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US stocks surge as banks report record profits

US stocks rise as banks report near-record profits; CPI slows, fueling hopes for continued Federal Reserve rate cuts.

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US stocks rise as banks report near-record profits; CPI slows, fueling hopes for continued Federal Reserve rate cuts.

US stocks rose sharply following strong earnings reports from four major banks: JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo.

The banks reported their second-most profitable year ever.

[stockdio-historical-chart stockExchange=”USA” symbol=”JPM” displayPrices=”Lines” performance=”false” allowPeriodChange=”false” height=”350px”]

JPMorgan achieved a historic milestone by becoming the first US bank to exceed $50 billion in annual profit.

Goldman Sachs saw record revenue from its equities trading division.

Citigroup reported record revenue in three of its five key segments: wealth management, US personal banking, and services.

Wells Fargo, while having the smallest presence on Wall Street, recorded a 62 per cent increase in annual revenue from investment banking.

Bank of America and Morgan Stanley are set to announce their results on Friday AEDT.

In other news, the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December rose at a slower rate than anticipated, indicating a potential easing of inflation.

This development has strengthened expectations that Federal Reserve policymakers may have room to continue cutting rates.

Consequently, the yield on the US 10-year bond dropped by 14 basis points to 4.66 per cent.

Similarly, UK yields fell by 16 basis points to 4.73 per cent after services inflation in the UK decreased to 4.4 per cent in December, down from 5 per cent in November, a more significant decline than the 4.8 per cent economists had predicted.

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Fed cuts rates, signals more potentially ahead

Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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Fed lowers rates amid job market concerns, signalling potential further cuts in upcoming meetings

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In Short:
– The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter-point to address job market concerns.
– Officials expect at least two additional rate cuts by year-end amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by a quarter-point, addressing concerns about a weakening job market overshadowing inflation worries.
A majority of officials anticipate at least two additional cuts by year-end during the remaining meetings in October and December.Banner

Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted a significant shift in the labour market, highlighting “downside risk” in his statements.

The recent rate cut, supported by 11 of 12 Fed voters, aims to recalibrate an economy facing uncertainties from policy changes and market pressures.

Policy Dynamics

The decision comes amid intense political scrutiny, with President Trump openly criticising Powell’s reluctance to lower rates.

Despite the controversy, Powell asserts that political pressures do not influence Fed operations.

The current benchmark federal-funds rate now sits between 4% and 4.25%, the lowest since 2021, providing some reprieve to consumers and small businesses. Economic forecasts indicate ongoing complexities, including inflation trends and the impact of tariffs on labour dynamics, complicating future policy decisions.


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Fed faces unusual dissent amid leadership uncertainty

Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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Fed’s Powell navigates contentious meeting amid Trump-appointed dissenters as rate cut looms and succession contest heats up

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In Short:
– This week’s Federal Reserve meeting faces unusual dissent as Chair Powell approaches his term’s end.
– Analysts predict dissent over expected rate cuts due to political pressures from Trump-appointed officials.
This week’s Federal Reserve meeting is set to be particularly unusual, with Chair Jerome Powell facing significant disagreements over future policy as he approaches the end of his term in May.Tensions began before the meeting when Fed governor Lisa Cook won a court ruling allowing her to attend, despite opposition from President Trump, who is attempting to remove her.

The situation is further complicated by the recent swearing-in of Trump adviser Stephen Miran to the Fed’s board, following a Senate confirmation.

Analysts believe Powell may encounter dissent on an expected quarter-percentage-point rate cut from both Trump-appointed officials and regional Fed presidents concerned about inflation.

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Potential Dissent

Trump has urged significant rate cuts and for the board to challenge Powell’s decisions.

Some analysts predict dissenting votes from Miran and other Trump appointees in favour of larger cuts. Federal Reserve veterans express concerns that political motivations may undermine the institution’s integrity, with indications that greater dissent could become commonplace.


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RBA plans to ban credit card surcharges in Australia

Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards

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Reserve Bank of Australia plans to ban credit card surcharges despite banks warning of potential higher fees and weaker rewards.

In Short:
– The RBA plans to ban surcharges on debit and credit card transactions, supported by consumer group Choice.
– Major banks oppose the ban, warning it could lead to higher card fees and reduced rewards for credit card users.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) intends to implement a ban on surcharges associated with debit and credit card transactions. Consumer advocacy group Choice endorses this initiative, arguing that it is unjust for users of low-cost debit cards to incur similar fees as credit card holders.Banner

The major banks, however, are opposing this reform. They caution that the removal of surcharges could prompt customers to abandon credit cards due to diminished rewards.

A final decision by the RBA is anticipated by December 2025.


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