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Post Market Wrap | Service Stream wins 25-year rail maintenance contract for Inland Rail project

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This Post Market Wrap is presented by KOSEC – Kodari Securities

  • Revenue details to be confirmed at contract execution
  • Strategically significant diversification into rail maintenance
  • Lendlease Services integration and planned synergies progressing well
  • FY22 guidance of $120- $125m EBITDA confirmed 
  • Infrastructure investment in green and digital economy supports long term growth

Service Stream Limited (Service Stream or the Company) is an ASX 300 entity providing integrated end-to-end asset life-cycle services to utility, telecommunications and transport asset owners, operators and regulators across Australia. The Company specialises in the design, construction, operation, and maintenance of assets across these networks.

Service Stream employs 4500 people and has access to a pool of over 5000 specialist contractors. 

Australia’s largest freight rail project announced

Australian Rail Track Corporation has announced a consortium comprising Service Stream and others to develop 128 kms of rail track, as part of a 1700 km rail line between Brisbane and Melbourne. The $14.5 billion project, known as Inland Rail, is a once in a generation nation building project that includes a 6.2 km tunnel through the Great Dividing Range.  

Structured as a Public Private Partnership, the project includes a 25-year maintenance phase, post construction. This phase will be led by Service Stream and includes planned and preventative maintenance. It opens fresh opportunities for Service Stream by diversifying its contracted transport operations into rail maintenance. Full details of revenue to Service Stream will be confirmed at contract execution.

Solid half-year result

In the 6 months to December 2021, Service Stream grew revenue by 38 percent to $566 million, while EBITDA from Operations declined by 2.3 percent to $39.3 million. Adjusted net profit after tax (before amortisation of customer contracts and non-operational costs) was $16.3 million, down 18 percent, compared to the previous corresponding period. Adjusted earnings per share was 2.84 cents, down from 4.92 cents. An interim dividend was not declared.     

The result featured the re-basing of the Company’s legacy Telecommunications business operations as work volumes and mix changed, and the completion of the recently acquired Lendlease Services (LLS) acquisition, in November 2021. The legacy Telecommunications segment recorded a reduction in revenue due to a decrease in NBN activation and assurance volumes, in line with NBN’s strategic plan.  

The $310 million LLS acquisition diversifies Service Stream’s maintenance and asset management services across assets that include airports, roads and wind farms. Execution of planned synergies are progressing well with the 50 percent synergy run rate brought forward to 30 June 2022.

Operating cash flow of $78.9 million, up from $58.6 million, was driven by an impressive 234 percent cash conversion rate, boosted by a one-off benefit from the release in working capital built up in LLS, from new LLS contracts mobilised.  

COVID-19 impacted preventative and discretionary work volumes across utility operations and construction activities during lockdowns in Sydney and Melbourne.  

Looking Ahead 

Work in hand of $5.6 billion and net debt of $47.1 million leaves Service Stream well positioned for future growth. The Company’s long term, multi-year contracted revenues with government and private asset owners/operators, covering privileged assets providing essential services, supports dependable future cash flows.

FY22 guidance, including 8 months LLS contribution, expects pro forma EBITDA from Operations of $120 – $125 million. This includes full run rate of LLS synergies of $17 million.

The build out of Australia’s growing infrastructure needs, buoyed by public and private sector investment in the green and digital economy, means that now is an opportune time to be in the infrastructure services market.    

This Post Market Wrap is presented by Kodari Securities, written by Michael Kodari, CEO at KOSEC.

"Michael Kodari is one of the world's most consistent, top performing investor. A philanthropist and one of the prominent experts of the financial markets, he has been referred to as ‘the brightest 21st century entrepreneur in wealth management' by CNBC Asia and featured on Forbes. Featured on TV as the "Money Expert", on the weekly Sunday program "Elevator Pitch", he is recognised internationally by governments as he was the guest of honour for the event "Inside China's Future", chosen by the Chinese government from the funds management industry, attended by industry leaders, when they arrived in Sydney Australia, on April 2014. Michael and George Soros were the only two financiers in the world invited and chosen by the Chinese government to provide advice, and their expertise on Chinese government asset allocation offshore. With a strong background in funds management and stockbroking, Michael has worked with some of the most successful investors and consulted to leading financial institutions. He was the youngest person ever to appear on the expert panel for Fox, Sky News Business Channel at the age of 25 where he demonstrated his skillset across a 3 year period forming the most consistent track record and getting all his predictions right over that period. Michael writes for key financial publications, is regularly interviewed by various media and conducts conferences around the world."

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Money

Research shows daters are looking for solvent partners

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As the cost-of-living crisis continues to grip Australia, new research reveals a shifting landscape in the realm of dating preferences.

According to the survey conducted by eharmony, an overwhelming two-thirds of Australians are now keen to understand their potential partner’s financial situation before committing to a serious relationship.

The findings indicate a growing trend where individuals are becoming more discerning about whom they invest their affections in, particularly as the economic pressures intensify.

Read more: Why are car prices so high?

The study highlights that nearly half of respondents (48%) consider a potential partner’s debts and income as crucial factors in determining whether to pursue a relationship.

Certain types of debt, such as credit card debt, payday loans, and personal loans, are viewed unfavorably by the vast majority of respondents, signaling a preference for partners who exhibit financial responsibility.

Good debt

While certain forms of debt, such as mortgages and student loans (e.g., HECS), are deemed acceptable or even ‘good’ debt by a majority of respondents, credit card debt, payday loans (such as Afterpay), and personal loans top the list of ‘bad’ debt, with 82%, 78%, and 73% of respondents, respectively, expressing concerns.

Interestingly, even car loans are viewed unfavorably by a significant portion of those surveyed, with 57.5% considering them to be undesirable debt.

Sharon Draper, a relationship expert at eharmony, said the significance of financial compatibility in relationships, noting that discussions around money are increasingly taking place at earlier stages of dating.

“In the past, couples tended to avoid discussing money during the early stages of dating because it was regarded as rude and potentially off-putting,” Draper explains.

“However, understanding each other’s perspectives and habits around finances early on can be instrumental in assessing long-term compatibility.”

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Money

US energy stocks surge amid economic growth and inflation fears

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Investors are turning to U.S. energy shares in droves, capitalizing on surging oil prices and a resilient economy while seeking protection against looming inflationary pressures.

The S&P 500 energy sector has witnessed a remarkable ascent in 2024, boasting gains of approximately 17%, effectively doubling the broader index’s year-to-date performance.

This surge has intensified in recent weeks, propelling the energy sector to the forefront of the S&P 500’s top-performing sectors.

A significant catalyst driving this rally is the relentless rise in oil prices. U.S. crude has surged by 20% year-to-date, propelled by robust economic indicators in the United States and escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Investors are also turning to energy shares as a hedge against inflation, which has proven more persistent than anticipated, threatening to derail the broader market rally.

Ayako Yoshioka, senior portfolio manager at Wealth Enhancement Group, notes that having exposure to commodities can serve as a hedge against inflationary pressures, prompting many portfolios to overweight energy stocks.

Shell Service Station

Shell Service Station

Energy companies

This sentiment is underscored by the disciplined capital spending observed among energy companies, particularly oil majors such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

Among the standout performers within the energy sector this year are Marathon Petroleum, which has surged by 40%, and Valero Energy, up by an impressive 33%.

As the first-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear, with reports from major companies such as Netflix, Bank of America, and Procter & Gamble, investors will closely scrutinize economic indicators such as monthly U.S. retail sales to gauge consumer behavior amidst lingering inflation concerns.

The rally in energy stocks signals a broadening of the U.S. equities rally beyond growth and technology companies that dominated last year.

However, escalating inflation expectations and concerns about a hawkish Federal Reserve could dampen investors’ appetite for non-commodities-related sectors.

Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel Corp., highlights investors’ focus on the robust economy amidst supply bottlenecks in commodities, especially oil.

This sentiment is echoed by strategists at Morgan Stanley and RBC Capital Markets, who maintain bullish calls on energy shares, citing heightened geopolitical risks and strong economic fundamentals.

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Money

How Australians lose nearly $1 billion to card scammers in a year

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A recent study by Finder has unveiled a distressing trend: Australians are hemorrhaging money to card scams at an alarming rate.

The survey, conducted among 1,039 participants, painted a grim picture, with 2.2 million individuals – roughly 11% of the population – falling prey to credit or debit card skimming in 2023 alone.

The financial toll of these scams is staggering. On average, victims lost $418 each, amounting to a colossal $930 million collectively across the country.

Rebecca Pike, a financial expert at Finder, underscored the correlation between the surge in digital transactions and the proliferation of sophisticated scams.

“Scammers are adapting, leveraging sophisticated tactics that often mimic trusted brands or exploit personal connections. With digital transactions on the rise, it’s imperative for consumers to remain vigilant and proactive in safeguarding their financial assets,” Pike said.

Read more – How Google is cracking down on scams

Concerning trend

Disturbingly, Finder’s research also revealed a concerning trend in underreporting.

Only 9% of scam victims reported the incident, while 1% remained oblivious to the fraudulent activity initially. Additionally, 1% of respondents discovered they were victims of bank card fraud only after the fact, highlighting the insidious nature of these schemes.

Pike urged consumers to exercise heightened scrutiny over their financial statements, recommending frequent monitoring for any unauthorised transactions.

She explained the importance of leveraging notification services offered by financial institutions to promptly identify and report suspicious activity.

“Early detection is key. If you notice any unfamiliar transactions, don’t hesitate to contact your bank immediately. Swift action can mitigate further unauthorised use of your card,” Pike advised, underscoring the critical role of proactive measures in combating card scams.

As Australians grapple with the escalating threat of card fraud, Pike’s counsel serves as a timely reminder of the necessity for heightened vigilance in an increasingly digitised financial landscape.

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