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China’s economic headwinds will impact the world

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In recent times, China’s economic health has become a topic of international concern. Often regarded as the world’s second-largest economy and home to over 1.4 billion people,

China is grappling with a slew of issues: sluggish growth, soaring youth unemployment, and a turbulent property market. The situation escalated further when the chairman of Evergrande, a heavily-indebted real estate giant, came under police scrutiny, leading to a suspension of the company’s shares on the stock market.

The question on many minds is how much these troubles in China matter to the rest of the world. While some argue that fears of a global catastrophe are exaggerated, there will undoubtedly be repercussions felt by multinational corporations, their employees, and even individuals with no direct ties to China.

China plays a pivotal role in the global economy, responsible for more than a third of worldwide economic growth. Hence, any slowdown in China’s economic engine will reverberate beyond its borders. Multinational giants like Apple, Volkswagen, and Burberry rely heavily on China’s vast consumer market, and reduced domestic consumption in China will affect these companies and, subsequently, their global suppliers and workers.

However, the idea that China is the sole driver of global prosperity has its skeptics. While China’s economic growth contributes significantly to global figures, it primarily benefits China itself due to its trade surplus. This surplus means that China exports far more than it imports, making its growth more self-contained.

Nonetheless, a China that spends less on goods and services, or on housing construction, translates to reduced demand for raw materials and commodities. This hits countries like Australia, Brazil, and African nations, which heavily depend on exporting such resources. Moreover, weak demand in China results in stable prices, which can be welcomed by Western consumers grappling with inflation.

Over the past decade, China has poured over a trillion dollars into expansive infrastructure initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative, benefiting more than 150 countries. However, if China’s economic problems persist, its capacity to finance such projects abroad may diminish. This could have lasting consequences, especially for developing nations reliant on Chinese investments and technology for their infrastructure development.

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Fed cuts rates, signals more potentially ahead

Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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In Short:
– The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter-point to address job market concerns.
– Officials expect at least two additional rate cuts by year-end amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by a quarter-point, addressing concerns about a weakening job market overshadowing inflation worries.
A majority of officials anticipate at least two additional cuts by year-end during the remaining meetings in October and December.Banner

Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted a significant shift in the labour market, highlighting “downside risk” in his statements.

The recent rate cut, supported by 11 of 12 Fed voters, aims to recalibrate an economy facing uncertainties from policy changes and market pressures.

Policy Dynamics

The decision comes amid intense political scrutiny, with President Trump openly criticising Powell’s reluctance to lower rates.

Despite the controversy, Powell asserts that political pressures do not influence Fed operations.

The current benchmark federal-funds rate now sits between 4% and 4.25%, the lowest since 2021, providing some reprieve to consumers and small businesses. Economic forecasts indicate ongoing complexities, including inflation trends and the impact of tariffs on labour dynamics, complicating future policy decisions.


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Fed faces unusual dissent amid leadership uncertainty

Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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In Short:
– This week’s Federal Reserve meeting faces unusual dissent as Chair Powell approaches his term’s end.
– Analysts predict dissent over expected rate cuts due to political pressures from Trump-appointed officials.
This week’s Federal Reserve meeting is set to be particularly unusual, with Chair Jerome Powell facing significant disagreements over future policy as he approaches the end of his term in May.Tensions began before the meeting when Fed governor Lisa Cook won a court ruling allowing her to attend, despite opposition from President Trump, who is attempting to remove her.

The situation is further complicated by the recent swearing-in of Trump adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed’s board, following a Senate confirmation.

Analysts believe Powell may encounter dissent on an expected quarter-percentage-point rate cut from both Trump-appointed officials and regional Fed presidents concerned about inflation.

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Potential Dissent

Trump has urged significant rate cuts and for the board to challenge Powell’s decisions.

Some analysts predict dissenting votes from Miran and other Trump appointees in favour of larger cuts. Federal Reserve veterans express concerns that political motivations may undermine the institution’s integrity, with indications that greater dissent could become commonplace.


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RBA plans to ban credit card surcharges in Australia

Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards

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Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards.

In Short:
– The RBA plans to ban surcharges on debit and credit card transactions, supported by consumer group Choice.
– Major banks oppose the ban, warning it could lead to higher card fees and reduced rewards for credit card users.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) intends to implement a ban on surcharges associated with debit and credit card transactions. Consumer advocacy group Choice endorses this initiative, arguing that it is unjust for users of low-cost debit cards to incur similar fees as credit card holders.Banner

The major banks, however, are opposing this reform. They caution that the removal of surcharges could prompt customers to abandon credit cards due to diminished rewards.

A final decision by the RBA is anticipated by December 2025.


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