Australian Labor regains ground, majority government in sight

YouGov polling indicates Labor making gains, potentially reaching majority government ahead of the May 3 election.

YouGov’s latest modelling indicates a significant shift towards the Labor Party, suggesting that it could achieve a majority government in the upcoming federal election.

Labor has reportedly gained ground in 10 electorates where it was previously trailing, showing increasing support nationwide.

Current polling estimates show Labor at 50.2% in two-party preferred terms, while the Coalition follows closely at 49.8%.

If an election were held today, Labor could secure between 69 and 80 seats, with projections indicating a median of 75 seats.

In contrast, the Coalition may end up with about 60 seats, presenting a competitive race heading into the election on May 3.

This shift appears marked when compared to six weeks ago, when the Coalition was favoured to win.

Research highlights possible seat changes, with Labor seemingly set to gain Griffith and Brisbane from the Greens, and Deakin from the Liberals.

While there remains uncertainty in the predictions, they are consistent with broader trends perceived across recent polling.

YouGov estimates a 38% chance for Labor to secure a majority, contrasted with a 61% likelihood of a hung parliament.