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Economics vs. Virus: Why India won’t enter a lockdown

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Authorities in India are hesitant to declare a national lockdown despite COVID-19 cases rising, with hundreds of thousands of new cases per day.

Leading industry bodies have urged the government to curb economic activity to save lives.

The billionaire president of the Confederation of Indian Industry says a ‘maximal response measure at the highest level is called to cut the transmission links.’

The surge in cases has overwhelmed India’s healthcare system.

However, building healthcare infrastructure will take time: something the nation doesn’t have.  

The Indian government is concerned that a nationwide lockdown will have a devastating impact on the economy. Indian Health Officials say they’re concerned a lockdown will lead to job losses, particularly impact migrant labor.

India has also recorded over 3700 deaths in the past 24-hours.

US Infectious disease expert Dr Anthony Fauci recommended a lockdown for India.

“Lock down so that you wind up having less spread. No one likes to lock down the country. … But if you do it just for a few weeks, you could have a significant impact.”

U.S. infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci

“This virus has shown us that if left to its own devices, it will explode in society,” Fauci said in an interview with Indian Express newspaper. “If you don’t respect its ability to cause serious damage, you are going to get into trouble.”

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Trump’s “very productive” deal: What’s behind the U.S.-China agreement?

US and China agree to new terms amid trade war, following productive talks between Treasury Secretary Bessent and Vice Premier He.

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US and China agree to new terms amid trade war, following productive talks between Treasury Secretary Bessent and Vice Premier He.


The United States and China have reached a new agreement amid an intensifying trade war between the world’s two largest economies. This comes after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng held their first in-person talks since the imposition of heavy tariffs on both sides.

President Trump has described the discussions as “very productive,” signaling cautious optimism as financial markets remain volatile and American consumers feel the pinch of rising prices. Secretary Bessent addressed reporters after long negotiations, underlining the urgency both sides felt to de-escalate the stalemate.

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U.S. and China strike surprise trade deal

US and China reach a significant trade deal amid tensions, signaling thawing relations, while the UK secures symbolic concessions; insights from economist Tim Harcourt.

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US and China reach a significant trade deal amid tensions, signaling thawing relations, while the UK secures symbolic concessions; insights from economist Tim Harcourt.


In a stunning development amid rising tensions, the United States and China have agreed on a new deal as part of their ongoing trade war.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng held the first in-person meetings in years, signaling a potential thaw in relations.

President Trump called the talks “very productive.”

Meanwhile, the UK has managed to score key trade concessions from the US, including on autos, jet engines, and steel—although the benefits may be more symbolic than substantial. Could this deal impact Australia’s trade position?

We unpack the details with Professor Tim Harcourt, Chief Economist at UTS and host of The Airport Economist.

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Inflation data, earnings reports, and market trends to watch

Investors focus on inflation data, trade meetings, Fed remarks, retail sales, and key earnings reports this week.

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Investors focus on inflation data, trade meetings, Fed remarks, retail sales, and key earnings reports this week.

In Short:
Inflation data will be a key focus this week, alongside trade meeting results and important earnings reports. Investors will monitor Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks and various economic indicators, including retail sales and sentiment surveys.

Inflation data set for Tuesday is expected to be a focal point this week.

Investors will also assess the results of recent U.S. and Chinese trade meetings following a quiet Friday that saw stock declines for the week.

On Thursday, remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be closely monitored as he faces pressure from President Donald Trump regarding interest rate decisions.

Retail sales figures will also be released on Thursday, coinciding with Walmart’s earnings report.

Key earnings announcements this week include those from Cisco Systems, Alibaba Group, Deere & Co., Applied Materials, and Take-Two Interactive.

In addition, consumer and small business sentiment surveys, along with data from the homebuilding and manufacturing sectors, may also draw interest.

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