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$1 trillion nightmare behind Wall St exodus

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A significant financial exodus from Wall Street is causing New York City to hemorrhage staggering amounts of money, redirecting business opportunities to states in the southern United States, most notably Florida.

According to data compiled from 17,000 companies by Bloomberg, nearly 160 Wall Street firms have made the decision to relocate their headquarters away from New York City since the close of 2019. This shift has resulted in the transfer of almost $1 trillion in assets under management.

These firms, totaling 158 in number, moved out of New York City primarily due to concerns related to rising crime rates, high taxes, and an increasingly unaffordable cost of living. The cumulative AUM of these firms amounts to an astounding $993 billion.

Prominent among these firms is Icahn Capital Management, led by billionaire corporate raider Carl Icahn. In August 2020, the firm abandoned its luxurious Manhattan location at the General Motors Building on Fifth Avenue, opting instead for a 14-story office complex situated in a Miami suburb.

Currently managing $22.2 billion in assets, Icahn Capital Management is now located just a short distance from Carl Icahn’s residence in Indian Creek Village, Florida.

Moving south

Another noteworthy example is Elliott Management, a hedge fund led by Paul Singer, which controls a total of $59.2 billion in assets. In October 2020, the firm shifted its headquarters from Midtown Manhattan to West Palm Beach, Florida.

Cathie Wood, renowned for her bold investment in Tesla, moved her firm ARK Investment Management, which manages assets worth $24.7 billion, to St. Petersburg, Florida, in 2021.

Of the 158 companies from New York that have relocated, 56 have chosen Florida as their new base of operations. Many of the remaining firms have similarly chosen to move to warmer states such as Texas and the Carolinas.

The financial exodus from New York is not an isolated occurrence; California has also lost $1 trillion in financial assets under management to states like Florida, Texas, and other regions with a lower cost of living.

NYC economy

The departure of financial firms poses a serious threat to the city’s economy. Wall Street alone accounted for 16% of the city’s economic activity in the previous year and 7.3% of economic activity across the state, marking the highest percentage in the nation by a significant margin, as the national average is just 1.7%.

Additionally, the mass migration of financial firms has substantial tax implications for both New York City and the state. In the preceding year, financial firms contributed $5.4 billion in taxes to New York City and represented nearly a quarter of all personal income tax collections.

Tax revenue from the financial industry is anticipated to experience a significant decline, with repercussions expected for the state, which heavily relies on personal income taxes. As of 2022, New York’s share of financial industry jobs was 17.6%, a drastic reduction from the one-third share it held in 1990. The report highlights that “jobs have shifted to lower-cost regions.”

Prominent firms, including Goldman Sachs, have embraced lower-cost regions for expansion. Goldman Sachs, for instance, is investing significantly in Dallas, where the cost of living is approximately 40% cheaper than in New York.

Leaving town

Goldman Sachs is in the process of constructing a three-building campus near downtown Dallas. This $500 million, 815,000-square-foot development, scheduled to open in 2027, was made possible by $18 million in tax breaks granted by the city.

Other notable firms, including Icahn Enterprises and AllianceBernstein, have also relocated their headquarters away from New York to more cost-efficient locations.

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Money

US stocks face tests from Tesla, Netflix earnings

US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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In Short:
– Earnings reports from Tesla and Netflix might affect U.S. stock performance next week amid high inflation concerns.
– Increased market volatility arises from U.S.-China trade tensions and fewer S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend.
This coming week, earnings reports from companies including Tesla and Netflix are anticipated to impact U.S. stock performance.
Investors are also awaiting delayed U.S. inflation data, which could test market stability as it remains near record highs.Recent trading activity has shown increased volatility, influenced by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and concerns regarding regional bank credit risks. The CBOE volatility index has seen a rise, indicating increased market uncertainty.

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The S&P 500 entered its fourth year of growth amidst these fluctuations, having previously experienced a period of calm. Experts suggest market risks are intensifying as valuations reach peak levels.

Market Volatility

Concerns regarding U.S.-China trade relations escalated last week when the U.S. threatened to raise tariffs by November 1 over China’s rare-earth export policies. President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with President Xi Jinping in two weeks to discuss these issues.

Despite these challenges, major stock indexes gained ground over the week, with the S&P 500 up 13.3% year-to-date. However, a noticeable decline in the number of S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend raises caution among investors about underlying market weaknesses.

The upcoming third-quarter earnings will be closely monitored, especially as the government shutdown halts economic data releases. Companies like Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, RTX, and IBM are due to report. The delayed U.S. consumer price index is also expected to provide crucial insights ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on October 28-29.


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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent

Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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In Short:
– Australia’s unemployment rate rose to 4.5% in September, the highest since November 2021.
– Economists note a cooling labour market, with fewer job ads and increased participation rate amid rising living costs.
Australia’s unemployment rate increased to 4.5 per cent in September, up from 4.3 per cent in August.It marks the highest seasonally adjusted unemployment rate since November 2021.

Economists suggest that the Reserve Bank should consider another interest rate cut next month. BetaShares chief economist David Bassanese noted a slowdown in employment demand as the labour market struggles to accommodate job seekers.

The number of officially unemployed rose by 33,900 in September, while the employment count increased by 14,900. The labour force expanded by 48,800 people, resulting in a participation rate rise of 0.1 percentage points to 67 per cent, returning to July levels.

In trend terms, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.3 per cent.

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Labour Market

BDO chief economist Anders Magnusson stated that while the unemployment rate has increased, the labour market is cooling, not collapsing.

He pointed out that the 14,900 jobs added in September were slightly below the average for the past year.

A growing participation rate indicates that rising living costs are prompting more individuals to seek employment. Magnusson said the release confirms a gradual cooling of the labour market that keeps the Reserve Bank on track without necessitating immediate action.

He added that hiring activity is slowing, signalled by a 3.3 per cent drop in job advertisements in September, the largest monthly decrease since February 2024.

Despite this, he does not foresee a rate cut in November.


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Stocks rebound after Trump eases China trade tensions

Stocks rebound 600 points as Trump eases China trade tensions, signalling optimism in markets following Friday’s sell-off

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Stocks rebound 600 points as Trump eases China trade tensions, signalling optimism in markets following Friday’s sell-off

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In Short:
– Stocks rose on Monday after Trump expressed optimism about trade relations with China.
– The Dow Jones gained 621 points, with significant increases in tech stocks and broad market recovery.
Stocks gained ground on Monday, recovering from Friday’s decline after President Donald Trump expressed optimism regarding trade relations with China, stating they “will all be fine.”The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 621 points, approximately 70% of its previous loss. The S&P 500 experienced a 1.6% increase, nearing a 60% recovery of its earlier drop. The Nasdaq Composite increased by 2.3%, bolstered by rebounds in technology stocks.

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Oracle’s stock surged over 5%, with AMD and Nvidia seeing 1% and 3% increases, respectively. Broadcom’s stock jumped 10% following the announcement of a partnership with OpenAI.

Trump’s comments hinted that he might not impose a significant increase in tariffs on China, which had previously caused market turmoil. Vice President JD Vance similarly indicated a willingness to negotiate with China, while also asserting that the U.S. holds advantages in potential trade discussions.

Broader Recovery

Monday’s trading saw a positive shift with four out of five S&P 500 stocks rising, indicating widespread recovery. Small-cap stocks also made gains, with the Russell 2000 rising over 2.5%.

Market concerns persist, however, with a government shutdown continuing and a major payroll deadline approaching on October 15. Earnings reports from major financial institutions, including Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase, are expected this week, potentially impacting market sentiment.


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