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Inflation report tests stock rally before Fed meeting

**Inflation report next week could impact stock rally; Fed rate cuts anticipated amid strong job growth and resilient economy.**

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An upcoming inflation report will assess the strength of the U.S. stock market rally and influence the Federal Reserve’s rate cut strategy.

The S&P 500 has recorded its third consecutive weekly gain, increasing over 27% year-to-date.

This upward momentum in equities is influenced by expectations of additional Fed interest rate cuts amid a resilient economy.

Friday’s employment report indicated stronger than expected job growth, reinforcing this positive outlook. However, this data is not expected to change the Fed’s rate plans for its upcoming December meeting.

The consumer price index data due on Wednesday may alter this optimistic sentiment if inflation exceeds expectations, posing risks for well-performing stocks.

Experts note that if inflation rates are high, it could create uncertainty for investors before the Fed meeting.

Following the recent jobs report, the probability of the Fed cutting rates has increased, with nearly a 90% chance predicted for a 25 basis point cut.

The consumer price index is expected to rise by 2.7% over the past year.

If CPI results are higher than expected, it might prompt a cautious approach on future cuts, affecting outlooks for 2025.

Additionally, inflation concerns are heightened by the potential introduction of tariffs by President-elect Donald Trump.

Despite these factors, stock prices continue to rise, although there are warning signs of overly optimistic sentiment in the market.

Some analysts maintain a positive view on stocks heading into the year-end, citing a reduction in concerns surrounding the economy and interest rates.

Money

Commodities surge as oil volatility and metals hit record highs

Oil prices fluctuate due to geopolitical tensions; precious metals soar amid inflation concerns, sparking a commodities rally.

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Oil prices fluctuate due to geopolitical tensions; precious metals soar amid inflation concerns, sparking a commodities rally.

Global commodities are on the move, with oil prices swinging sharply as geopolitical tensions involving Iran fuel uncertainty across energy markets. Traders are closely watching supply risks and political flashpoints, driving short-term volatility.

Precious metals are stealing the spotlight, pushing to record highs as investors seek safety amid inflation concerns, interest-rate uncertainty and rising global risk. At the same time, industrial metals are surging, supported by demand expectations and tightening supply.

To unpack what this means for markets and investors, we’re joined by Kyle Rodda from Capital.com to break down the key drivers behind this powerful commodities rally.

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#Commodities #OilPrices #Gold #Metals #MarketVolatility #Geopolitics #Investing #TickerNews


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Stocks slide and Trump cancels talks: What’s next for markets and Greenland?

U.S. stocks dip; S&P 500 down 0.9%, as investors react to weak bank earnings and market volatility.

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U.S. stocks dip; S&P 500 down 0.9%, as investors react to weak bank earnings and market volatility.


U.S. stocks fell for a second day on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.9% and the Dow Jones losing 164 points. Investors are reassessing record-high levels as major banks report weaker-than-expected earnings.

Wells Fargo shares tumbled more than 5% after disappointing revenue results, while Bank of America is down roughly 7% week to date. Citigroup and Wells Fargo have both seen declines of about 8%, highlighting volatility in the banking sector.

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#StockMarket #SP500 #DowJones #BankEarnings #TrumpNews #Iran #Greenland #Geopolitics


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U.S. budget deficit falls to $1.67 trillion

US budget deficit falls to $1.67 trillion amid tariffs; implications of corporate taxes and Supreme Court rulings discussed.

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US budget deficit falls to $1.67 trillion amid tariffs; implications of corporate taxes and Supreme Court rulings discussed.


The US budget deficit has dropped to $1.67 trillion in 2025, the lowest in three years, driven by record customs revenue from President Donald Trump’s tariffs. While this marks a positive shift for the economy, challenges loom with potential Supreme Court rulings on tariffs and falling corporate tax receipts.

David Scutt from StoneX explains the key factors behind the decline in the deficit and what December’s figures reveal about the overall fiscal health of the US.

We also explore the potential implications of upcoming Supreme Court decisions and how the One Big Beautiful Bill Act could impact future deficits. Stay informed on what these changes mean for the economy and markets.

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#USBudget #DeficitUpdate #TrumpTariffs #FiscalPolicy #Economy2025 #SupremeCourtImpact #CorporateTaxes #FinancialNews


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