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Trump remains strong odds against Biden despite indictments

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As the nation gears up for the first Republican primary debate, former President Donald Trump stands unshaken in his pursuit of the GOP nomination.

With a commanding 40-point lead in the polls, even the weight of 91 criminal charges against him has failed to erode his support among Republican voters.

Unless an unexpected comeback by a rival or unforeseen circumstances intervenes, Trump appears poised to secure the Republican presidential nomination in the upcoming July convention, setting the stage for a possible 2024 rematch of the 2020 election.

Even following Trump’s recent indictment in Georgia, his fourth to date, the anticipated 2024 general election matchup remains a tight race. Both Trump and President Joe Biden face considerable negativity from their respective opposing parties and independents.

Biden’s lead

In the latest national polling averages by RealClearPolitics, Biden clings to a mere half-point lead over Trump, suggesting that Trump remains a formidable contender for 2024.

These polling results arrive in the face of several adverse indicators for Trump, including a favorability rating plummeting below 40 percent, a majority of Americans expressing reluctance to support him in 2024, his ongoing fixation on unfounded claims of election theft, and the looming possibility of his conviction before November 2024.

President Biden and his advisers perceive their most straightforward path to reelection as transforming the contest into a choice between Biden’s perceived normalcy and competence and Trump’s barrage of falsehoods, grievances, and conspiracy theories.

The Biden campaign is likely to emphasize Trump’s role as an alleged existential threat to democracy, particularly stemming from his actions on January 6, 2021, and his leadership of the controversial MAGA movement.

Ample material

Trump’s impending trial dates leading up to Election Day next year, coupled with his and his loyalists’ ongoing focus on the 2020 election and supposed judicial bias against him, provide ample material for Biden’s team to exploit.

To further sway independents and suburban women concerned about the rightward trajectory of the GOP, the Democratic National Committee and Biden will leverage policy issues such as safeguarding abortion rights and advocating for sensible gun safety laws.

Despite Trump’s lack of a cohesive policy platform, his electoral vulnerabilities, and his argument that the 2020 election was stolen, he retains a credible chance of defeating Biden.

Biden faces his own challenges, with a job approval rating currently at just 41 percent. The specter of age-related concerns continues to hound the president, with a significant 68 percent of Americans considering him too old for another term, compared to 44 percent expressing the same sentiment about Trump.

Bidenomics push

The Biden administration’s “Bidenomics” push has yet to yield substantial results, as only 36 percent of Americans approve of his handling of the economy, according to a recent Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll.

The ongoing scrutiny surrounding President Biden’s son, Hunter Biden, remains a thorn in his side. A plea deal on gun and tax charges fell through, leading to the appointment of a special counsel, David Weiss, and the likelihood of the case extending into the new year.

House Republicans’ investigations into Hunter Biden’s business dealings during Joe Biden’s vice presidency persist and may lead to an impeachment inquiry. Additionally, revelations that Biden may have used a pseudonym in emails during his time as vice president have prompted the House Oversight Committee to seek further information.

Although investigations have yet to uncover evidence of President Biden profiting from his influence, an impeachment inquiry could weaken his standing, especially among critical independent and moderate voters.

While Trump’s chances largely depend on whether he can stay on message and make the election a referendum on President Biden, it remains undeniable that President Biden’s vulnerabilities ensure that Trump retains a viable path back to the presidency in 2024.

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Ukraine presents US-backed peace proposal to Russia

Ukraine presents US-backed peace proposal to Russia amid ongoing drone strikes and escalating tensions

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Ukraine presents US-backed peace proposal to Russia amid ongoing drone strikes and escalating tensions

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In Short:
– Ukrainian President Zelenskyy offered a 20-point peace proposal to Russia to end the four-year war.
– The plan requires Russian troop withdrawal and includes NATO-like security guarantees for Ukraine’s defence.

Ukraine has formally presented a US-backed 20-point peace proposal to Russia, offering a potential framework to end the nearly four-year war. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy unveiled the revised plan on December 23 after weeks of negotiations with American officials and formally delivered it to the Kremlin on December 24. The proposal includes NATO-style security guarantees, demilitarized zones in eastern Ukraine, and other measures designed to secure Ukraine’s sovereignty while reducing the risk of future conflict.

Under the plan, Ukraine would maintain a peacetime force of 800,000 troops and remain a non-nuclear state, with “Article 5-like” guarantees from the United States, NATO, and European partners. Territorial arrangements would require Russian forces to withdraw from parts of Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, Sumy, and Kharkiv regions. Zelenskyy also floated the creation of demilitarized “free economic zones” in parts of Donetsk Oblast, but only if Russian troops pull back as well. One of the most contentious issues remains the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, with the US proposing joint management by Ukraine, Russia, and the US, while Zelenskyy countered with a Ukraine-US partnership giving Americans oversight of their allocated energy share.

Fragile reality

Even as peace efforts advanced, the conflict raged on. On Christmas night, Russia launched 131 drones across Ukraine, with 106 intercepted by Ukrainian forces but 22 hitting 15 locations. The attacks killed at least two people and caused widespread power outages in several regions. The strikes highlighted the fragile reality of negotiations, showing that the road to peace remains perilous.

Moscow has confirmed that President Vladimir Putin has been briefed on the proposal, though Russian officials have repeatedly rejected key provisions, including NATO-style security guarantees and territorial concessions. The agreement would be overseen by a Peace Council chaired by US President Donald Trump, with violations triggering automatic sanctions. Ratification would require either approval by Ukraine’s parliament or a nationwide referendum within 60 days, with a full ceasefire taking effect immediately once all parties accept the deal.

The plan represents the most comprehensive effort yet to bring Ukraine and Russia to the negotiating table, balancing security guarantees, territorial compromises, and oversight of strategic infrastructure. However, with ongoing attacks and deeply entrenched positions on both sides, analysts warn that achieving lasting peace will require unprecedented diplomacy and international cooperation.


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Newly unsealed Epstein emails raise questions about Prince Andrew

Epstein emails implicate Prince Andrew in inappropriate conduct as pressure mounts for his cooperation with U.S. authorities

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Epstein emails implicate Prince Andrew in inappropriate conduct as pressure mounts for his cooperation with U.S. authorities

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In Short:
– The U.S. Justice Department released documents showing Ghislaine Maxwell’s emails linking Prince Andrew to Jeffrey Epstein.
– Andrew denies involvement with Epstein, settling a lawsuit without admitting guilt amidst rising scrutiny.

Nearly 30,000 pages of Jeffrey Epstein-related documents were released by the U.S. Justice Department, including emails from 2001 between Ghislaine Maxwell and an individual signing as “A” from Balmoral. One email, signed “The Invisible Man,” asked Maxwell for “new inappropriate friends,” sparking renewed scrutiny of Prince Andrew’s connections.

Subsequent evidence suggests the sender may have been Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, referencing personal details consistent with his life, including the death of his longtime valet and leaving the Royal Navy. A 2002 email further described “Andrew” as a “very English-sounding gentleman” coordinating a trip to Peru with requests for specific companions.

The documents reveal that U.S. prosecutors sought to interview Mountbatten-Windsor over two criminal investigations, citing evidence he engaged in sexual conduct involving one of Epstein’s victims. Despite mounting pressure and losing his royal titles, he has denied wrongdoing, settling a civil lawsuit without admitting guilt.


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Pope Leo XIV addresses Gaza crisis during Christmas Mass

Pope Leo XIV highlights Gaza humanitarian crisis during first Christmas Mass, urging dialogue and addressing severe conditions for displaced Palestinians

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Pope Leo XIV highlights Gaza humanitarian crisis during the first Christmas Mass, urging dialogue and addressing severe conditions for displaced Palestinians

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In Short:
– Pope Leo XIV urged awareness of the Gaza crisis and the hardships faced by Palestinians during his Christmas Mass.
– He expressed concern for global homelessness and called for dialogue as essential for achieving peace.

Pope Leo XIV used his first Christmas Mass at St. Peter’s Basilica to deliver a powerful and deeply human message, placing the humanitarian crisis in Gaza at the centre of his inaugural Christmas address. Drawing on the story of Jesus’ birth, the pontiff made a stark comparison to the lives of displaced Palestinians, asking how the world could ignore families living in tents, exposed to weeks of rain, wind and cold. His remarks set an early tone for his papacy — one grounded in compassion, moral urgency and advocacy for those caught in conflict.

Massive shortfall

The Pope’s comments come as conditions in Gaza continue to deteriorate sharply. An estimated 1.3 million Palestinians are in urgent need of shelter this winter, with recent storms destroying approximately 110,000 tents. Humanitarian organisations report deaths due to exposure among vulnerable groups, including children and the elderly. The Norwegian Refugee Council says just 15,600 tents have been delivered so far, leaving a massive shortfall, while restrictions on the entry of shelter materials have compounded the crisis and intensified suffering across the region.

Beyond Gaza, Leo widened his message to condemn the broader toll of war, speaking of the “fragile flesh of defenceless populations” harmed by global conflicts. He criticised those who send young soldiers into battle and stressed that peace can only be achieved through dialogue, not entrenched monologues. “There will be peace when our monologues are interrupted,” he said, urging leaders to recognise the humanity of the other. His upcoming Urbi et Orbi blessing is expected to address multiple global crises, reinforcing his diplomatic approach and his call for peace, solidarity and human dignity.


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