are anticipated to impact U.S. stock performance.
Investors are also awaiting delayed U.S. inflation data, which could test market stability as it remains near record highs.Recent trading activity has shown increased volatility, influenced by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and concerns regarding regional bank credit risks. The CBOE volatility index has seen a rise, indicating increased market uncertainty.

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The S&P 500 entered its fourth year of growth amidst these fluctuations, having previously experienced a period of calm. Experts suggest market risks are intensifying as valuations reach peak levels.

Market Volatility

Concerns regarding U.S.-China trade relations escalated last week when the U.S. threatened to raise tariffs by November 1 over China’s rare-earth export policies. President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with President Xi Jinping in two weeks to discuss these issues.

Despite these challenges, major stock indexes gained ground over the week, with the S&P 500 up 13.3% year-to-date. However, a noticeable decline in the number of S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend raises caution among investors about underlying market weaknesses.

The upcoming third-quarter earnings will be closely monitored, especially as the government shutdown halts economic data releases. Companies like Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, RTX, and IBM are due to report. The delayed U.S. consumer price index is also expected to provide crucial insights ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on October 28-29.


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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent

Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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In Short:
– Australia’s unemployment rate rose to 4.5% in September, the highest since November 2021.
– Economists note a cooling labour market, with fewer job ads and increased participation rate amid rising living costs.
Australia’s unemployment rate increased to 4.5 per cent in September, up from 4.3 per cent in August.It marks the highest seasonally adjusted unemployment rate since November 2021.

Economists suggest that the Reserve Bank should consider another interest rate cut next month. BetaShares chief economist David Bassanese noted a slowdown in employment demand as the labour market struggles to accommodate job seekers.

The number of officially unemployed rose by 33,900 in September, while the employment count increased by 14,900. The labour force expanded by 48,800 people, resulting in a participation rate rise of 0.1 percentage points to 67 per cent, returning to July levels.

In trend terms, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.3 per cent.

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Labour Market

BDO chief economist Anders Magnusson stated that while the unemployment rate has increased, the labour market is cooling, not collapsing.

He pointed out that the 14,900 jobs added in September were slightly below the average for the past year.

A growing participation rate indicates that rising living costs are prompting more individuals to seek employment. Magnusson said the release confirms a gradual cooling of the labour market that keeps the Reserve Bank on track without necessitating immediate action.

He added that hiring activity is slowing, signalled by a 3.3 per cent drop in job advertisements in September, the largest monthly decrease since February 2024.

Despite this, he does not foresee a rate cut in November.


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Stocks rebound after Trump eases China trade tensions

Stocks rebound 600 points as Trump eases China trade tensions, signalling optimism in markets following Friday’s sell-off

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Stocks rebound 600 points as Trump eases China trade tensions, signalling optimism in markets following Friday’s sell-off

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In Short:
– Stocks rose on Monday after Trump expressed optimism about trade relations with China.
– The Dow Jones gained 621 points, with significant increases in tech stocks and broad market recovery.
Stocks gained ground on Monday, recovering from Friday’s decline after President Donald Trump expressed optimism regarding trade relations with China, stating they “will all be fine.”The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 621 points, approximately 70% of its previous loss. The S&P 500 experienced a 1.6% increase, nearing a 60% recovery of its earlier drop. The Nasdaq Composite increased by 2.3%, bolstered by rebounds in technology stocks.

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Oracle’s stock surged over 5%, with AMD and Nvidia seeing 1% and 3% increases, respectively. Broadcom’s stock jumped 10% following the announcement of a partnership with OpenAI.

Trump’s comments hinted that he might not impose a significant increase in tariffs on China, which had previously caused market turmoil. Vice President JD Vance similarly indicated a willingness to negotiate with China, while also asserting that the U.S. holds advantages in potential trade discussions.

Broader Recovery

Monday’s trading saw a positive shift with four out of five S&P 500 stocks rising, indicating widespread recovery. Small-cap stocks also made gains, with the Russell 2000 rising over 2.5%.

Market concerns persist, however, with a government shutdown continuing and a major payroll deadline approaching on October 15. Earnings reports from major financial institutions, including Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase, are expected this week, potentially impacting market sentiment.


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