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Signs that the “Great Sacking” has started

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First came the Great Resignation, but now there are signs that businesses are about to begin the Great Sacking, to cope with economic headwinds

For the past 18 months, workers around the world have been signaling they’ve had enough. From burnout to worker fatigue, thousands have handed in their notice and in many cases taken that once in a lifetime trip.

Only two years earlier they would have been deemed mad to quit their high-flying corporate job, to step off the career ladder and venture into the unknown.

On their side was a record-low unemployment rate, and rising wages as businesses tried to lure fewer and fewer available workers.

But now there are signs that the good times for workers are coming to a sudden and dramatic end.

The great sacking

Amidst new forecasts indicating the impending ‘Great Sacking,’ a Brisbane employment lawyer, Jonathan Mamaril of NB Employment Law, urges workers to abandon quiet quitting and brace themselves for uncertain times.

The pandemic-induced rise in wages and the escalating cost of living have pushed employers to reevaluate their payroll structures, seeking ways to cut expenses.

One critical cost factor that has surged is the Wage Price Index (WPI), which gauges labor costs. Over the past three years since March 2020, the WPI has escalated by 1.5 per cent, reaching a peak of 3.7 per cent, the highest since September 2012, after a slight dip during the pandemic’s early stages.

Wage growth has also surged, with the private sector witnessing a 3.8 per cent increase and the public sector a 3 per cent climb between September 2020 and March 2023. The Average Weekly Earnings Report reveals that the average adult earns $1875.20 weekly, subject to the type of work, sector, and any overtime worked.

To cope with these mounting costs, mid-to-large sized businesses are now contemplating restructuring and redundancy strategies to curtail company spending.

Mr. Mamaril predicts that the first major wave of the wages correction cycle will likely strike just before Christmas, extending into early 2024. Overpaid employees may be the first to face lay-offs, especially those earning 30 per cent above industry and job level averages due to businesses’ desperation to secure staff.

Furthermore, positions that can be outsourced, such as administration, human resources, and marketing roles, are also at risk of being eliminated.

The situation calls for vigilance and readiness as the workforce braces for potential workforce reductions and restructuring in the coming months.

Telstra redundancies

Big companies are now trying to keep investors happy, amid higher costs.

Under the leadership of Chief Executive Vicki Brady, Telstra has made a significant move by cutting nearly 500 positions, marking its first major round of job cuts.

The telecommunications company is reducing staff across its enterprise unit, with the majority of the 472 affected roles located within the telco’s enterprise workforce.

These job cuts are part of Telstra’s ambitious goal to reduce fixed costs by $500 million as outlined in its T25 strategic plan. The plan was initially introduced by former CEO Andy Penn and has been continued under Ms. Brady’s leadership.

A Telstra spokesperson confirmed the proposed changes, stating that they aim to reshape the business to maintain competitiveness, efficiency, and effectiveness in their operations.

However, Telstra says there will be no workforce reductions in the Telstra consumer teams responsible for serving customers in stores, over the phone, or at home.

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Money

Fed cuts rates, signals more potentially ahead

Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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In Short:
– The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter-point to address job market concerns.
– Officials expect at least two additional rate cuts by year-end amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by a quarter-point, addressing concerns about a weakening job market overshadowing inflation worries.
A majority of officials anticipate at least two additional cuts by year-end during the remaining meetings in October and December.Banner

Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted a significant shift in the labour market, highlighting “downside risk” in his statements.

The recent rate cut, supported by 11 of 12 Fed voters, aims to recalibrate an economy facing uncertainties from policy changes and market pressures.

Policy Dynamics

The decision comes amid intense political scrutiny, with President Trump openly criticising Powell’s reluctance to lower rates.

Despite the controversy, Powell asserts that political pressures do not influence Fed operations.

The current benchmark federal-funds rate now sits between 4% and 4.25%, the lowest since 2021, providing some reprieve to consumers and small businesses. Economic forecasts indicate ongoing complexities, including inflation trends and the impact of tariffs on labour dynamics, complicating future policy decisions.


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Fed faces unusual dissent amid leadership uncertainty

Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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In Short:
– This week’s Federal Reserve meeting faces unusual dissent as Chair Powell approaches his term’s end.
– Analysts predict dissent over expected rate cuts due to political pressures from Trump-appointed officials.
This week’s Federal Reserve meeting is set to be particularly unusual, with Chair Jerome Powell facing significant disagreements over future policy as he approaches the end of his term in May.Tensions began before the meeting when Fed governor Lisa Cook won a court ruling allowing her to attend, despite opposition from President Trump, who is attempting to remove her.

The situation is further complicated by the recent swearing-in of Trump adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed’s board, following a Senate confirmation.

Analysts believe Powell may encounter dissent on an expected quarter-percentage-point rate cut from both Trump-appointed officials and regional Fed presidents concerned about inflation.

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Potential Dissent

Trump has urged significant rate cuts and for the board to challenge Powell’s decisions.

Some analysts predict dissenting votes from Miran and other Trump appointees in favour of larger cuts. Federal Reserve veterans express concerns that political motivations may undermine the institution’s integrity, with indications that greater dissent could become commonplace.


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RBA plans to ban credit card surcharges in Australia

Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards

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Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards.

In Short:
– The RBA plans to ban surcharges on debit and credit card transactions, supported by consumer group Choice.
– Major banks oppose the ban, warning it could lead to higher card fees and reduced rewards for credit card users.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) intends to implement a ban on surcharges associated with debit and credit card transactions. Consumer advocacy group Choice endorses this initiative, arguing that it is unjust for users of low-cost debit cards to incur similar fees as credit card holders.Banner

The major banks, however, are opposing this reform. They caution that the removal of surcharges could prompt customers to abandon credit cards due to diminished rewards.

A final decision by the RBA is anticipated by December 2025.


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