Connect with us
https://tickernews.co/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/AmEx-Thought-Leaders.jpg

Money

To invest, or to hold? That is the question | TICKER VIEWS

Published

on

So with the markets running HOT particularly on Wall Street and the ASX, it brings up the age-old investing question:

Should I get in the market or should I get out?

Market Strategist Daniel Weiner has some pretty handy numbers for any investor who has stayed in the market over the last 13 years.

“Look at the S&P 500, since the GFC (Global Financial Crisis) there’s been almost 300 record highs, that’s almost one a week.

So if you’re invested for that whole period you’ve basically got that probability that every so often, granted there’ll be a few in a row, we are going to experience a new record high” according to Weiner.

Investors are highly aware of the emotion that comes with watching your money grow and fall.

But if you can remain calm for long enough, Weiner says there’s one key to returns.

“It just comes down to the length of time you’re willing to invest in the market.” 

300 record highs over that time, almost one a WEEK. Looks pretty good on paper. Obviously you have to manage the bumps along the way but goodness me.

Okay, so let’s expand our time horizon. Let’s work across a 30-year time frame of being invested in the market.

“Over a 30-year window if you were to invest at any random point in time in the S&P 500, versus the particular point in time where it’s a new record high…your 3 and 5 year returns and your 1 year returns will actually be higher investing at the point in time of a new record high” Weiner added.

Now that is surprising. Your returns, on average, are higher if you invested at the point of a record high. And just stay in the market.

So why would this happen?

Weiner points to a trend “so it might be counterintuitive for some people to see this.

But it could come down to a fact that record highs tend to beget record highs, because we tend to be in a bull run” 

So none of this is investing advice, each to their own, we’re all different people.

But these numbers suggest that “time in the market beats timing the market…”

I didn’t come up with that, but it might be a handy way to reduce the stress.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Money

Aussie job market defies expectations with stable 4.1% unemployment rate

Australia’s unemployment held at 4.1% in May amid job loss; full-time roles surged, underemployment fell, and female participation rose to 60.9%, keeping RBA cautious despite rate cut speculation.

Published

on

Australia’s unemployment held at 4.1% in May amid job loss; full-time roles surged, underemployment fell, and female participation rose to 60.9%, keeping RBA cautious despite rate cut speculation.


Australia’s unemployment rate held firm at 4.1% in May, despite a small drop of 2,500 jobs—falling short of forecasts.

But dig deeper: full-time jobs jumped by nearly 39,000, underemployment hit post-COVID lows, and female participation reached a record 60.9%.

With labour market resilience still strong, the Reserve Bank is unlikely to be swayed—though markets see an 80% chance of a July rate cut.

The RBA remains in a balancing act, cooling inflation, without choking growth.

Subscribe for more at https://www.youtube.com/@UCiMroZIXuwlSh1r5wZdeU6Q

#RBA #JobsData #AustraliaEconomy #Unemployment #InterestRates #LabourMarket #tickernews

Continue Reading

Money

Central banks struggle with economic uncertainty and rates

Central banks face challenges amid economic uncertainty, impacting policy decisions and investor confidence worldwide.

Published

on

Central banks face challenges amid economic uncertainty, impacting policy decisions and investor confidence worldwide.

In Short:
Central banks are grappling with economic uncertainty, prompting various interest rate cuts globally to stimulate growth. Many central banks, including those in Norway, Sweden, and Japan, are adjusting rates in response to inflation and trade concerns, while others like the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are considering future cuts.

Central banks are facing significant uncertainty concerning economic growth and inflation, making their policy decisions increasingly challenging as they approach the end of their rate-cutting cycles.

This uncertainty is also impacting investors. Recently, Norway’s central bank surprised markets with an interest rate cut, while the U.S. Federal Reserve cautioned against relying heavily on its policy projections.

The Swiss National Bank responded to decreasing inflation and economic unpredictability by reducing its benchmark rate to 0% but may consider further cuts. The Bank of Canada has maintained its rate at 2.75%, suggesting a potential future cut in light of tariffs affecting the economy.

Sweden’s central bank cut its key rate as well, aiming to stimulate growth amid weak price pressures.

In New Zealand, expectations are for rates to remain steady after a recent reduction to protect its economy from global trade uncertainties. The European Central Bank has also cut rates, considering further adjustments to meet inflation goals.

The Federal Reserve is keeping rates steady, although further cuts are anticipated due to low inflation. In Britain, the Bank of England held rates but may continue cuts in response to weak labour indicators.

The Reserve Bank of Australia is prepared for rate cuts due to weak growth data and trade tensions, while Norway’s central bank has been cautious with its recent decision. The Bank of Japan remains the only bank in a tightening phase, balancing escalating tensions and tariff concerns with its monetary policies.

Continue Reading

Money

Fed signals slower cuts amid rising risks

U.S. Federal Reserve revises economic forecasts downward, expecting growth slowdown and higher unemployment, but still plans rate cuts in 2024 and 2025.

Published

on

U.S. Federal Reserve revises economic forecasts downward, expecting growth slowdown and higher unemployment, but still plans rate cuts in 2024 and 2025.


At its latest meeting, the U.S. Federal Reserve revised its economic forecasts downward, with growth trimmed, inflation nudged up, and unemployment expectations now higher.

Despite this gloomier outlook, the Fed still sees two rate cuts in 2025, but just one in 2024 and one in 2026, a major dial-back from earlier projections.

Subscribe for more at https://www.youtube.com/@UCiMroZIXuwlSh1r5wZdeU6Q

#FederalReserve #InterestRates #JeromePowell #Inflation #USEconomy #FedMeeting #tickernews

Continue Reading

Trending Now