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Australia’s GDP results are in – it’s not all bad, but what has delta done?

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Australia’s economy shows positives signs of recovery, but the nation’s economy hasn’t seen the full impact of current lockdowns in its major cities

GDP results

According to new data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the nation’s economy rose 0.7 percent, in the June quarter. GDP gross domestic product per capita also rose 0.4 percent. For 2020-21 Australia’s GDP has now risen 1.4 percent.

The economy is now sitting at 1.6 percent above where it was prior to the Covid-19 pandemic. Treasurer Josh Frydenberg says the results have exceeds all market expectations and are ahead of the Federal Budget’s forecast.

“The Australian economy is true. The Australian economy’s fundamentals are sound.
The Australian economy will bounce back after restrictions are eased,” 
Josh Frydenberg, Australian Treasurer

Lockdown bite, still to come

Although the figures are generally positive, they do not give the full picture of the economy’s suffering to come.  Australia’s two major cities, Sydney and Melbourne, remain in lengthy lockdowns. The full impact of these lockdowns will show in September’s figures.

“No, we haven’t seen the full impact of it yet,

If you look at the National Account figures… a lot of the growth was generated by Government sector spending.”

“The message it sends, is we are going to continue to need Government support well through the remainder of the year and next year.” 

Stephen Jones, Labor MP & Shadow Financial Services Minister

Businesses call for a clear plan

Meanwhile, in an open letter from the business community, they’re demanding a clear plan out of Covid-19 induced lockdowns and closures. Some of the major Australian businesses include aviation airline Qantas, major telco Telstra, banking giants, and the ASX.

The businesses are urging the Government to stick to its National Plan and chart a path out of current lockdowns.

“We represent businesses which employ almost one million Australians, and provide products and services to people right across the nation.” 

“We see the impacts of lockdowns on our people, our customers, on our small business suppliers, and on communities and families across the country.” 

“Providing a light at the end of the tunnel will encourage more Australians to get vaccinated.”

“We need to give people something to hope for, something to look forward to, something to plan around and to be confident about their futures.” 

Open letter from major Australian businesses

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Money

Fed cuts rates, signals more potentially ahead

Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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In Short:
– The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter-point to address job market concerns.
– Officials expect at least two additional rate cuts by year-end amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by a quarter-point, addressing concerns about a weakening job market overshadowing inflation worries.
A majority of officials anticipate at least two additional cuts by year-end during the remaining meetings in October and December.Banner

Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted a significant shift in the labour market, highlighting “downside risk” in his statements.

The recent rate cut, supported by 11 of 12 Fed voters, aims to recalibrate an economy facing uncertainties from policy changes and market pressures.

Policy Dynamics

The decision comes amid intense political scrutiny, with President Trump openly criticising Powell’s reluctance to lower rates.

Despite the controversy, Powell asserts that political pressures do not influence Fed operations.

The current benchmark federal-funds rate now sits between 4% and 4.25%, the lowest since 2021, providing some reprieve to consumers and small businesses. Economic forecasts indicate ongoing complexities, including inflation trends and the impact of tariffs on labour dynamics, complicating future policy decisions.


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Fed faces unusual dissent amid leadership uncertainty

Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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In Short:
– This week’s Federal Reserve meeting faces unusual dissent as Chair Powell approaches his term’s end.
– Analysts predict dissent over expected rate cuts due to political pressures from Trump-appointed officials.
This week’s Federal Reserve meeting is set to be particularly unusual, with Chair Jerome Powell facing significant disagreements over future policy as he approaches the end of his term in May.Tensions began before the meeting when Fed governor Lisa Cook won a court ruling allowing her to attend, despite opposition from President Trump, who is attempting to remove her.

The situation is further complicated by the recent swearing-in of Trump adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed’s board, following a Senate confirmation.

Analysts believe Powell may encounter dissent on an expected quarter-percentage-point rate cut from both Trump-appointed officials and regional Fed presidents concerned about inflation.

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Potential Dissent

Trump has urged significant rate cuts and for the board to challenge Powell’s decisions.

Some analysts predict dissenting votes from Miran and other Trump appointees in favour of larger cuts. Federal Reserve veterans express concerns that political motivations may undermine the institution’s integrity, with indications that greater dissent could become commonplace.


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RBA plans to ban credit card surcharges in Australia

Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards

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Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards.

In Short:
– The RBA plans to ban surcharges on debit and credit card transactions, supported by consumer group Choice.
– Major banks oppose the ban, warning it could lead to higher card fees and reduced rewards for credit card users.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) intends to implement a ban on surcharges associated with debit and credit card transactions. Consumer advocacy group Choice endorses this initiative, arguing that it is unjust for users of low-cost debit cards to incur similar fees as credit card holders.Banner

The major banks, however, are opposing this reform. They caution that the removal of surcharges could prompt customers to abandon credit cards due to diminished rewards.

A final decision by the RBA is anticipated by December 2025.


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