Money

JPMorgan predicts recession due to Trump’s tariffs

JPMorgan forecasts US recession due to Trump’s tariffs; GDP growth revised down, unemployment expected to rise.

Published

10 months ago

April 5, 2025

Ahron Young

JPMorgan forecasts US recession due to Trump’s tariffs; GDP growth revised down, unemployment expected to rise.

In Short

JPMorgan Chase & Co. predicts a US recession in 2025 due to Trump-era tariffs, with GDP growth potentially falling to -0.3% and unemployment rising to 5.3%.

Following these announcements, major financial institutions have lowered growth forecasts, while the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates despite inflation concerns.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. has projected that the US economy is likely to enter a recession in 2025 due to the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration.

The bank’s chief US economist, Michael Feroli, indicated that real GDP growth could contract by 0.3%, a significant drop from the previously expected growth of 1.3%. This contraction may also lead to decreased hiring and an increase in the unemployment rate to 5.3%.

Following the announcement of the tariffs, the S&P 500 index experienced a significant decline, resulting in a loss of $5.4 trillion in market value over just two trading sessions.

US imports

Other financial institutions, including Barclays and Citi, have similarly adjusted their projections for US economic growth downward, with Citi estimating growth at only 0.1% for the year. UBS has forecast a more than 20% reduction in US imports in the coming quarters.

Feroli anticipates that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates starting in June, reducing the current benchmark rate to between 2.75% and 3%. This decision comes despite a projected rise in inflation.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently stated that there is no urgency to adjust rates amidst strong hiring figures and a slight rise in unemployment to 4.2%. Investors are expecting significant rate cuts by the end of the year.

Money

RBA rate shock: ASX200, Gold and Crypto market

RBA’s interest rate shift impacts ASX200, AUD; gold/silver rebound analyzed amidst upcoming economic data and crypto market navigation.

Published

9 hours ago

February 10, 2026

Harvey Vargas

RBA’s interest rate shift impacts ASX200, AUD; gold/silver rebound analyzed amidst upcoming economic data and crypto market navigation.

The RBA’s latest interest rate decision has sent ripples through the ASX200 and AUD, leaving investors weighing what comes next. We break down how these changes could affect global equities ahead of this week’s crucial non-farm payroll and consumer price index releases.

Zoran Kresovic from Blueberry Markets shares his analysis on the rebound in gold and silver after recent market turbulence, and what factors could drive further gains or sell-offs in the commodities market.

We also dive into the current state of cryptocurrencies, exploring how investors can navigate volatility and what to watch as economic data continues to shape market sentiment.

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#RBA #ASX200 #GoldMarket #SilverRebound #CryptoUpdate #InvestingTips #MarketVolatility #EconomicOutlook

Money

Dow hits record while tech stocks drive market gains

S&P 500 rose 0.7% with Nvidia and Broadcom driving gains; investors await delayed January jobs and inflation reports.

Published

10 hours ago

February 10, 2026

Harvey Vargas

S&P 500 rose 0.7% with Nvidia and Broadcom driving gains; investors await delayed January jobs and inflation reports.

The S&P 500 rose 0.7% on Monday, powered by gains in technology stocks, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit new heights. Investors are eagerly awaiting crucial economic reports this week.

Nvidia and Broadcom were among the standout performers, climbing 3% and 4% respectively, continuing the momentum from the previous session. The market rebound comes after significant losses earlier last week, with the Dow exceeding 50,000 for the first time ever on Friday.

Investors now turn their attention to the delayed January jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, due Wednesday, and the consumer price index for January, expected Friday with a 2.5% annual rise.

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Money

Tech stocks slide as investors rotate into small-cap and value plays

Nasdaq drops 1.84% amid turbulent week; investors pivot to cyclical and value sectors from high-growth tech.

Published

1 day ago

February 9, 2026

Harvey Vargas

Nasdaq drops 1.84% amid turbulent week; investors pivot to cyclical and value sectors from high-growth tech.

U.S. equity markets wrapped up a turbulent week with mixed results. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.84%, marking its worst week for large-cap technology stocks since November, while the S&P 500 remained largely unchanged. Investors are weighing concerns about artificial intelligence and potential overinvestment in high-growth areas.

Meanwhile, smaller-cap and value-oriented stocks continued to add to their year-to-date gains. Market participants rotated into cyclical sectors that had lagged, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment and appetite for risk outside the traditional tech heavyweights.

Analysts say this rotation highlights the broader market’s evolving dynamics, as growth concerns collide with opportunities in underappreciated areas. Stay tuned for further developments as the market digests these trends.

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