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How much will economies lose to tourism because of the pandemic?

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Tourism is expected to impact global economies.

A new report has revealed the economic costs from a plunge in tourism since the pandemic.

The UN World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO) has revealed COVID-19 could place a $4 trillion hole in the world’s economy.

The report found the pandemic’s impact will lead to a ripple effect on other sectors closely linked to it.

The UNWTO Secretary-General Zurab Pololikashvili says vaccinations are a key part of the world’s post-COVID success.

“Tourism is a lifeline for millions, and advancing vaccination to protect communities and support tourism’s safe restart is critical to the recovery of jobs and generation of much-needed resources, especially in developing countries, many of which are highly dependent on international tourism.”

The report assesses the economic impacts of three possible scenarios, which all reflect reductions in international arrivals.

Reduction in international travel

The first scenario reflects a 75 percent reduction in international tourist arrivals – the most pessimistic forecast. It is based on tourist reductions and trends faced last year.

For example, tourism makes up five percent of Turkey’s GDP. But the nation experienced a 69 percent fall in international tourists in 2020.

This fall is estimated to cost $33 billion, which has led to other cross-sector losses in hospitality, communications and transport.

In the second scenario, UNWTO examines a 63 percent reduction in tourist arrivals. Then, domestic and regional tourism is considered in the third scenario.

Vaccinations drive tourism

Experts are also concerned about the varying vaccination rates around the world, and how they will impact international travel.

The report discusses the “asymmetric roll-out of vaccines”, and how it “magnifies the economic blow tourism has suffered in developing countries”. Vaccine rates vary from 1 to 60 percent between some countries.

Isabelle Durant is the Acting Secretary-General of the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). She says the world needs to push for global vaccination.

“The world needs a global vaccination effort that will protect workers, mitigate adverse social effects and make strategic decisions regarding tourism, taking potential structural changes into account.”

Experts do not expect a return to pre-COVID travel until 2023, or later. They believe travel restrictions, slow containment of COVID-19, poor economic opportunities, and low traveller confidence are among the reasons for the delay.

Costa is a news producer at ticker NEWS. He has previously worked as a regional journalist at the Southern Highlands Express newspaper. He also has several years' experience in the fire and emergency services sector, where he has worked with researchers, policymakers and local communities. He has also worked at the Seven Network during their Olympic Games coverage and in the ABC Melbourne newsroom. He also holds a Bachelor of Arts (Professional), with expertise in journalism, politics and international relations. His other interests include colonial legacies in the Pacific, counter-terrorism, aviation and travel.

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Tesla’s robotaxi reveal sparks excitement

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Analysts and investors are eagerly awaiting Elon Musk’s big reveal—a fully functional autonomous vehicle that could revolutionise ride-hailing.

Tesla’s stock has soared 52% since Musk first announced the event in April, reflecting high hopes for the launch of its much-anticipated robotaxi.

The vehicle, dubbed the “Cybercab,” is said to be a sleek, two-seater without a steering wheel or pedals—straight out of the future.

Tesla also teased a ride-hailing app that will summon these driverless cars to pick up riders at their chosen locations.

Not convincing

But not everyone is convinced—some analysts warn that while Musk’s vision is bold, the timeline for these innovations may not deliver immediate results.

Musk has a history of overpromising on autonomous tech, and this event might be more about grand ideas than tangible products.

Tesla first floated the robotaxi idea in 2016, with Musk hinting at a future where owners could lease their cars to others for extra income.

If the software keeps pace with Musk’s ambitions, the future of driverless Teslas might be closer than we think.

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Inflation creeps up as core CPI rises in September

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The core consumer price index (CPI) climbed 3.3% year-over-year in September, signalling continued inflationary pressure in the U.S.

 

Month-over-month, the increase was 0.3%, slightly higher than the expected 0.2%, raising concerns about the Federal Reserve’s ability to ease policy.

This latest inflation data narrows the Fed’s room to manoeuvre, making a significant rate cut at their next meeting less likely.

In other economic news, weekly U.S. unemployment claims have risen to 258,000.

Latest numbers

Ticker’s Ahron Young spoke with Steve Gopalan from SkandaFX about the latest numbers.

Steve Gopalan discusses the impact of rising unemployment claims, inflation, and geopolitical tensions on the market, including the potential effects of Israeli strikes on Iran and China’s policies.

He also addresses expectations for the Fed reserve rate cut and near-term risks affecting the Australian economy and talks about how traders are preparing for China’s Finance Minister news conference on fiscal policy.

The increase in claims is partly attributed to the impact of Hurricane Helene and furloughs at Boeing.

Economists are closely watching how these factors will play into broader economic trends.

With inflation rising and unemployment numbers fluctuating, the economic outlook remains uncertain.

 

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Middle East tensions rise as Iran issues warnings

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Tehran is threatening to target oil-rich Gulf states and other U.S. allies if their territories are used in any attack on Iran, Arab officials reveal.

Israel has warned Tehran of severe consequences after a recent barrage of Iranian ballistic missiles hit the country. In response, Iran vows to strike Israel’s civilian infrastructure and any Arab state that aids in the assault.

Countries like Jordan, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar have already expressed concerns to the Biden administration, saying they don’t want to be part of any offensive actions against Iran.

These Gulf states, traditionally under U.S. protection, fear Iran could target their vital oil facilities if the conflict escalates.

With U.S. troops stationed across the region, officials are on high alert as Tehran’s threats loom over an area packed with American military personnel.

Tensions between Israel and Iran continue to rise, with both sides exchanging warnings of devastating consequences.

The energy-rich Persian Gulf, known for its stability under U.S. protection, could now be at risk as the situation remains tense.

The eyes of the world are focused on the region, as threats of conflict keep mounting.

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