Is Australia heading for its first major recession in over 30 years?

Published

3 years ago

July 4, 2023

The path to a soft landing is a narrow one, or so the RBA keeps telling us. But what are the actual risks facing the economy?

Prices in Australia have begun falling for consumers in a few key areas according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI).

May’s CPI showed inflation fell to 5 and a half per cent for the month – down from 6.8 per cent a month earlier.

The Reserve Bank has been raising interest rates to try and bring that figure down even further.

Aside from a brief pause to this campaign in April, the country’s cash rate is at its highest point since 2012 – at 4.1 percent.

And the Bank’s Governor Philip Lowe is under the pump for that decision acknowledging that high interest rates do cause economic hardship for people in their own right.

However, he says the pain of stubborn inflation can sting even worse for everyday people, and the RBA could be set to raise the cash rate even further on Tuesday.

But many economists argue this strategy also raises the risks of bringing Australia into its first recession since 1990.

That record may be the envy of the world, but it could soon be broken.

The Commonwealth Bank is the only one of Australia’s Big Four banks to believe that the RBA will not raise interest rates on Tuesday.

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ticker NEWS

RBA rate shock: ASX200, Gold and Crypto market

RBA’s interest rate shift impacts ASX200, AUD; gold/silver rebound analyzed amidst upcoming economic data and crypto market navigation.

Published

21 hours ago

February 10, 2026

Harvey Vargas

RBA’s interest rate shift impacts ASX200, AUD; gold/silver rebound analyzed amidst upcoming economic data and crypto market navigation.

The RBA’s latest interest rate decision has sent ripples through the ASX200 and AUD, leaving investors weighing what comes next. We break down how these changes could affect global equities ahead of this week’s crucial non-farm payroll and consumer price index releases.

Zoran Kresovic from Blueberry Markets shares his analysis on the rebound in gold and silver after recent market turbulence, and what factors could drive further gains or sell-offs in the commodities market.

We also dive into the current state of cryptocurrencies, exploring how investors can navigate volatility and what to watch as economic data continues to shape market sentiment.

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#RBA #ASX200 #GoldMarket #SilverRebound #CryptoUpdate #InvestingTips #MarketVolatility #EconomicOutlook

Money

Dow hits record while tech stocks drive market gains

S&P 500 rose 0.7% with Nvidia and Broadcom driving gains; investors await delayed January jobs and inflation reports.

Published

23 hours ago

February 10, 2026

Harvey Vargas

S&P 500 rose 0.7% with Nvidia and Broadcom driving gains; investors await delayed January jobs and inflation reports.

The S&P 500 rose 0.7% on Monday, powered by gains in technology stocks, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit new heights. Investors are eagerly awaiting crucial economic reports this week.

Nvidia and Broadcom were among the standout performers, climbing 3% and 4% respectively, continuing the momentum from the previous session. The market rebound comes after significant losses earlier last week, with the Dow exceeding 50,000 for the first time ever on Friday.

Investors now turn their attention to the delayed January jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, due Wednesday, and the consumer price index for January, expected Friday with a 2.5% annual rise.

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Money

Tech stocks slide as investors rotate into small-cap and value plays

Nasdaq drops 1.84% amid turbulent week; investors pivot to cyclical and value sectors from high-growth tech.

Published

2 days ago

February 9, 2026

Harvey Vargas

Nasdaq drops 1.84% amid turbulent week; investors pivot to cyclical and value sectors from high-growth tech.

U.S. equity markets wrapped up a turbulent week with mixed results. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.84%, marking its worst week for large-cap technology stocks since November, while the S&P 500 remained largely unchanged. Investors are weighing concerns about artificial intelligence and potential overinvestment in high-growth areas.

Meanwhile, smaller-cap and value-oriented stocks continued to add to their year-to-date gains. Market participants rotated into cyclical sectors that had lagged, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment and appetite for risk outside the traditional tech heavyweights.

Analysts say this rotation highlights the broader market’s evolving dynamics, as growth concerns collide with opportunities in underappreciated areas. Stay tuned for further developments as the market digests these trends.

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