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What does a slowing China mean for the world economy?



China’s economy was once the envy of the world, but now it looks to have stalled. What does that mean for the rest of the world?

The China Securities Regulatory Commission, the primary securities regulator in the country, has unveiled these initiatives with the goal of simplifying and stimulating trading activity.

These measures encompass a reduction in handling fees levied by brokers, thus lowering the cost of trading. Additionally, the regulator is considering relaxing regulations pertaining to share buybacks, making it more convenient for companies to repurchase their own shares.

Trading hours extension

Discussions are underway regarding the extension of trading hours for both stock and bond markets, along with a possible reduction in stamp duty for share transactions.

The impetus behind these measures is the significant downturn experienced by Chinese stock and bond markets over the past month, which has severely eroded investor confidence.

During the last two weeks, the CSI 300 index, comprising large-cap stocks, witnessed a nearly 6% drop, currently displaying a loss for the year 2023. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong, heavily populated with Chinese stocks, recently recorded its largest weekly decline in two months and is now officially in bear market territory, having fallen by more than a fifth from its most recent peak.

Loss of confidence

The loss of confidence can be attributed to several factors, most of which are interwoven with China’s increasingly bleak economic outlook. It was revealed last week that the world’s second-largest economy has entered a state of deflation, characterized by consistent price declines, which has led to reduced spending by both households and businesses.

Economic growth is stagnating, with lackluster activity witnessed in both the service and manufacturing sectors, while China’s significant exporters are grappling with weakened demand from Western countries.

This economic shift partly results from consumers allocating more resources to experiences such as travel and dining out, rather than manufactured goods, following the reopening of economies post-pandemic.

Consumer confidence

However, consumer confidence within China remains fragile, partly due to deflation, and concerns have been raised regarding rising youth unemployment rates in the country.

While the overall unemployment rate in China for June stood at 5.3%, the rate for individuals aged 16 to 24 currently stands at 21.3%, marking an increase over the past six months. The government has chosen to discontinue publishing separate statistics for youth unemployment, but this rise raises concerns about potential social unrest in major Chinese cities.

These challenges are, in part, driven by elevated expectations among China’s younger population, many of whom have graduated from college or university this year. These graduates are increasingly hesitant to engage in physically demanding work of the sort their parents did. Instead, they prefer better-paying roles. Still, due to sluggish overall economic growth, a scarcity of such positions is being created.

Unemployment rate

Many young graduates are opting to either remain unemployed or take on a series of temporary roles, resulting in a fluctuating presence in the labor market.

The People’s Bank of China recently responded to some of these issues by lowering several key interest rates.

Nevertheless, the latest market downturn this week is primarily attributed to fresh apprehensions regarding China’s property market, which was once a primary driver of economic growth but has now become a drag on it. Multiple prominent property developers have recently defaulted on their debt obligations, and last week, China’s largest private housebuilder, Country Garden, reported a staggering 60% year-on-year decline in July sales. Additionally, the company disclosed missing over $13 million in interest payments on its bonds, which it is currently attempting to secure.

The developments at Country Garden have startled observers as the company was considered more conservatively managed than its counterpart Evergrande, which has teetered on the brink of collapse for the past two years. Unlike Evergrande, Country Garden carried lower debt levels. However, the company, specializing in affordable housing, is grappling with its elevated exposure in smaller and less developed Chinese cities, where housing prices have plummeted at a faster rate than in major urban centers.

Evergrande worry

Evergrande, which is now seeking bankruptcy protection in the U.S. courts to restructure its substantial debt, compounds worries about contagion affecting China’s broader economy and, notably, its financial sector.

Concerns have arisen about a possible dampening of sentiment towards the housing market, which has experienced stifled activity in recent months, despite attempts by authorities to stimulate it in late 2022.

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McDonald’s plans massive expansion with 9,000 new burger joints by 2027



Fast-food giant McDonald’s has unveiled an ambitious plan to open nearly 9,000 new burger joints across the globe by 2027.

The move comes as part of the company’s aggressive growth strategy to maintain its dominance in the competitive fast-food industry.

McDonald’s, known for its iconic golden arches, currently operates over 38,000 restaurants in more than 100 countries.

With this expansion, the company aims to tap into emerging markets while also strengthening its presence in existing ones. The plan includes opening new outlets in urban centres, shopping malls, and even smaller towns, catering to a diverse range of customers.

The expansion drive is expected to create thousands of jobs, from front-line crew members to management positions, offering economic opportunities in various communities.

Furthermore, McDonald’s will continue to focus on sustainability, with commitments to reduce its environmental footprint through eco-friendly practices and packaging.

As the fast-food giant prepares to embark on this ambitious journey, the focus keyword for Google SEO is “McDonald’s expansion.”

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Citigroup’s enormous billion dollar restructuring cost revealed



Citigroup, one of the world’s largest financial institutions, is undergoing a significant restructuring effort that comes with a hefty price tag of $1 billion.

However, this massive overhaul is now anticipated to extend beyond the current quarter and will likely stretch into the next.

The restructuring plan, which was initially expected to conclude this quarter, involves a comprehensive review of Citigroup’s operations, aiming to streamline its business processes and enhance efficiency. The bank has been facing mounting pressure to adapt to changing market conditions and technological advancements.

The delay in completing the restructuring has raised concerns among investors, as the prolonged uncertainty can impact the bank’s financial performance. Citigroup’s leadership remains committed to the plan, emphasising the importance of getting it right rather than rushing through the process.

Despite the cost and delay, Citigroup remains optimistic about the long-term benefits of the restructuring, which include improved profitability and competitiveness in the financial sector.

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British American Tobacco issues warning on future of U.S. brands



British American Tobacco (BAT) has raised concerns about the long-term viability of its US-based cigarette brands, marking a significant shift in its outlook on the American market.

The company is now planning a massive $31.5 billion writedown, reflecting its dim view of the future prospects for these brands.

BAT, one of the world’s leading tobacco companies, has traditionally maintained a strong presence in the US market through brands like Newport and Camel. However, changing consumer preferences, stricter regulations, and the rise of alternative tobacco products like e-cigarettes have put pressure on the traditional cigarette industry.

The company’s decision to write down the value of its US brands highlights the challenges it faces in a market that is evolving rapidly. BAT is expected to focus more on the development and marketing of reduced-risk products and alternative nicotine delivery systems.

This strategic shift may have significant implications for BAT’s future operations and the broader tobacco industry. It remains to be seen how the company will navigate this changing landscape and whether it can adapt to the shifting preferences of consumers.

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