Nigel Green from the deVere Group believes Republicans could take at least one chamber in these elections.
The deVere Group is one world’s largest independent financial advisory, asset management and fintech organisations.
“History teaches us that a sitting president’s party sheds some level of power during these elections, splitting the executive and legislative branches of the U.S. Government.”
“This typically results in gridlock as lawmakers are unable or unwilling to agree on major legislation, meaning that substantial laws are either not approved or significantly reduced in scope and impact,” Mr Green said.
In September, the price of basic goods and services increased by 8.2 per cent when compared to the same time last year.
“This is not a referendum; this is a choice. And the more people we get out to vote, we win. We win.”
JOE BIDEN, U.S. PRESIDENT
Mr Green said some sectors will be more impacted than others after Tuesday’s vote is complete.
“The status quo usually means that corporations can push on with their plans and investments without the risk of everything being upended by new laws and requirements.”
“Reforms to legislation on big tech can be expected to come to a halt due to the gridlock, which “represents upside for the tech stocks,” he explained.
Who is likely to be affected?
A Republican wave across the U.S. could be a win for major pharmaceutical and biotech stocks, which have already capitalised during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Democrats are pursuing a bill to lower prescription drug prices. Biden said the price of prescription drugs has been out of control for years.
“We pay the highest price for prescription drugs than anywhere in the world.”
“The prescription you have from a drug manufacturer in the United States you get at the local drugstore, you can get in a plane and fly to Paris, you can get the same exact drug for less—every other major capital in the world,” President Biden said.
A voter marks a ballot during the primary election and abortion referendum at a Wyandotte County polling station in Kansas City, Kansas, U.S. August 2, 2022. REUTERS/Eric Cox
Wall Street’s energy stocks could see gains if Republicans take either the House of Representatives or the Senate.
If this is the case, a Democrat-led windfall tax on oil producers could be blocked.
“I’ve released millions of barrels of oil from our Strategic Petroleum Reserve, keeping the price down. It’s down about $1.25 and going down,” the President said, as he conceded prices need to drop further.
Russia is the world’s second largest producer of oil. However, the west’s sanctions have cut Moscow from the global supply chain, and sent oil prices skyrocketing.
The OPEC+ group is primarily run by Russia and Saudi Arabia. President Biden said “there will be consequences” over the recent decision.
The reduction has impacted around 2 per cent of global oil demand.
Oz Sultan is a former Republican candidate, who said U.S. markets will respond favourably if there is a sea of red on Tuesday.
“What we’ve seen from the Biden White House is an approach to green energy, which isn’t necessarily sensible.”
“A lot of what his [Biden’s] policy has been is too little too late, and it’s great thinking but if you don’t have sensible policy that affects the change that you want, it’s not going to happen.”
OZ SULTAN, FORMER REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE
Midterm elections have previously heralded positive stock market performances.
However, there are a suite of inflationary pressures and cascading events including the pandemic, conflict in Ukraine and global supply chain crunch, which investors are keeping a close eye on.
How can investors avoid the worst of it?
The U.S. President typically seeks to use the results of the midterms to boost the economy in the third year of their presidency, as part of their bid to get re-elected in the following year.
However, a divided government will make it harder for President Biden to pass his legislative agenda.
Mr Green from the deVere Group said investors should not underestimate the importance of a trusted investment strategy.
“Ensuring your portfolio is properly diversified is one of the fundamentals of successful investing.”
“Having a well-diversified portfolio across asset classes, sectors and regions means you are best-placed to mitigate risks and best-placed to take advantage of important opportunities.”
NIGEL GREEN, CEO OF THE DEVERE GROUP
The midterm report card is set to alter the course of U.S. domestic politics as the 2024 Presidential election looms large.
However, President Biden said there is also something else at stake: democracy itself.
“I’m not the only one who sees it. Recent polls have shown that an overwhelming majority of Americans believe our democracy at—is at risk, that our democracy is under threat.”
“They too see that democracy is on the ballot this year, and they’re deeply concerned about it,” he said.
Costa is a news producer at ticker NEWS. He has previously worked as a regional journalist at the Southern Highlands Express newspaper. He also has several years' experience in the fire and emergency services sector, where he has worked with researchers, policymakers and local communities. He has also worked at the Seven Network during their Olympic Games coverage and in the ABC Melbourne newsroom.
He also holds a Bachelor of Arts (Professional), with expertise in journalism, politics and international relations. His other interests include colonial legacies in the Pacific, counter-terrorism, aviation and travel.
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In Short:
– Bitcoin nears all-time high amid U.S. government shutdown, trading at $123,685.87 on October 3rd.
– In South Korea, Bitcoin surpassed 170 million KRW, reaching 170.96 million KRW on October 3rd.
Bitcoin has reached near its all-time high during the U.S. government shutdown, establishing itself as a safe asset.
On October 3rd, at the U.S. cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, Bitcoin traded at $123,685.87, closely approaching the record high of $124,290 set in August. This marks a 1.89% increase in just 24 hours and the first time in two months that Bitcoin has surpassed $123,000.In South Korea, Bitcoin’s value also surged, surpassing 170 million KRW for the first time on the night of October 2nd.
The price climbed to 170.96 million KRW at Bithumb on October 3rd, breaking the previous record of 169.90 million KRW from August 14th.
The surge in Bitcoin’s price is driven by increased interest in safe-haven assets amid the government shutdown. Since October 1st, 750,000 federal employees have been placed on unpaid leave, leading investors to consider alternative assets.
Jeff Kendrick of Standard Chartered remarked that the current market situation differs from the 2018-2019 shutdown, as Bitcoin now closely correlates with U.S. government risk.
Bitcoin’s Future
Forecasts suggest Bitcoin’s upward momentum will persist. Standard Chartered predicts Bitcoin could break its all-time high and reach $135,000. JP Morgan analysts foresee a potential rise to $165,000 by year-end.
Historically, October has been a bullish month for Bitcoin, coining the term ‘Uptober’ due to average returns of 20.63% over the last decade. Ethereum is also on the rise, trading around $4,500, contributing to a larger $4.12 trillion cryptocurrency market.