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Post Market Wrap | Iress not to proceed with divestment of UK Mortgages business

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This Post Market Wrap is presented by KOSEC – Kodari Securities

  • Iress not to proceed with divestment of UK Mortgages business
  • Prospective purchasers‘ valuations fell short of price expectations
  • Mortgage business to be retained
  • 2022 outlook reaffirmed; Underlying Net Profit After Tax up by 25-37 percent
  • Underlying 2022 Earnings Per Share 40 to 44 cents.
  • Strong profit outlook to 2025 reaffirmed. 

IRESS Limited (Iress or the Company) provides core operating systems to the stockbroking, wealth management and institutional funds management industries. The Company provides software and services for trading and market data, financial advice, investment management, mortgages superannuation, life and pensions and data intelligence. It employs 2300 people, and its software and data feeds are used by 10,000 businesses and 500,000 users globally. The company operates in Australia, the United Kingdom, Europe, South Africa and Canada.

Mortgage business retained

The Mortgage business divestment process has come to an end after prospective purchasers’ valuations fell short of the Board’s price expectations. This follows a Board led strategy review in 2021 where it was determined that higher returns could be achieved under new ownership. This would enable the sale proceeds to be redeployed to enhance returns to Iress shareholders. 

During the sale process, the Board observed that global market volatility increased, and technology company valuations declined. 

Just two months ago, on 17 February, the Board stated their Mortgage business was performing well with 2 more projects completed in the year and a strong and growing new sales pipeline. The Board added that the Company is assessing the potential to divest the business and distribute proceeds to shareholders. 

Today the Board have concluded that the best outcome for shareholders, clients and people is for Iress to retain the business. The Chief Executive commented: “The Mortgages business continues to perform strongly, contributing £16.1m of revenue and £6.4m of net profit after tax in 2021. In recent months, Mortgages has increased its pipeline of opportunities as lenders demand greater scale, efficiency and automation in mortgage processing.”

Image: File

2022 outlook reaffirmed

Full year 2022 earnings guidance has been reaffirmed, although the earnings estimate now includes the Mortgages business. The full year 2022 Underlying Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) is estimated to grow by 25-37 percent. This translates to an estimated Earnings Per Share guidance of 40 to 44 cents. 

Earnings estimates out to 2025 remain unchanged. Including the Mortgages business, NPAT is has been estimated to be in the range of $120 million to $135 million. The Company also disclosed that despite the Mortgage business not being divested, the $100 million share buy-back program currently underway, will be completed as planned. 

It is noteworthy that the NPAT contribution from the Mortgage business in 2025 is estimated at 13 percent of total NPAT of the Company. This is a slight decline from 17 percent of NPAT, in 2022.

Importantly, the decision not to pursue the sale of the Mortgages business has not altered the medium-term earnings outlook of Iress. The Company continues to exhibit annual earnings growth rates of more than 20 percent per annum out to 2024 and an estimated 12.5 percent in 2025. 

The Company’s 2025 Underlying NPAT target (including Mortgages) is estimated at $135 million. This compares to NPAT of $73.8 million recorded in the 2021 financial year.

This Post Market Wrap is presented by Kodari Securities, written by Michael Kodari, CEO at KOSEC.

"Michael Kodari is one of the world's most consistent, top performing investor. A philanthropist and one of the prominent experts of the financial markets, he has been referred to as ‘the brightest 21st century entrepreneur in wealth management' by CNBC Asia and featured on Forbes. Featured on TV as the "Money Expert", on the weekly Sunday program "Elevator Pitch", he is recognised internationally by governments as he was the guest of honour for the event "Inside China's Future", chosen by the Chinese government from the funds management industry, attended by industry leaders, when they arrived in Sydney Australia, on April 2014. Michael and George Soros were the only two financiers in the world invited and chosen by the Chinese government to provide advice, and their expertise on Chinese government asset allocation offshore. With a strong background in funds management and stockbroking, Michael has worked with some of the most successful investors and consulted to leading financial institutions. He was the youngest person ever to appear on the expert panel for Fox, Sky News Business Channel at the age of 25 where he demonstrated his skillset across a 3 year period forming the most consistent track record and getting all his predictions right over that period. Michael writes for key financial publications, is regularly interviewed by various media and conducts conferences around the world."

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Money

Research shows daters are looking for solvent partners

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As the cost-of-living crisis continues to grip Australia, new research reveals a shifting landscape in the realm of dating preferences.

According to the survey conducted by eharmony, an overwhelming two-thirds of Australians are now keen to understand their potential partner’s financial situation before committing to a serious relationship.

The findings indicate a growing trend where individuals are becoming more discerning about whom they invest their affections in, particularly as the economic pressures intensify.

Read more: Why are car prices so high?

The study highlights that nearly half of respondents (48%) consider a potential partner’s debts and income as crucial factors in determining whether to pursue a relationship.

Certain types of debt, such as credit card debt, payday loans, and personal loans, are viewed unfavorably by the vast majority of respondents, signaling a preference for partners who exhibit financial responsibility.

Good debt

While certain forms of debt, such as mortgages and student loans (e.g., HECS), are deemed acceptable or even ‘good’ debt by a majority of respondents, credit card debt, payday loans (such as Afterpay), and personal loans top the list of ‘bad’ debt, with 82%, 78%, and 73% of respondents, respectively, expressing concerns.

Interestingly, even car loans are viewed unfavorably by a significant portion of those surveyed, with 57.5% considering them to be undesirable debt.

Sharon Draper, a relationship expert at eharmony, said the significance of financial compatibility in relationships, noting that discussions around money are increasingly taking place at earlier stages of dating.

“In the past, couples tended to avoid discussing money during the early stages of dating because it was regarded as rude and potentially off-putting,” Draper explains.

“However, understanding each other’s perspectives and habits around finances early on can be instrumental in assessing long-term compatibility.”

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Money

US energy stocks surge amid economic growth and inflation fears

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Investors are turning to U.S. energy shares in droves, capitalizing on surging oil prices and a resilient economy while seeking protection against looming inflationary pressures.

The S&P 500 energy sector has witnessed a remarkable ascent in 2024, boasting gains of approximately 17%, effectively doubling the broader index’s year-to-date performance.

This surge has intensified in recent weeks, propelling the energy sector to the forefront of the S&P 500’s top-performing sectors.

A significant catalyst driving this rally is the relentless rise in oil prices. U.S. crude has surged by 20% year-to-date, propelled by robust economic indicators in the United States and escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Investors are also turning to energy shares as a hedge against inflation, which has proven more persistent than anticipated, threatening to derail the broader market rally.

Ayako Yoshioka, senior portfolio manager at Wealth Enhancement Group, notes that having exposure to commodities can serve as a hedge against inflationary pressures, prompting many portfolios to overweight energy stocks.

Shell Service Station

Shell Service Station

Energy companies

This sentiment is underscored by the disciplined capital spending observed among energy companies, particularly oil majors such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

Among the standout performers within the energy sector this year are Marathon Petroleum, which has surged by 40%, and Valero Energy, up by an impressive 33%.

As the first-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear, with reports from major companies such as Netflix, Bank of America, and Procter & Gamble, investors will closely scrutinize economic indicators such as monthly U.S. retail sales to gauge consumer behavior amidst lingering inflation concerns.

The rally in energy stocks signals a broadening of the U.S. equities rally beyond growth and technology companies that dominated last year.

However, escalating inflation expectations and concerns about a hawkish Federal Reserve could dampen investors’ appetite for non-commodities-related sectors.

Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel Corp., highlights investors’ focus on the robust economy amidst supply bottlenecks in commodities, especially oil.

This sentiment is echoed by strategists at Morgan Stanley and RBC Capital Markets, who maintain bullish calls on energy shares, citing heightened geopolitical risks and strong economic fundamentals.

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Money

How Australians lose nearly $1 billion to card scammers in a year

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A recent study by Finder has unveiled a distressing trend: Australians are hemorrhaging money to card scams at an alarming rate.

The survey, conducted among 1,039 participants, painted a grim picture, with 2.2 million individuals – roughly 11% of the population – falling prey to credit or debit card skimming in 2023 alone.

The financial toll of these scams is staggering. On average, victims lost $418 each, amounting to a colossal $930 million collectively across the country.

Rebecca Pike, a financial expert at Finder, underscored the correlation between the surge in digital transactions and the proliferation of sophisticated scams.

“Scammers are adapting, leveraging sophisticated tactics that often mimic trusted brands or exploit personal connections. With digital transactions on the rise, it’s imperative for consumers to remain vigilant and proactive in safeguarding their financial assets,” Pike said.

Read more – How Google is cracking down on scams

Concerning trend

Disturbingly, Finder’s research also revealed a concerning trend in underreporting.

Only 9% of scam victims reported the incident, while 1% remained oblivious to the fraudulent activity initially. Additionally, 1% of respondents discovered they were victims of bank card fraud only after the fact, highlighting the insidious nature of these schemes.

Pike urged consumers to exercise heightened scrutiny over their financial statements, recommending frequent monitoring for any unauthorised transactions.

She explained the importance of leveraging notification services offered by financial institutions to promptly identify and report suspicious activity.

“Early detection is key. If you notice any unfamiliar transactions, don’t hesitate to contact your bank immediately. Swift action can mitigate further unauthorised use of your card,” Pike advised, underscoring the critical role of proactive measures in combating card scams.

As Australians grapple with the escalating threat of card fraud, Pike’s counsel serves as a timely reminder of the necessity for heightened vigilance in an increasingly digitised financial landscape.

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