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Post Market Wrap | Iress not to proceed with divestment of UK Mortgages business

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This Post Market Wrap is presented by KOSEC – Kodari Securities

  • Iress not to proceed with divestment of UK Mortgages business
  • Prospective purchasers‘ valuations fell short of price expectations
  • Mortgage business to be retained
  • 2022 outlook reaffirmed; Underlying Net Profit After Tax up by 25-37 percent
  • Underlying 2022 Earnings Per Share 40 to 44 cents.
  • Strong profit outlook to 2025 reaffirmed. 

IRESS Limited (Iress or the Company) provides core operating systems to the stockbroking, wealth management and institutional funds management industries. The Company provides software and services for trading and market data, financial advice, investment management, mortgages superannuation, life and pensions and data intelligence. It employs 2300 people, and its software and data feeds are used by 10,000 businesses and 500,000 users globally. The company operates in Australia, the United Kingdom, Europe, South Africa and Canada.

Mortgage business retained

The Mortgage business divestment process has come to an end after prospective purchasers’ valuations fell short of the Board’s price expectations. This follows a Board led strategy review in 2021 where it was determined that higher returns could be achieved under new ownership. This would enable the sale proceeds to be redeployed to enhance returns to Iress shareholders. 

During the sale process, the Board observed that global market volatility increased, and technology company valuations declined. 

Just two months ago, on 17 February, the Board stated their Mortgage business was performing well with 2 more projects completed in the year and a strong and growing new sales pipeline. The Board added that the Company is assessing the potential to divest the business and distribute proceeds to shareholders. 

Today the Board have concluded that the best outcome for shareholders, clients and people is for Iress to retain the business. The Chief Executive commented: “The Mortgages business continues to perform strongly, contributing £16.1m of revenue and £6.4m of net profit after tax in 2021. In recent months, Mortgages has increased its pipeline of opportunities as lenders demand greater scale, efficiency and automation in mortgage processing.”

Image: File

2022 outlook reaffirmed

Full year 2022 earnings guidance has been reaffirmed, although the earnings estimate now includes the Mortgages business. The full year 2022 Underlying Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) is estimated to grow by 25-37 percent. This translates to an estimated Earnings Per Share guidance of 40 to 44 cents. 

Earnings estimates out to 2025 remain unchanged. Including the Mortgages business, NPAT is has been estimated to be in the range of $120 million to $135 million. The Company also disclosed that despite the Mortgage business not being divested, the $100 million share buy-back program currently underway, will be completed as planned. 

It is noteworthy that the NPAT contribution from the Mortgage business in 2025 is estimated at 13 percent of total NPAT of the Company. This is a slight decline from 17 percent of NPAT, in 2022.

Importantly, the decision not to pursue the sale of the Mortgages business has not altered the medium-term earnings outlook of Iress. The Company continues to exhibit annual earnings growth rates of more than 20 percent per annum out to 2024 and an estimated 12.5 percent in 2025. 

The Company’s 2025 Underlying NPAT target (including Mortgages) is estimated at $135 million. This compares to NPAT of $73.8 million recorded in the 2021 financial year.

This Post Market Wrap is presented by Kodari Securities, written by Michael Kodari, CEO at KOSEC.

"Michael Kodari is one of the world's most consistent, top performing investor. A philanthropist and one of the prominent experts of the financial markets, he has been referred to as ‘the brightest 21st century entrepreneur in wealth management' by CNBC Asia and featured on Forbes. Featured on TV as the "Money Expert", on the weekly Sunday program "Elevator Pitch", he is recognised internationally by governments as he was the guest of honour for the event "Inside China's Future", chosen by the Chinese government from the funds management industry, attended by industry leaders, when they arrived in Sydney Australia, on April 2014. Michael and George Soros were the only two financiers in the world invited and chosen by the Chinese government to provide advice, and their expertise on Chinese government asset allocation offshore. With a strong background in funds management and stockbroking, Michael has worked with some of the most successful investors and consulted to leading financial institutions. He was the youngest person ever to appear on the expert panel for Fox, Sky News Business Channel at the age of 25 where he demonstrated his skillset across a 3 year period forming the most consistent track record and getting all his predictions right over that period. Michael writes for key financial publications, is regularly interviewed by various media and conducts conferences around the world."

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Money

China prioritizes boosting domestic consumption amid economic concerns

China pledges to boost domestic consumption, plans bigger budget deficit, lower interest rates amid stagnant spending and economic concerns.

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China’s Communist Party leaders have prioritised boosting domestic consumption during their recent meeting in Beijing.

President Xi Jinping led the discussions, where officials agreed to larger budget deficits, increased borrowing, and lower interest rates, as reported by state media.

Consumer spending has been hampered by a collapsing real estate market, which significantly affects household wealth.

These decisions indicate Beijing’s readiness to adopt aggressive measures to stimulate spending, following efforts that began in September to address weak demand and growth.

The meeting highlighted the importance of sustaining economic growth and stability in employment and prices for the coming year, with a focus on enhancing consumption.

Specific policies

While the meeting conveyed a supportive stance on growth, specific policies were not detailed.

Economist Larry Hu noted that direct cash aid to consumers is unlikely; instead, the government will likely increase public spending to boost overall demand.

Following the meeting, Chinese stock futures declined, reflecting market uncertainty.

This conference is typically used to outline priorities for policy changes and upcoming budget announcements.

Earlier, the Politburo acknowledged the need for a stronger economic approach, signaling a willingness to lower interest rates.

Financial strain

China has faced challenges this year with sluggish growth and declining prices, leading to consumer reluctance and local governments facing financial difficulties.

Experts believe the government needs to enhance support to restore consumer confidence.

Since September, the government has initiated large-scale measures to stimulate spending but may not significantly shift from its state-led growth focus.

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Money

Trump’s crypto venture partners with terrorists-linked platform

Trump’s crypto venture partners with Tron, linked to militants, raising ethical concerns and potential conflicts of interest.

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A new cryptocurrency venture by Donald Trump and special envoy Steve Witkoff has partnered with Tron, a platform criticised for ties to Iran-supported militant groups.

World Liberty Financial, co-founded by Witkoff, raises ethical concerns among experts due to this partnership.

Tron is noted for its speed and low fees and has been linked to crypto transfers involving designated terrorist organizations, according to financial crime experts.

The platform’s founder, Justin Sun, is set to advise the Trump-Witkoff venture after Tron’s $30 million investment in World Liberty.

Israeli authorities have frequently associated Tron with militant funding, highlighting the freeze of numerous Tron wallets tied to terrorist activities.

Crypto advocate

Concerns about potential conflicts of interest and ethics surround Trump’s financial ties to World Liberty, where he is listed as a “chief crypto advocate” and is entitled to a share of revenues.

Experts worry that Witkoff’s financial stake may influence U.S. policy, despite plans for a blind trust.

Witkoff’s appointment as envoy comes as the region faces rising tensions, raising further scrutiny of his dual roles in business and government.

The role of special envoy does not needed Senate confirmation, potentially allowing Witkoff to accept outside income while serving, which complicates oversight.

Experts say that strict boundaries should exist between his diplomatic responsibilities and personal financial interests.

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Money

U.S. small business confidence hits 3-1/2-year peak

US small business confidence hits 3.5-year high post-election, driven by optimism for economy and hiring plans.

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U.S. small-business confidence reached its highest point in nearly 3-1/2 years in November, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

The NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index increased by 8.0 points to 101.7, marking the highest level since June 2021.

This surge followed the recent elections, which saw Donald Trump winning the presidential race and the Republican Party gaining control of Congress.

Small business owners, who typically lean Republican, showed increased confidence, a trend anticipated by economists.

Other sentiment surveys also reported improvements in consumer confidence post-election.

Economic improvement

The percentage of small business owners expecting economic improvement rose significantly, indicating a shift in outlook.

More owners believe now is a good time to expand their business, with expectations for higher sales growth increasing. Concerns about inflation slightly lessened, as fewer owners cited it as their primary issue.

Additionally, the uncertainty index for small businesses dropped, reflecting increased stability in economic expectations.

Despite ongoing labor shortages in various sectors, the number of businesses planning to hire rose to the highest level in a year.

Compensation for employees saw an uptick; 32% of owners reported increases, while a notable percentage plans further raises in the coming months.

 

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