In Short:
– Market turbulence is expected after the U.S. announces major combat operations in Iran.
– Oil prices may rise due to increased geopolitical risks and uncertainties in U.S.-Iran relations.

Market watchers predict significant turbulence following the U.S. announcement of “major combat operations” in Iran.

The escalation could have broader market implications than recent geopolitical events.U.S. President Donald Trump’s military actions targeted several ministries in southern Tehran. Investors remain accustomed to absorbing geopolitical and economic shocks, including a recent tariff hike and the capture of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

Florian Weidinger, co-chief investment officer at Santa Lucia Asset Management, noted that the ramifications from Iran could surpass those from Venezuela, as the latter primarily affects specific heavy crude markets. Analysts expect oil prices to rise significantly as a result of the situation.

Market experts highlight the Strait of Hormuz as a critical oil chokepoint, with about 13 million barrels per day transiting the area in 2025.

Past military actions in the region have resulted in short-term volatility in equities, with potential movements toward safer assets such as gold and government bonds anticipated.

Market Outlook

Investors are advised to remain cautious as they assess potential Iranian responses. While some market positioning reflects a crisis atmosphere, the future of U.S.-Iran relations remains uncertain. The duration of conflict will play a key role in shaping market reactions.

Analysts suggest that a short campaign may lead to temporary price spikes, while a prolonged conflict could result in deeper market impacts and a shift in asset allocations.

In Short:
– President Trump announced major military operations in Iran, targeting missile and naval capabilities.
– The operation, named “EPIC FURY,” follows failed nuclear agreement talks and threats from the U.S. and Israel.

U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday that major combat operations have begun in Iran, warning about potential U.S. casualties.

President Donald J. Trump on the United States military combat operations in Iran: pic.twitter.com/LimJmpLkgZ

— The White House (@WhiteHouse) February 28, 2026

Strikes are targeting Iranian missiles and naval capabilities, following U.S.-Israeli threats regarding Iran’s nuclear activities.”My administration has taken every possible step to minimise the risk to U.S. personnel in the region. Even so, the Iranian regime seeks to kill,” Trump stated in a video on Truth Social.

The U.S. military operation is called “EPIC FURY.” This marks the second series of strikes on Iran since Trump resumed office last year, with the first occurring in June targeting nuclear sites. The current offensive is expected to last several days, according to a U.S. official. Iran is preparing a strong retaliation.

In his communication, Trump urged members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard to surrender, offering them immunity.

He warned of “certain death” if they do not comply. Recent discussions between Washington and Tehran regarding Iran’s nuclear intentions resulted in no agreement.

Trump’s Encouragement

Trump previously suggested strikes during ongoing protests in Iran, advocating for U.S. assistance if authorities harmed demonstrators.

He encouraged protesters to continue their efforts, stating that the opportunity to claim their government back may not arise again for generations.

In Short:
– U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran amid fears of a broader regional conflict.
– Iranian officials warn that attacks could lead to full-scale war as they prepare for retaliation.

The attack marks the second war between the U.S., Israel, and Iran within eight months, raising concerns about a wider regional conflict in a critically important economic area.Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz confirmed the strikes and declared a state of emergency across all areas of Israel.

The U.S. also carried out strikes as part of the operation, according to a U.S. official.

The military operation followed a month of U.S. military buildup, ignited by President Trump’s commitment to support Iranian protesters who demonstrated against the regime in January.

BREAKING:

Israel is currently striking Iran’s capital, Tehran. pic.twitter.com/xQ3lZSQm5h

— Globe Eye News (@GlobeEyeNews) February 28, 2026

The President consistently warned Iran could face military action if it continued its nuclear program. Vice President JD Vance stated that Iran’s responses in two negotiation rounds failed to meet U.S. expectations.

Trump address

In a video address announcing the military operation against Iran, President Trump said the U.S. was facing “imminent threats” from Tehran, though he did not detail specific evidence to support that claim.

Instead, he pointed to a history of Iranian aggression and reiterated broader concerns about the country’s nuclear activities, backing of regional proxy groups and its ballistic missile programme.

Iran’s missile development has featured prominently in the administration’s recent justification for military action, with Trump raising it again during Tuesday’s State of the Union address.

However, publicly available U.S. intelligence assessments have indicated that Iran had not decided to build an intercontinental ballistic missile.

Analysts have also noted that, while Tehran possesses missiles capable of reaching parts of Europe, it still faces significant technological barriers before developing a weapon able to strike the U.S. successfully.

Escalating Tensions

Iranian officials cautioned that any attack would provoke retaliation, warning that even minor strikes could escalate into a full-scale regional war.

The nation has prepared for conflict by mobilising its forces, reinforcing its nuclear facilities, decentralising decision-making, and tightening internal security measures.

‘Trump Has Met the Moment,’ Says Sen. Lindsey Graham

In his first interview since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, Senator Lindsey Graham said that “President Trump has met the moment” and “put in motion the demise of the Iranian ayatollah.”

“This operation will be massive in scope and has as its goal the elimination of the regime as demanded by the people of Iran,” the staunch Trump ally said, adding that the president concluded Tehran couldn’t be trusted to make a nuclear deal. “It has been a dream of mine for so long that the ayatollah’s murderous regime would be replaced by the people who seek a better life for themselves and their country.”

Graham, echoing Trump, acknowledged the potential risks facing U.S. forces involved in the mission. “If there are death or injuries in this operation, I can say without hesitation that they sacrificed for a noble cause, a safer America and a more just world,” he said.

“The consequence of leaving the regime in place, after all the terrorism, and the slaughter of 30,000 of its own citizens, would have been catastrophic for America’s national security,” Graham continued, referencing estimates of those killed during a January crackdown on anti-regime protestors.

The senator, who recently travelled in the Middle East and has long taken a hawkish position on Tehran, suggested the potential fall of the Iranian regime could revive diplomatic efforts to normalise relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia, describing it as “the biggest regional prize of all.”

“When the regime collapses, the region will spread toward a new dawn, and that normalization will take up where it left off,” Graham said.