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The Aussie company taking on the soaring tequila market

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The pandemic has seen us all drink a lot more tequila. In fact the market has increased by 30 per cent and is rapidly growing. Now one Aussie company is expanding into Queensland, to take on the soaring tequila market.

In the dry fields of tropical North Queensland, inland from the Whitsundays and the Great Barrier Reef – a massive project is underway to transform Australia’s spirits industry.

Seb Reaburn is the Master Distiller with Top Shelf International.

“The agave a project is one great big experiment right now to the level that no one has grown it in this part of dry tropical Queensland and no one has, other than a few experiments, no one has distilled it,” Seb says.

Established in 2014, Top Shelf International (TSI) is an ASX-listed Australian spirits company with global ambitions. it sees the soaring tequila market as a leap forward.

Their current brands include NED Australian Whisky and Grainshaker Hand Made Australian Vodka.

Seb Reaburn is the Master Distiller with Top Shelf International.

Proserpine in the heart of North Queensland

The project is happening at Prosepine, near the famous Airlie Beach. Known as a haven for backpackers. For over a century Australians have produced world class wines – but the spirits industry has recently had a massive transformation, mostly thanks to the pandemic.

Drew Fairchild is the Founder and Managing Director of Top Shelf International.

“I think Covid has accelerated a lot of trends at home cocktail culture people preparing to mix things. The younger generation have a global mindset and are wanting to experiment,” Drew says.

The management and distillers of the Top Shelf International Agave farm

That experiment brought them to an abandoned eggplant farm, which will soon be home to a million agave plants as far as the eye can see. They plan to harvest 250,000 plants a year.

“I’ve spent my career in the liquor industry and through there into distilling but there were no plants. Nothing was growing that you could distil so it’s a privilege,” Seb says.

But you can’t actually call it tequila

“A lot of people come to tequila as a challenge shot. They sort of go and have one sort of attitude and culture which is really not what we are trying to do we are trying to make a top shelf.

“If you look at the wine industry, there’s a lot of wine that is a really reasonably priced. And there’s a lot of exceptional Australian wine which is an expression of place,” Seb says.

The agave plant in north Queensland

And that has led to another experiment – what to call this agave spirit. A problem Drew Fairchild is trying to fix.

“The brand strategy has to navigate that. But we think it presents an opportunity to create a category of one,” Drew says.

“When you look at the spirits industry in Australia it’s an $11 billion industry and 60% of that is dark spirit’s scotch and bourbon. So clearly it’s started around whiskey and talking to that market but also a scale.

Vodka is the single largest outside of dark spirits. So again, the opportunity to play in that space within Australian vodka. When we looked at tequila, it was the fastest growing spirit in the world,” Drew says.

Plans for the agave bar and customer facing building.

The company is working with local tourism authorities in tropical North Queensland to create a great destination for tourists, especially from the southern states.

Top Shelf has plans to build a massive distillery and agave spirits bar on the property too.

Top Shelf International highlights

Top Shelf Intentional highlights

But in the end, it all comes down to taste.

Drew says it’s not about replicating the taste of Mexican tequila.

“We’re In the process of finalising brand. And Australian agave spirit, in many ways, when you’re talking about introducing brands competing at scale against internationals, which led the way in terms of what does an Australian whiskey taste like? We are not seeking to copy scotch or bourbon.

“We are comfortable in our own skin in terms of defining the taste profile,” Drew says.

Agave plants use the light from the moon to grow overnight

So what’s the best mixing drink to go with Agave spirit? Seb has a rather expensive answer.

“Tequila and orange is probably a little retro nowadays. But when someone else is paying, honestly margaritas topped with champagne can’t be beaten. It’s lovely and extravagant and delicious.”

Ahron Young travelled to North Queensland as a guest of Top Shelf International.

https://www2.asx.com.au/markets/company/tsi

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U.S. small business confidence hits 3-1/2-year peak

US small business confidence hits 3.5-year high post-election, driven by optimism for economy and hiring plans.

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U.S. small-business confidence reached its highest point in nearly 3-1/2 years in November, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

The NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index increased by 8.0 points to 101.7, marking the highest level since June 2021.

This surge followed the recent elections, which saw Donald Trump winning the presidential race and the Republican Party gaining control of Congress.

Small business owners, who typically lean Republican, showed increased confidence, a trend anticipated by economists.

Other sentiment surveys also reported improvements in consumer confidence post-election.

Economic improvement

The percentage of small business owners expecting economic improvement rose significantly, indicating a shift in outlook.

More owners believe now is a good time to expand their business, with expectations for higher sales growth increasing. Concerns about inflation slightly lessened, as fewer owners cited it as their primary issue.

Additionally, the uncertainty index for small businesses dropped, reflecting increased stability in economic expectations.

Despite ongoing labor shortages in various sectors, the number of businesses planning to hire rose to the highest level in a year.

Compensation for employees saw an uptick; 32% of owners reported increases, while a notable percentage plans further raises in the coming months.

 

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Inflation report tests stock rally before Fed meeting

**Inflation report next week could impact stock rally; Fed rate cuts anticipated amid strong job growth and resilient economy.**

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An upcoming inflation report will assess the strength of the U.S. stock market rally and influence the Federal Reserve’s rate cut strategy.

The S&P 500 has recorded its third consecutive weekly gain, increasing over 27% year-to-date.

This upward momentum in equities is influenced by expectations of additional Fed interest rate cuts amid a resilient economy.

Friday’s employment report indicated stronger than expected job growth, reinforcing this positive outlook. However, this data is not expected to change the Fed’s rate plans for its upcoming December meeting.

The consumer price index data due on Wednesday may alter this optimistic sentiment if inflation exceeds expectations, posing risks for well-performing stocks.

Experts note that if inflation rates are high, it could create uncertainty for investors before the Fed meeting.

Following the recent jobs report, the probability of the Fed cutting rates has increased, with nearly a 90% chance predicted for a 25 basis point cut.

The consumer price index is expected to rise by 2.7% over the past year.

If CPI results are higher than expected, it might prompt a cautious approach on future cuts, affecting outlooks for 2025.

Additionally, inflation concerns are heightened by the potential introduction of tariffs by President-elect Donald Trump.

Despite these factors, stock prices continue to rise, although there are warning signs of overly optimistic sentiment in the market.

Some analysts maintain a positive view on stocks heading into the year-end, citing a reduction in concerns surrounding the economy and interest rates.

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Stocks on the way to achieve three consecutive years of gains

S&P 500’s strong 2024 raises hopes, but concerns linger over AI sustainability and economic headwinds affecting future gains.

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The S&P 500 has risen 28% in 2024, poised for consecutive annual gains of over 20%.

Major banks forecast more modest returns for 2025, projecting the index reaching 6500, a 6.7% rise from approximately 6090.

Barclays has a more optimistic target of 6600, with Bank of America and Deutsche Bank expecting 6666 and 7000, respectively.

President-elect Donald Trump’s policies are seen as potentially beneficial for stocks, though high interest rates and geopolitical issues pose risks.

Investors remain cautious about the sustainability of the rally.

Economic conditions

Upcoming inflation data will be crucial for assessing economic conditions before the Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cut in December.

Increasingly, small-cap stocks are joining the rally, with the Russell 2000 index nearing record highs.

More than 220 S&P stocks have hit 52-week highs recently, which indicates broader market strength, making it less susceptible to downturns.

The early market gains were largely driven by major tech stocks, which continue to perform well amid various challenges.

Long-term growth expectations, however, appear dim, with forecasts suggesting limited gains over the next decade.

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