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Australia’s productivity gap widens compares to the U.S.

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Australia’s ongoing efforts to enhance productivity growth have yielded significant reforms, yet its GDP per capita lags behind that of the United States.

A recent analysis delves into the fundamental disparities between the two nations’ productivity levels, shedding light on potential explanations for this gap.

The examination, conducted by the Australian Government Treasury, underscores the critical role of productivity in shaping GDP per capita differentials.

Despite comparable hours worked per capita between Australia and the US over the past four decades, Australia’s GDP per hour worked has consistently remained at 75-85% of its US counterpart.

Income gap

This disparity underscores the significance of productivity in explaining the Australia-US income gap.

For instance, if Australian labor productivity matched US levels in 2002, Australia’s GDP per capita could have been $7,900 higher.

Consequently, closing the productivity gap holds promise for future GDP per capita gains and could propel Australia closer to the global productivity frontier represented by the US.

The analysis examines three primary explanations for the productivity gap: variances in human capital, differences in product and labor market policies, and disparities in geographic and historical contexts.

While human capital disparities, particularly in educational attainment, contribute to the gap, differences in physical capital per hour worked appear less significant.

FILE PHOTO: Tourists walk around the forecourt of Australia’s Parliament House in Canberra, Australia. REUTERS/David Gray/File Photo

Read more: Australia cracks 30% for women on boards

Geography and history

While policy reforms could narrow the productivity gap by up to one-sixth, factors such as geography and history may impede Australia’s ability to fully close the gap.

These findings emphasize the multifaceted nature of the Australia-US productivity gap and the importance of targeted policy measures to bridge it.

However, the analysis acknowledges substantial challenges in measuring productivity, citing statistical and methodological issues inherent in international comparisons.

Issues such as varying industry measurement methodologies and exchange rate fluctuations complicate accurate assessments of productivity differentials.

The exploration of Australia-US productivity disparities underscores the complexities of economic analysis and the importance of nuanced approaches to policy formulation.

Ahron Young is an award winning journalist who has covered major news events around the world. Ahron is the Managing Editor and Founder of TICKER NEWS.

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Hospotting drives investment advantage

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How is Hotspotting helping Australian investors?

Wyld Money dives into the world of financial freedom. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just getting started, join us for actionable tips and tricks to unlock your earning potential, and retire on your own terms.

Hosted by Mark Wyld.

In this episode, Mark is joined by Tim Graham, General Manager of Hotspotting Australia.

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Research shows daters are looking for solvent partners

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As the cost-of-living crisis continues to grip Australia, new research reveals a shifting landscape in the realm of dating preferences.

According to the survey conducted by eharmony, an overwhelming two-thirds of Australians are now keen to understand their potential partner’s financial situation before committing to a serious relationship.

The findings indicate a growing trend where individuals are becoming more discerning about whom they invest their affections in, particularly as the economic pressures intensify.

Read more: Why are car prices so high?

The study highlights that nearly half of respondents (48%) consider a potential partner’s debts and income as crucial factors in determining whether to pursue a relationship.

Certain types of debt, such as credit card debt, payday loans, and personal loans, are viewed unfavorably by the vast majority of respondents, signaling a preference for partners who exhibit financial responsibility.

Good debt

While certain forms of debt, such as mortgages and student loans (e.g., HECS), are deemed acceptable or even ‘good’ debt by a majority of respondents, credit card debt, payday loans (such as Afterpay), and personal loans top the list of ‘bad’ debt, with 82%, 78%, and 73% of respondents, respectively, expressing concerns.

Interestingly, even car loans are viewed unfavorably by a significant portion of those surveyed, with 57.5% considering them to be undesirable debt.

Sharon Draper, a relationship expert at eharmony, said the significance of financial compatibility in relationships, noting that discussions around money are increasingly taking place at earlier stages of dating.

“In the past, couples tended to avoid discussing money during the early stages of dating because it was regarded as rude and potentially off-putting,” Draper explains.

“However, understanding each other’s perspectives and habits around finances early on can be instrumental in assessing long-term compatibility.”

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US energy stocks surge amid economic growth and inflation fears

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Investors are turning to U.S. energy shares in droves, capitalizing on surging oil prices and a resilient economy while seeking protection against looming inflationary pressures.

The S&P 500 energy sector has witnessed a remarkable ascent in 2024, boasting gains of approximately 17%, effectively doubling the broader index’s year-to-date performance.

This surge has intensified in recent weeks, propelling the energy sector to the forefront of the S&P 500’s top-performing sectors.

A significant catalyst driving this rally is the relentless rise in oil prices. U.S. crude has surged by 20% year-to-date, propelled by robust economic indicators in the United States and escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Investors are also turning to energy shares as a hedge against inflation, which has proven more persistent than anticipated, threatening to derail the broader market rally.

Ayako Yoshioka, senior portfolio manager at Wealth Enhancement Group, notes that having exposure to commodities can serve as a hedge against inflationary pressures, prompting many portfolios to overweight energy stocks.

Shell Service Station

Shell Service Station

Energy companies

This sentiment is underscored by the disciplined capital spending observed among energy companies, particularly oil majors such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

Among the standout performers within the energy sector this year are Marathon Petroleum, which has surged by 40%, and Valero Energy, up by an impressive 33%.

As the first-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear, with reports from major companies such as Netflix, Bank of America, and Procter & Gamble, investors will closely scrutinize economic indicators such as monthly U.S. retail sales to gauge consumer behavior amidst lingering inflation concerns.

The rally in energy stocks signals a broadening of the U.S. equities rally beyond growth and technology companies that dominated last year.

However, escalating inflation expectations and concerns about a hawkish Federal Reserve could dampen investors’ appetite for non-commodities-related sectors.

Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel Corp., highlights investors’ focus on the robust economy amidst supply bottlenecks in commodities, especially oil.

This sentiment is echoed by strategists at Morgan Stanley and RBC Capital Markets, who maintain bullish calls on energy shares, citing heightened geopolitical risks and strong economic fundamentals.

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