Americans’ economic expectations reach 12-year low

Americans’ economic expectations drop to a 12-year low amid rising prices and uncertainty over Trump’s policies.

Published

10 months ago

March 26, 2025

Ahron Young

Americans’ economic expectations drop to a 12-year low amid rising prices and uncertainty over Trump’s policies.

In Short

Americans’ economic expectations have plummeted to a 12-year low due to uncertainty over President Trump’s policies and rising prices. Consumer confidence has fallen significantly, with many now pessimistic about their financial future and the stock market.

Americans’ economic expectations are at a 12-year low.

Uncertainty over President Trump’s policies and rising prices are impacting consumer sentiment.

The Conference Board’s latest consumer confidence index is at 92.9 for March, down from 100.1 in February.

This is the lowest level in over four years.

The expectations index, indicating short-term outlook for income, business, and labour market conditions, declined to 65.2 from 72.9.

It remains beneath the 80 mark, often seen as a recession signal, for the second consecutive month.

Financial situation

Consumers’ expectations regarding their financial situation have fallen to their lowest in more than two years.

Yelena Shulyatyeva, a senior economist at the Conference Board, indicated that uncertainty about the economic outlook is affecting consumers’ perceptions of their future financial well-being.

Among the five components contributing to consumer confidence, only the assessment of current labour market conditions improved in March.

Consumers’ future expectations are particularly negative, with inflation expectations rising to 6.2% from 5.8%.

Additionally, for the first time since 2023, consumer sentiment regarding the stock market has turned negative, with only 37.4% expecting stock prices to rise in the coming year.

Markets tumble as Trump tariffs, Greenland rhetoric and Europe backlash collide

U.S. stocks plummet over 800 points amid renewed tariff threats and political tensions from Trump, sparking global trade concerns.

Published

1 day ago

January 21, 2026

Harvey Vargas

U.S. stocks plummet over 800 points amid renewed tariff threats and political tensions from Trump, sparking global trade concerns.

U.S. equities took a sharp hit as markets reacted to renewed tariff threats and heightened political rhetoric from President Donald Trump. The Dow plunged more than 800 points, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also sliding as investor nerves rattled risk assets.

The sell-off highlights growing concern around global trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty, with markets struggling to price in what comes next for U.S. economic leadership and policy direction.

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Money

Gold hits record highs as investors flee risk

Gold surges amid global uncertainty, with February futures rising 1.71% to $4,674.20 per ounce, signaling safe-haven demand.

Published

2 days ago

January 20, 2026

Harvey Vargas

Gold surges amid global uncertainty, with February futures rising 1.71% to $4,674.20 per ounce, signaling safe-haven demand.

Gold is shining brighter than ever as investors flock to safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. U.S. gold futures for February delivery jumped 1.71% to $4,674.20 per ounce, while spot gold rose 1.6% to $4,668.14.

The surge comes as geopolitical tensions continue to worry traders, prompting a rush into metals perceived as stable and secure. Analysts say gold is proving its status as the ultimate hedge during turbulent times.

Investors are closely watching markets as gold sets new benchmarks, signalling growing caution across the financial landscape.

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Money

Markets edge higher as 10-year yields hit new highs

Major stock indices rise slightly; 10-year Treasury yield hits 4.23% amid Fed Chair speculation, affecting small and mega-cap stocks.

Published

3 days ago

January 19, 2026

Harvey Vargas

Major stock indices rise slightly; 10-year Treasury yield hits 4.23% amid Fed Chair speculation, affecting small and mega-cap stocks.

All major stock indices are starting the week slightly higher, giving investors cautious optimism. Analysts are keeping an eye on movements in small caps and mega-cap tech stocks amid these early gains.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has climbed to 4.23%, the highest since last September. This follows Kevin Warsh emerging as the frontrunner for the next Federal Reserve Chair, sparking speculation on future monetary policy.

Rising yields could trigger a pullback in small-cap stocks, while investors may pivot toward mega-cap tech, expected to deliver strong earnings growth. Overall, the market is likely to see a neutral to slightly bearish trend next week due to overbought conditions.

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