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Will the world be able to cope without oil from Russia?

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As Russia increases its aggression with neighboring Ukraine, many nations are now blocking imports of Russian oil and gas – so what does this mean for you?

The United States, United Kingdom, and EU have announced that they will restrict Russian oil imports as a sanction of the Kremlin’s war in Ukraine.

But as those imports are stopped, the price of fuel is rising, with many consumers already feeling the pinch as their weekly fill up at the bowser becomes more expensive.

Recent moves by major countries came after Russia warned it could cut off gas supplies to European countries if an oil ban were to go ahead. So what sanctions have been imposed thus far, and how do they impact you?

Fuel sanctions imposed on Russia are sending the price rising.

Current sanctions on Russian oil and gas?

The White House has announced a complete ban on Russian oil, gas, and coal imports – that ban coming after Ukraine’s President Zelensky requested for sanctions by the West to be even harsher.

Britain will begin to phase out Russian oil by the end of the year, and the EU is reducing its imports by two-thirds.

The UK government says this allows enough time for them to find alternative supplies.

The BBC quoted Deputy Russian Prime Minister Alexander Novak when he stated that rejecting Russian oil would lead to “catastrophic consequences for the global market”.

Fuel prices are set to rise due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

What sanctions mean for rising fuel prices

Oil and gas prices have already risen sharply and could rise even more.

But while the price will rise, the world should be able to cope without Russian supply, due to the mass production in the United States, Middle East and China.

The US is one of the biggest oil producers in the world, with 16.5 million barrels of oil able to be produced in a single day according to data collected by Bloomberg.

Data shows that Russia is the third biggest producer of oil in the world, behind the US and Saudi Arabia.

Of about five million barrels of crude oil it exports each day, more than half of that goes to Europe.

America is less reliant, with about 3% of the country’s imported oil coming from Russia in 2020 alone.

The West continues to sanction Putin.

The consequences if Russian gas stopped flowing into Western Europe?

Should Russian gas stop flowing into Western Europe, the consumer will be the one to mostly feel the impact. The price to heat up your house – which is already high – would increase even more.

That’s because Russian gas accounts for about 40% of the EU’s natural gas imports.

Should this be dried up, Italy and Germany would be especially vulnerable.

Europe will feel the pinch of rising prices to heat a house.

So does Europe have a backup plan?

The EU could turn to other gas exporters to obtain supply – such as Qatar – or Algeria and Nigeria.

Russia only provides about 5% of the UK’s gas supplies, and the US doesn’t import any Russian gas.

However, prices in the UK and US are still up significantly due to the knock-on effect of supply shortages.

So unless you were to transition to clean energy such as driving an electric vehicle like a Tesla, or using solar panels for your home, expect to pay more during the time of this war.

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How much money do you need to be happy? Here’s what the research says

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Brad Elphinstone, Swinburne University of Technology

Over the next decade, Elon Musk could become the world’s first trillionaire. The Tesla board recently proposed a US$1 trillion (A$1.5 trillion) compensation plan, if Musk can meet a series of ambitious growth targets.

Australia’s corporate pay packets aren’t quite on that scale. Yet even here, on Friday it was reported departing Virgin chief executive Jayne Hrdlicka will collect nearly $50 million in shares and other cash benefits on her way out the door.

Research from the United States suggests people think the average CEO earns ten times more than the average worker – and would prefer it was closer to only five times more.

In fact, the real gap in the US over the past decade has been estimated to mean CEOs earn a staggering 265 to 300 times more than average US workers.

Australians think CEOs earn seven times more than the average worker and would prefer if it was only three times more.

But the real gap here is also much higher. A long-running study found CEOs of the top 100 Australian companies earned 55 times more last financial year than average workers.

So, how much money is enough?

People have asked this question for thousands of years. The ancient Greek philosopher Aristotle explained the idea of eudaimonia, or a roadmap of “living well”, saying it:

belongs more to those who have cultivated their character and mind to the uttermost, and kept acquisition of external goods within moderate limits, than it does to those who have managed to acquire more external goods than they can possibly use, and are lacking goods of the soul.

Aristotle’s philosophy doesn’t call on us to shun money or wealth entirely, but argues it shouldn’t become life’s sole focus.

Research over recent decades has come to different conclusions on how much money is needed to achieve peak wellbeing.

A US study in 2010 suggested wellbeing maxes out around US$75,000. This figure naturally needs to be increased today to account for inflation – which, if those research findings are still true today, would be closer to US$111,000 in today’s dollars. You’d also need to take into account the cost of living in your area.

Other findings suggest wellbeing may continually increase with growing wealth, but the increase in wellbeing from $1 million to $10 million is likely less than when someone moves from poverty to middle class.

A 2022 experiment studied 200 people from Brazil, Indonesia, Kenya, Australia, Canada, the United States and the United Kingdom who were randomly given US$10,000 (A$15,000 at today’s exchange rate).

It found people in lower income countries “exhibited happiness gains three times larger than those in higher-income countries”, including Australia. But that cash still provided detectable benefits for people with household incomes up to US$123,000 (roughly A$184,000 today).

Remarkably, the people in that experiment (explained from 4:42 minutes into the video below) gave away more than two-thirds of that money to family, friends, strangers and charities.

Valuing time and relationships

Decades of international research have consistently shown materialistic goals – acquiring wealth and possessions for reasons associated with image and status – undermine wellbeing.

This is because materialistic striving is often borne out of low self-esteem or tending to compare oneself negatively to others, and there is always someone else to compare yourself against.

People can get stuck on the “hedonic treadmill”, where they get used to their new level of wealth and the luxuries it provides and then need more to feel happy.

It’s also because the work needed to acquire that wealth can mean less time focusing on hobbies and with loved ones.

Harvard research tracking two generations of men and their children over their lives, going back to 1938, shows deep, meaningful relationships with others are key to mental and physical wellbeing.

American psychologist Abraham Maslow developed a “hierarchy” of people’s “needs” in 1943. This suggested “self-actualisation” – reaching your pinnacle of personal growth – starts by having enough money to cover the basics of food, shelter, and access to the opportunities needed to grow as a person.

In line with this, research has shown “time affluence” (maximising free time by paying people to do things you don’t want to) and “experiential buying” (for example, meals out with loved ones, going on holidays) can support wellbeing by helping people develop new skills, build relationships, and create lifelong memories.

It’s in most of our interests to close the wealth gap

Recent data shows economic inequality in Australia is increasing. This is particularly affecting young Australians, as housing becomes less affordable.

At a broader social level, research from the UK indicates that as inequality increases, social outcomes get worse. These include increased crime, drug and alcohol abuse, obesity as people struggle to afford nutritious food, and reductions in social trust.

What percentage of wealth do you think is owned by the richest 20% of Australians? And in your ideal Australia, how much wealth should the richest 20% own?

The most recent Bureau of Statistics data we have, from 2019-20, showed the richest 20% of Australians owned around 62% of our wealth.

As inequality gets worse, evidence suggests it will lead to social problems that threaten to undermine the wellbeing of the whole community.

The irony is those who pursue extreme wealth and benefit most from this inequality will not necessarily be happier or more fulfilled because of it.The Conversation

Brad Elphinstone, Lecturer in psychology, Swinburne University of Technology

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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France receives lowest credit rating due to crisis

France’s credit rating downgraded to record low amid political and fiscal crisis, raising concerns over debt and stability

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France’s credit rating downgraded to record low amid political and fiscal crisis, raising concerns over debt and stability

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In Short:
– Fitch Ratings downgraded France’s credit rating to A+, citing political instability and fiscal challenges.
– New Prime Minister Lecornu must secure budget approval amidst rising deficit and potential no-confidence vote.
Fitch Ratings has downgraded France’s credit rating from AA- to A+, the lowest ever recorded, amid ongoing political and fiscal challenges.
The decision comes shortly after Prime Minister François Bayrou was removed in a vote of no confidence regarding his €44 billion austerity plan.

President Emmanuel Macron has appointed Sébastien Lecornu as the new prime minister, marking the fifth leadership change in under two years.Banner

Fitch highlighted political instability as a key factor undermining fiscal reforms, with France’s debt now at €3.3 trillion, or 113.9% of GDP.

The budget deficit increased to 5.8% of GDP and is expected to rise, posing challenges ahead.

Political Instability

The new prime minister faces a divided parliament and must secure budget approval by October 7.

The far-left plans a no-confidence vote against Lecornu, complicating further cooperation on legislative reforms, with S&P Global hinting at a potential downgrade.


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Trump moves to fast-track removal of Fed governor Lisa Cook

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The White House is set to fast-track a ruling on firing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, just days before the crucial FOMC meeting.

The move comes as markets reel from surging inflation, weak jobless data, and global currency shifts, raising questions about the Fed’s independence and the stability of policy decisions.

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