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RBA maintains cash rate at 4.10 percent, homeowners wait for good news

RBA maintains cash rate at 4.10%, delaying relief for homeowners amid global tariff concerns and inflation risks.

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RBA maintains cash rate at 4.10%, delaying relief for homeowners amid global tariff concerns and inflation risks.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has decided to maintain the official cash rate at 4.10 per cent, leaving homeowners awaiting further rate cuts. This decision follows the RBA’s board meeting held on Tuesday.

The RBA’s statement indicated that concerns over potential tariff expansions from the United States are influencing global economic confidence. The RBA noted that geopolitical uncertainties have increased, potentially affecting global economic activity and spending decisions by households and businesses.

Inflation concerns were also highlighted, with the RBA acknowledging the unpredictable nature of inflation rates. The board mentioned that although many central banks have relaxed monetary policies, they are becoming more cautious due to evolving global risks.

Market expectations aligned with the RBA’s hold on interest rates, as analysts indicated a low probability of a cut this month. Economist Saul Eslake suggested the RBA would consider upcoming jobs and inflation data before determining its next steps.

AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver stated the RBA is likely to remain cautious, particularly during an election period. He noted that while inflation remains below forecasts, the job market shows tight conditions, justifying a careful approach.

The RBA previously lowered the cash rate from 4.35 to 4.10 per cent in February and has urged mortgage holders to remain patient as they strive to manage inflation. RBA Governor Michele Bullock expressed understanding of the challenges faced by homeowners but emphasised the importance of reducing inflation before further rate cuts can occur.

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The hidden costs driving Australia’s housing crisis

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The biggest single problem causing Australia’s housing crisis is the cost of creating new dwellings.

The cost of the standard city house-and-land package is now $950,000 and is getting scarily close to $1 million for a newly constructed house in our capital cities.

Governments of all levels and persuasions tell us constantly that they desperately want to improve housing affordability, but what few of them shout about as loudly is that about 40% of the cost of new housing is made up of government taxes, fees and charges.

It seems incongruous that when cost is the biggest factor preventing new dwellings from being built, governments, which promise they are working on solutions, are doing nothing to ease the tax burden.

Builders and developers cannot deliver their normal products because the cost of construction is prohibitively high.

Earlier this year, the Productivity Commission revealed that government interference and bureaucracy had massively reduced productivity in the building industry.

Delays double the timeline

It now takes twice as long to deliver a new home compared to the 1990s.

This alone added considerable cost to new homes to the point where it is often no longer financially viable to build.

Recent analysis by the National Australia Bank confirms this. Its quarterly Residential Property Survey found that high construction costs and delays in getting approvals are by far the biggest barriers to producing new homes across Australia.

While much of the media would have us believe that interest rates are a big barrier, that was not the case, with very few of the survey respondents nominating that or tight finance as an issue.

It doesn’t matter how many new homes the Federal Government says it will build: until the issues of bureaucratic delays, high property taxes and the overall cost of construction are dealt with, building targets will not be met and the shortage will remain.

Terry Ryder is the Founder of Hotspotting and Host of  The Property Playbook on Ticker.

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Property

First-home buyers drive mortgage rebound

Australia’s mortgage market soars to $4.62 billion in June 2025, led by first-home buyers prioritizing debt repayment.

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Australia’s mortgage market soars to $4.62 billion in June 2025, led by first-home buyers prioritizing debt repayment.


Australia’s mortgage market is surging, with loans through the nation’s largest broker network hitting $4.62 billion in June 2025, the second-highest month on record.

First-home buyers are leading the charge, while most borrowers are choosing to pay down debt rather than ease repayments despite lower rates.

#HousingMarket #Mortgages #FirstHomeBuyers #Australia #Finance


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Regional Victoria property market shows first signs of revival

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Prices begin to shift after two-year pause as sales surge across key cities.

The first signs of revival are beginning to show in the Regional Victoria property market, where prices have been on pause for much of the past two years.

Hotspotting analysis of sales activity in the first quarter of 2025 detected early signs of increased buyer activity in Regional Victoria, and the June Quarter data has confirmed this. Transaction levels are now rising strongly in its leading regional cities and are at the highest level since the peak of the pandemic property boom at the end of 2021.

Sales volumes are now 16% higher than a year earlier and 28% higher than the same quarter two years ago. Bendigo, Geelong, Shepparton and Wodonga are leading the charge with rising sales activity which generally leads to future price growth.

In Bendigo, sales volumes are 41% higher in the June quarter and there are similar increases in Geelong and also in Shepparton. Shepparton’s market has been on a general upward trend in the past year and the number of sales in the first half of 2025 was 35% higher than the same period in 2024.

Ballarat’s sales levels in the June quarter are 28% higher than a year earlier and the city is showing signs of a solid revival after a couple of weak years in which prices fell. Something is happening in these key markets in Regional Victoria and part of the reason is that large numbers of Melbourne residents are leaving the big city and moving to regional areas for a different and more affordable lifestyle.

A key factor is that property prices are attractive in these places, after two years in which Victoria has not seen the big capital growth that has occurred in Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia. So, the timing is good to get into Victoria markets, before markets become competitive and prices start to grow.

You just need to keep in mind that taxes like stamp duty and land tax are much higher in Victoria than other parts of Australia and the State Government of Victoria keeps coming up with new ways to hit property owners and businesses with new or higher taxes.

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