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The “day of reckoning” for startups is here

Published

2 years ago

on

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank has uncovered the truth about the startup sector. What rose from the ashes of the GFC is now a bubble about to burst.

 
We are going to start right back in 2008. Remember the Global Financial Crisis? it was meant to have huge ramifications for the banking sector – And after all the collapses, all the redundancies, all the pain – we were told it could never happen again.

Well just a few weeks ago, the very foundations of our banking system were called into question – again.

Silicon Valley Bank may not be the world’s biggest, or even America’s biggest – but it did punch above its weight. Why? Because of its title. It was literally the bank of Silicon Valley.

The past 16 years have been extraordinary for the startup sector. Enormous growth multiples that defied the rest of Wall Street.

That is – until the music stopped in the investment community. All these startups that believed you could be worth a billion dollars on the back of buzz suddenly realised the money had run dry.
It’s now about good old-fashioned profit. It had to happen some time.

But it happened right after COVID – and right before all that stimulus money washing around the community had to be taken back. Interest rates had to rise, and suddenly all these startups had to withdraw their cash to survive.

Central Banks now find themselves at a horrible crossroads. Keep raising rates to fight inflation, but risk financial instability.

The job of central bankers is to keep banks stable. But in order to keep them stable, they have to raise rates to combat inflation, and the unintended consequences about that hit really hard.

The central banks are now contradicting themselves. To create stability, they have to create instability. It’s the problem with their blunt instruments.

Let’s take Silicon Valley Bank – More expensive money reduced the value of their securities portfolios and has made it likelier that depositors will flee to the big banks.

Did you hear that? So after creating the conditions that led to too much money in the economy, to now raising rates to claw it all back, that now led to instability in the financial system – the Fed doesn’t want to know.

Let’s bring it back to the poor depositors of Silicon Valley Bank – It’s a nightmare out there in startup land.

Economic fear and funding uncertainty has put startup-founder mental health in a tailspin. Many suffer in silence because they worry that talking about it will worry investors that the sector is in trouble.

The startup economy of today is eerily similar to the banking sector of 2007 right before the financial crisis – with companies dangerously close to the edge. #Silicon Valley bank #svb #credit suisse #fed reserve #silicon valley

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U.S. shares rebound amid tariff negotiation optimism

U.S. shares rebound over 2.5% amid tariff optimism, despite economic warnings and mixed global market performance.

Published

9 hours ago

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April 23, 2025

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U.S. shares rebound over 2.5% amid tariff optimism, despite economic warnings and mixed global market performance.

In Short

U.S. shares rebounded significantly due to optimism over tariff negotiations, with major indexes rising over 2.5%. However, companies continue to face challenges from tariffs and uncertainty in the market, leading to mixed results overseas.

U.S. shares saw a significant rebound on Tuesday, with major indexes increasing by over 2.5%.

This recovery was influenced by optimism regarding tariff negotiations, as noted by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who expressed confidence in a potential de-escalation of the trade war with China.

Despite this positive sentiment, companies are still grappling with the effects of the Trump administration’s tariffs.

Defense contractor RTX announced an anticipated $850 million financial impact, and Kimberly-Clark cited a “global geopolitical landscape” for a lowered profit outlook.

Economic forecasts

The International Monetary Fund has revised its economic forecasts for the U.S. and globally, highlighting tariffs as a factor in slower growth.

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon indicated that high levels of uncertainty are hindering corporate decisions and impacting asset prices, and the Institute of International Finance warned of a probable U.S. recession later this year.

Gold prices have fluctuated, retreating after reaching a record high on Tuesday, reinforcing its status in uncertain markets.

Tesla’s quarterly earnings did not meet estimates, but the company’s share price remained stable.

Concerns about President Trump’s trade policies and his remarks regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell contributed to market volatility earlier in the week.

In trading results, the Dow Jones increased by 1,017 points or 2.7%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 both rose by 2.7% and 2.5%, respectively.

Treasury yields decreased slightly, and Bitcoin’s value climbed past $91,000.

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Money

Dow struggles, investors lose confidence amid trade fears

Dow on track for worst April since 1932 amid trade uncertainty and investor ‘no confidence’ signals, as losses deepen.

Published

24 hours ago

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April 22, 2025

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Dow on track for worst April since 1932 amid trade uncertainty and investor ‘no confidence’ signals, as losses deepen.

In Short

The Dow Jones fell almost 1,000 points, heading for its worst April since 1932, with investors worried about trade restrictions and the future of the Federal Reserve Chairman.

Amidst declining stock confidence, traditional safe assets like bonds are under pressure, while gold prices have soared as investors seek safety.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly 1,000 points on Monday, heading towards its worst April since 1932. The S&P 500 has recorded its worst performance for any president at this stage since 1928.

Investors are concerned about trade restrictions and the potential removal of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell by President Trump, leading to fears of further losses. Many doubt that the administration’s trade negotiations will provide timely relief.

Traditional safe assets like government bonds and the U.S. dollar are also under pressure, limiting safe investment options during this instability. Chief investment officer Scott Ladner noted that this reflects a widespread “no confidence” sentiment among investors.

Tax cuts and deregulation

Following Trump’s election, stock indexes initially rose due to optimism around tax cuts and deregulation. However, the introduction of aggressive tariffs sparked significant market declines. Although there was some retraction of tariff plans, markets have not stabilised.

Typically, bond prices should increase during stock declines, but yields on 10-year U.S. Treasurys have risen, indicating a sell-off in government bonds.

The U.S. dollar has weakened due to economic concerns and Trump’s tensions with the Fed, hitting a three-year low. In contrast, gold prices have surged to all-time highs as investors seek safer assets.

Wall Street sentiment is declining, with bearish expectations remaining high for eight consecutive weeks, marking a record for prolonged pessimism among individual investors.

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Trump warns of economic slowdown unless interest rates are slashed

Trump criticizes Fed’s Powell over interest rates, warning of economic slowdown, as markets react sharply.

Published

1 day ago

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April 22, 2025

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Trump criticizes Fed’s Powell over interest rates, warning of economic slowdown, as markets react sharply.


President Donald Trump has once again lashed out at Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, claiming the U.S. economy could “slow down” if interest rates aren’t cut immediately.

Markets reacted sharply, with bond yields jumping and equities falling as investors brace for a possible standoff between the White House and central bank.

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