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Money

Black Friday & Cyber Monday vs The Supply Chain Crisis

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With the holiday season among us, the decision between shopping in store or online is crucial to getting your gifts on time

According to the National Retail Federation, an estimated 158.3 million people plan to shop this weekend, which is 2 million more than 2020. 

This also comes with an expected spending total of $28.1 billion, the highest since 2018. 

National Retail Federation President and CEO, Matthew Shay says, “We’re expecting another record-breaking holiday season this year and Thanksgiving weekend will play a major role as it always has,” 

What is Black Friday?

Black Friday is the day for the world to get their hands on the biggest bargains in preparation for the holiday season.

It dates back to the 1960s in Philadelphia when police would complain about the congested streets as people hunted for the best deals for their Christmas shopping.

The term refers to when stores would move from the ‘red’ to the ‘black’ in their accounting records, red indicating a loss and black indicating a profit.

The major shopping event is typically on the Friday after Thanksgiving, meaning that this year it will fall on November 26th.

And if you think you’re reading this too late, not to worry! Retailers are opting to extend their deals, which brings us to Cyber Monday. 

What is Cyber Monday?

Unlike Black Friday which takes place both in store and online, Cyber Monday falls on the Monday after Thanksgiving, meaning this year it will be on November 29.

As indicated in the name, Cyber Monday is an online event, which according to BlackFriday.com was when most shoppers planned to do their shopping last year.

National Retail Association CEO, Dominique Lamb says “Cyber Monday also continues to grow in leaps and bounds. The pandemic has accelerated the growing trend towards online shopping, which provides consumers with great convenience.”

“We really encourage Aussies to get their online purchases done and dusted on Cyber Monday. Not only will that secure them great deals, but with the delivery system under strain consumers shouldn’t be waiting until the last minute to make online Christmas purchases,” she said.

In Store vs Online

According to the National Retail Federation, 2020 was a record year for online shopping as the number of shoppers passed the 100 million mark which was up 8% from 2019.

This is likely to increase as the world becomes more and more accustomed to doing tasks from the comfort of their own home. 

But making the effort to get out of your pyjamas to go shop in store may be the way to go this holiday season, as the supply chain crisis continues.

As retailers struggle to retrieve their merchandise due to congested shipping ports, the shortage of workers needed to make, unload, and transport products, and thus the strained manufacturers and distributors, getting your Christmas shopping on time may not be possible.

According to FedEx, the Covid-19 pandemic has created record breaking shipment volumes as people choose to avoid the crowds and stay in their pjs, causing major delays. 

These delays will likely be amplified by Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales, which FedEx expects to be the biggest single shopping days of the year.

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Money

Research shows daters are looking for solvent partners

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As the cost-of-living crisis continues to grip Australia, new research reveals a shifting landscape in the realm of dating preferences.

According to the survey conducted by eharmony, an overwhelming two-thirds of Australians are now keen to understand their potential partner’s financial situation before committing to a serious relationship.

The findings indicate a growing trend where individuals are becoming more discerning about whom they invest their affections in, particularly as the economic pressures intensify.

Read more: Why are car prices so high?

The study highlights that nearly half of respondents (48%) consider a potential partner’s debts and income as crucial factors in determining whether to pursue a relationship.

Certain types of debt, such as credit card debt, payday loans, and personal loans, are viewed unfavorably by the vast majority of respondents, signaling a preference for partners who exhibit financial responsibility.

Good debt

While certain forms of debt, such as mortgages and student loans (e.g., HECS), are deemed acceptable or even ‘good’ debt by a majority of respondents, credit card debt, payday loans (such as Afterpay), and personal loans top the list of ‘bad’ debt, with 82%, 78%, and 73% of respondents, respectively, expressing concerns.

Interestingly, even car loans are viewed unfavorably by a significant portion of those surveyed, with 57.5% considering them to be undesirable debt.

Sharon Draper, a relationship expert at eharmony, said the significance of financial compatibility in relationships, noting that discussions around money are increasingly taking place at earlier stages of dating.

“In the past, couples tended to avoid discussing money during the early stages of dating because it was regarded as rude and potentially off-putting,” Draper explains.

“However, understanding each other’s perspectives and habits around finances early on can be instrumental in assessing long-term compatibility.”

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Money

US energy stocks surge amid economic growth and inflation fears

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Investors are turning to U.S. energy shares in droves, capitalizing on surging oil prices and a resilient economy while seeking protection against looming inflationary pressures.

The S&P 500 energy sector has witnessed a remarkable ascent in 2024, boasting gains of approximately 17%, effectively doubling the broader index’s year-to-date performance.

This surge has intensified in recent weeks, propelling the energy sector to the forefront of the S&P 500’s top-performing sectors.

A significant catalyst driving this rally is the relentless rise in oil prices. U.S. crude has surged by 20% year-to-date, propelled by robust economic indicators in the United States and escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Investors are also turning to energy shares as a hedge against inflation, which has proven more persistent than anticipated, threatening to derail the broader market rally.

Ayako Yoshioka, senior portfolio manager at Wealth Enhancement Group, notes that having exposure to commodities can serve as a hedge against inflationary pressures, prompting many portfolios to overweight energy stocks.

Shell Service Station

Shell Service Station

Energy companies

This sentiment is underscored by the disciplined capital spending observed among energy companies, particularly oil majors such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

Among the standout performers within the energy sector this year are Marathon Petroleum, which has surged by 40%, and Valero Energy, up by an impressive 33%.

As the first-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear, with reports from major companies such as Netflix, Bank of America, and Procter & Gamble, investors will closely scrutinize economic indicators such as monthly U.S. retail sales to gauge consumer behavior amidst lingering inflation concerns.

The rally in energy stocks signals a broadening of the U.S. equities rally beyond growth and technology companies that dominated last year.

However, escalating inflation expectations and concerns about a hawkish Federal Reserve could dampen investors’ appetite for non-commodities-related sectors.

Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel Corp., highlights investors’ focus on the robust economy amidst supply bottlenecks in commodities, especially oil.

This sentiment is echoed by strategists at Morgan Stanley and RBC Capital Markets, who maintain bullish calls on energy shares, citing heightened geopolitical risks and strong economic fundamentals.

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Money

How Australians lose nearly $1 billion to card scammers in a year

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A recent study by Finder has unveiled a distressing trend: Australians are hemorrhaging money to card scams at an alarming rate.

The survey, conducted among 1,039 participants, painted a grim picture, with 2.2 million individuals – roughly 11% of the population – falling prey to credit or debit card skimming in 2023 alone.

The financial toll of these scams is staggering. On average, victims lost $418 each, amounting to a colossal $930 million collectively across the country.

Rebecca Pike, a financial expert at Finder, underscored the correlation between the surge in digital transactions and the proliferation of sophisticated scams.

“Scammers are adapting, leveraging sophisticated tactics that often mimic trusted brands or exploit personal connections. With digital transactions on the rise, it’s imperative for consumers to remain vigilant and proactive in safeguarding their financial assets,” Pike said.

Read more – How Google is cracking down on scams

Concerning trend

Disturbingly, Finder’s research also revealed a concerning trend in underreporting.

Only 9% of scam victims reported the incident, while 1% remained oblivious to the fraudulent activity initially. Additionally, 1% of respondents discovered they were victims of bank card fraud only after the fact, highlighting the insidious nature of these schemes.

Pike urged consumers to exercise heightened scrutiny over their financial statements, recommending frequent monitoring for any unauthorised transactions.

She explained the importance of leveraging notification services offered by financial institutions to promptly identify and report suspicious activity.

“Early detection is key. If you notice any unfamiliar transactions, don’t hesitate to contact your bank immediately. Swift action can mitigate further unauthorised use of your card,” Pike advised, underscoring the critical role of proactive measures in combating card scams.

As Australians grapple with the escalating threat of card fraud, Pike’s counsel serves as a timely reminder of the necessity for heightened vigilance in an increasingly digitised financial landscape.

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