CPI data, RBA expectations and geopolitical risks

CPI data poised to influence Australian equities and dollar amid inflation outlook ahead of Reserve Bank interest rate decision

Next week’s quarterly CPI data is shaping up to be a major catalyst for Australian markets, with implications for equities, the Australian dollar, and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s next interest rate decision. Inflation readings will be closely watched for signals on whether price pressures are easing or remain sticky, which could ultimately determine the RBA’s policy direction in May and beyond.

At the same time, geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are adding another layer of uncertainty for global markets. As a critical energy shipping route, any disruption in the region has the potential to impact oil supply and push prices higher, feeding into broader inflation concerns and market volatility across asset classes.

Bitcoin is also back in focus after breaking a key downtrend, raising questions about whether momentum is shifting in crypto markets.

Zoran Kresovic from Blueberry Markets unpacks how CPI data, oil risks, and crypto technicals are intersecting, and what investors should be watching in the weeks ahead as sentiment continues to evolve across global financial markets.

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