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Post Market Wrap | Service Stream wins 25-year rail maintenance contract for Inland Rail project

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This Post Market Wrap is presented by KOSEC – Kodari Securities

  • Revenue details to be confirmed at contract execution
  • Strategically significant diversification into rail maintenance
  • Lendlease Services integration and planned synergies progressing well
  • FY22 guidance of $120- $125m EBITDA confirmed 
  • Infrastructure investment in green and digital economy supports long term growth

Service Stream Limited (Service Stream or the Company) is an ASX 300 entity providing integrated end-to-end asset life-cycle services to utility, telecommunications and transport asset owners, operators and regulators across Australia. The Company specialises in the design, construction, operation, and maintenance of assets across these networks.

Service Stream employs 4500 people and has access to a pool of over 5000 specialist contractors. 

Australia’s largest freight rail project announced

Australian Rail Track Corporation has announced a consortium comprising Service Stream and others to develop 128 kms of rail track, as part of a 1700 km rail line between Brisbane and Melbourne. The $14.5 billion project, known as Inland Rail, is a once in a generation nation building project that includes a 6.2 km tunnel through the Great Dividing Range.  

Structured as a Public Private Partnership, the project includes a 25-year maintenance phase, post construction. This phase will be led by Service Stream and includes planned and preventative maintenance. It opens fresh opportunities for Service Stream by diversifying its contracted transport operations into rail maintenance. Full details of revenue to Service Stream will be confirmed at contract execution.

Solid half-year result

In the 6 months to December 2021, Service Stream grew revenue by 38 percent to $566 million, while EBITDA from Operations declined by 2.3 percent to $39.3 million. Adjusted net profit after tax (before amortisation of customer contracts and non-operational costs) was $16.3 million, down 18 percent, compared to the previous corresponding period. Adjusted earnings per share was 2.84 cents, down from 4.92 cents. An interim dividend was not declared.     

The result featured the re-basing of the Company’s legacy Telecommunications business operations as work volumes and mix changed, and the completion of the recently acquired Lendlease Services (LLS) acquisition, in November 2021. The legacy Telecommunications segment recorded a reduction in revenue due to a decrease in NBN activation and assurance volumes, in line with NBN’s strategic plan.  

The $310 million LLS acquisition diversifies Service Stream’s maintenance and asset management services across assets that include airports, roads and wind farms. Execution of planned synergies are progressing well with the 50 percent synergy run rate brought forward to 30 June 2022.

Operating cash flow of $78.9 million, up from $58.6 million, was driven by an impressive 234 percent cash conversion rate, boosted by a one-off benefit from the release in working capital built up in LLS, from new LLS contracts mobilised.  

COVID-19 impacted preventative and discretionary work volumes across utility operations and construction activities during lockdowns in Sydney and Melbourne.  

Looking Ahead 

Work in hand of $5.6 billion and net debt of $47.1 million leaves Service Stream well positioned for future growth. The Company’s long term, multi-year contracted revenues with government and private asset owners/operators, covering privileged assets providing essential services, supports dependable future cash flows.

FY22 guidance, including 8 months LLS contribution, expects pro forma EBITDA from Operations of $120 – $125 million. This includes full run rate of LLS synergies of $17 million.

The build out of Australia’s growing infrastructure needs, buoyed by public and private sector investment in the green and digital economy, means that now is an opportune time to be in the infrastructure services market.    

This Post Market Wrap is presented by Kodari Securities, written by Michael Kodari, CEO at KOSEC.

"Michael Kodari is one of the world's most consistent, top performing investor. A philanthropist and one of the prominent experts of the financial markets, he has been referred to as ‘the brightest 21st century entrepreneur in wealth management' by CNBC Asia and featured on Forbes. Featured on TV as the "Money Expert", on the weekly Sunday program "Elevator Pitch", he is recognised internationally by governments as he was the guest of honour for the event "Inside China's Future", chosen by the Chinese government from the funds management industry, attended by industry leaders, when they arrived in Sydney Australia, on April 2014. Michael and George Soros were the only two financiers in the world invited and chosen by the Chinese government to provide advice, and their expertise on Chinese government asset allocation offshore. With a strong background in funds management and stockbroking, Michael has worked with some of the most successful investors and consulted to leading financial institutions. He was the youngest person ever to appear on the expert panel for Fox, Sky News Business Channel at the age of 25 where he demonstrated his skillset across a 3 year period forming the most consistent track record and getting all his predictions right over that period. Michael writes for key financial publications, is regularly interviewed by various media and conducts conferences around the world."

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US stocks face tests from Tesla, Netflix earnings

US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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In Short:
– Earnings reports from Tesla and Netflix might affect U.S. stock performance next week amid high inflation concerns.
– Increased market volatility arises from U.S.-China trade tensions and fewer S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend.
This coming week, earnings reports from companies including Tesla and Netflix are anticipated to impact U.S. stock performance.
Investors are also awaiting delayed U.S. inflation data, which could test market stability as it remains near record highs.Recent trading activity has shown increased volatility, influenced by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and concerns regarding regional bank credit risks. The CBOE volatility index has seen a rise, indicating increased market uncertainty.

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The S&P 500 entered its fourth year of growth amidst these fluctuations, having previously experienced a period of calm. Experts suggest market risks are intensifying as valuations reach peak levels.

Market Volatility

Concerns regarding U.S.-China trade relations escalated last week when the U.S. threatened to raise tariffs by November 1 over China’s rare-earth export policies. President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with President Xi Jinping in two weeks to discuss these issues.

Despite these challenges, major stock indexes gained ground over the week, with the S&P 500 up 13.3% year-to-date. However, a noticeable decline in the number of S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend raises caution among investors about underlying market weaknesses.

The upcoming third-quarter earnings will be closely monitored, especially as the government shutdown halts economic data releases. Companies like Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, RTX, and IBM are due to report. The delayed U.S. consumer price index is also expected to provide crucial insights ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on October 28-29.


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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent

Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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In Short:
– Australia’s unemployment rate rose to 4.5% in September, the highest since November 2021.
– Economists note a cooling labour market, with fewer job ads and increased participation rate amid rising living costs.
Australia’s unemployment rate increased to 4.5 per cent in September, up from 4.3 per cent in August.It marks the highest seasonally adjusted unemployment rate since November 2021.

Economists suggest that the Reserve Bank should consider another interest rate cut next month. BetaShares chief economist David Bassanese noted a slowdown in employment demand as the labour market struggles to accommodate job seekers.

The number of officially unemployed rose by 33,900 in September, while the employment count increased by 14,900. The labour force expanded by 48,800 people, resulting in a participation rate rise of 0.1 percentage points to 67 per cent, returning to July levels.

In trend terms, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.3 per cent.

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Labour Market

BDO chief economist Anders Magnusson stated that while the unemployment rate has increased, the labour market is cooling, not collapsing.

He pointed out that the 14,900 jobs added in September were slightly below the average for the past year.

A growing participation rate indicates that rising living costs are prompting more individuals to seek employment. Magnusson said the release confirms a gradual cooling of the labour market that keeps the Reserve Bank on track without necessitating immediate action.

He added that hiring activity is slowing, signalled by a 3.3 per cent drop in job advertisements in September, the largest monthly decrease since February 2024.

Despite this, he does not foresee a rate cut in November.


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Stocks rebound after Trump eases China trade tensions

Stocks rebound 600 points as Trump eases China trade tensions, signalling optimism in markets following Friday’s sell-off

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Stocks rebound 600 points as Trump eases China trade tensions, signalling optimism in markets following Friday’s sell-off

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In Short:
– Stocks rose on Monday after Trump expressed optimism about trade relations with China.
– The Dow Jones gained 621 points, with significant increases in tech stocks and broad market recovery.
Stocks gained ground on Monday, recovering from Friday’s decline after President Donald Trump expressed optimism regarding trade relations with China, stating they “will all be fine.”The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 621 points, approximately 70% of its previous loss. The S&P 500 experienced a 1.6% increase, nearing a 60% recovery of its earlier drop. The Nasdaq Composite increased by 2.3%, bolstered by rebounds in technology stocks.

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Oracle’s stock surged over 5%, with AMD and Nvidia seeing 1% and 3% increases, respectively. Broadcom’s stock jumped 10% following the announcement of a partnership with OpenAI.

Trump’s comments hinted that he might not impose a significant increase in tariffs on China, which had previously caused market turmoil. Vice President JD Vance similarly indicated a willingness to negotiate with China, while also asserting that the U.S. holds advantages in potential trade discussions.

Broader Recovery

Monday’s trading saw a positive shift with four out of five S&P 500 stocks rising, indicating widespread recovery. Small-cap stocks also made gains, with the Russell 2000 rising over 2.5%.

Market concerns persist, however, with a government shutdown continuing and a major payroll deadline approaching on October 15. Earnings reports from major financial institutions, including Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase, are expected this week, potentially impacting market sentiment.


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