Money

Trump’s tariffs threaten global economy, risk U.S. recession

Trump’s new tariffs aim to reshape global trade, risking recession and inflation while shocking markets.

Published

6 months ago

April 3, 2025

Ahron Young

Trump’s new tariffs aim to reshape global trade, risking recession and inflation while shocking markets.

In Short

President Trump has announced substantial tariff increases on major trading partners, raising tariffs to an average of 23%, the highest in over a century.

This move could lead to a U.S. recession, higher consumer prices, and uncertainties in international trade.

President Trump announced significant tariff hikes on major trading partners, including 20% for the European Union and 34% for China.

These tariffs, part of his efforts to reshape global economic relations, could push the U.S. towards recession while raising consumer prices.

The overall tariffs will increase to an average of 23%, the highest in over a century. Economists warn this could reflect a severe policy shift comparable to President Nixon’s 1971 decision to abandon the gold standard.

President Trump: “I think its going very well. It was an operation, like when a when a patient gets operated on. It’s a big thing. I said this would exactly be the way it is. We have six or seven trillion dollars coming into our country…the markets are going to boom.” pic.twitter.com/hhrGOFgX2J

— CSPAN (@cspan) April 3, 2025

The tariffs apply broadly, with no exemptions for many goods, including those that are typically duty-free. This expansive approach contrasts with previous tariffs instituted during Trump’s trade war with China.

The risk of inflation-adjusted income declining raises concerns of an economic downturn this year, with predictions of the U.S. economy potentially entering recession.

Uncertainty surrounds how trading partners will respond. Some analysts claim the tariffs may hinder investment in the U.S. due to unclear future trading conditions.

While tariffs could generate revenue, they may also create significant costs for financial markets and disrupt capital flows with other nations.

Inflation could rise sharply, creating a dilemma for the Federal Reserve in balancing growth and price stability. Policymakers face a challenging landscape influenced by global economic trends and potential negative supply shocks.

Money

Fed cuts rates, signals more potentially ahead

Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

Published

4 days ago

September 18, 2025

Ahron Young

Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

In Short:
– The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter-point to address job market concerns.
– Officials expect at least two additional rate cuts by year-end amid ongoing economic uncertainties.

The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by a quarter-point, addressing concerns about a weakening job market overshadowing inflation worries.

A majority of officials anticipate at least two additional cuts by year-end during the remaining meetings in October and December.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted a significant shift in the labour market, highlighting “downside risk” in his statements.

The recent rate cut, supported by 11 of 12 Fed voters, aims to recalibrate an economy facing uncertainties from policy changes and market pressures.

Policy Dynamics

The decision comes amid intense political scrutiny, with President Trump openly criticising Powell’s reluctance to lower rates.

Despite the controversy, Powell asserts that political pressures do not influence Fed operations.

The current benchmark federal-funds rate now sits between 4% and 4.25%, the lowest since 2021, providing some reprieve to consumers and small businesses. Economic forecasts indicate ongoing complexities, including inflation trends and the impact of tariffs on labour dynamics, complicating future policy decisions.

Money

Fed faces unusual dissent amid leadership uncertainty

Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

Published

5 days ago

September 17, 2025

Ahron Young

Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

In Short:
– This week’s Federal Reserve meeting faces unusual dissent as Chair Powell approaches his term’s end.
– Analysts predict dissent over expected rate cuts due to political pressures from Trump-appointed officials.

This week’s Federal Reserve meeting is set to be particularly unusual, with Chair Jerome Powell facing significant disagreements over future policy as he approaches the end of his term in May.Tensions began before the meeting when Fed governor Lisa Cook won a court ruling allowing her to attend, despite opposition from President Trump, who is attempting to remove her.

The situation is further complicated by the recent swearing-in of Trump adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed’s board, following a Senate confirmation.

Analysts believe Powell may encounter dissent on an expected quarter-percentage-point rate cut from both Trump-appointed officials and regional Fed presidents concerned about inflation.

Potential Dissent

Trump has urged significant rate cuts and for the board to challenge Powell’s decisions.

Some analysts predict dissenting votes from Miran and other Trump appointees in favour of larger cuts. Federal Reserve veterans express concerns that political motivations may undermine the institution’s integrity, with indications that greater dissent could become commonplace.

Money

RBA plans to ban credit card surcharges in Australia

Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards

Published

6 days ago

September 16, 2025

ticker NEWS

Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards.

In Short:
– The RBA plans to ban surcharges on debit and credit card transactions, supported by consumer group Choice.
– Major banks oppose the ban, warning it could lead to higher card fees and reduced rewards for credit card users.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) intends to implement a ban on surcharges associated with debit and credit card transactions. Consumer advocacy group Choice endorses this initiative, arguing that it is unjust for users of low-cost debit cards to incur similar fees as credit card holders.

The major banks, however, are opposing this reform. They caution that the removal of surcharges could prompt customers to abandon credit cards due to diminished rewards.

A final decision by the RBA is anticipated by December 2025.