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A new way to trade the Future

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Trade your opinion on yes-or-no questions in key CME Futures markets

Say you have a strong sense of whether the price of Gold will close above USD$2,000 today, and you wanted an immediate means of taking that position with a simple Yes/No push of a button.

Now there’s a new way to express that market sentiment immediately, and across a robust number of key futures products, via Interactive Brokers’ innovative trading platform.

Event contracts offer the most intuitive, straightforward way yet to access 10 of the world’s most important futures markets.

They are short-term, limited-risk contracts that streamline how you can take part in benchmark markets.

And it’s as simple as using event contracts to trade your opinion on Yes-or-No questions on whether key futures markets will move up or down by the end of each day’s trading session. 

Interactive Brokers’ just made it even simpler with its newly launched IBKR EventTrader platform.

TELL ME MORE

Event contracts are based on the outcome of an event and are short-term positions good for that trading day only. This provides investors with a straightforward way of participating in key futures markets.

You can select from event contracts in the Equity Index, Energy, Metals and foreign currency futures markets, and to trade, just choose YES or NO on an event contract.

You will be presented with a menu of short-term price predictions by product. To participate, just choose a side on a given prediction.

So, if you think the price of crude oil is going to rise on the news of an OPEC production cuts, you can buy a YES contract and benefit from any increase in the price of oil by the end of the day. 

Similarly, if you think the stock market is going to fall on disappointing news, you can buy a NO contract on an Equity Index Event Contract and profit from any decline.

Will the S&P 500 Index close above 3,900 today? Simply Yes or No.

Event contracts are settled in cash, so there is no need to worry about delivery or expiry.

HOW CAN YOU GET STARTED?

You don’t need a big investment to gain access to major futures markets’ daily activity, nor is there a big expense to enter a trade – between USD 0.25 to USD $19.75 per trade.

For each event contract you hold that expires “in the money”, in reference to the underlying futures settlement price, you receive a fixed payout of USD $20.00. Your max profit per contract is USD $20.00 minus the contract cost, fees and commissions. Event contracts are priced between USD $0.25 to USD $19.75 per contract and quoted in USD $0.25 increments.

Interactive Brokers offers a low, transparent commission of just USD 0.10 per event contract.

Event contracts also provide exposure to key futures markets while limiting an investor’s risk because the most one can lose is the price paid for the contract.

  • You can buy one contract or multiple contracts at once. 
  • You receive a fixed payout of $20 for each event contract you hold that expires “in the money,” minus contract cost, fees and commissions.

Basically, IBKR EventTrader empowers investors’ ability to take a position on their daily price predictions.

And it’s fun.

You can get more insights on eventtrader.interactivebrokers.com.

You can also get a concise and detailed EventTrader Demo in this webinar:  Trading CME Event Contracts at Interactive Brokers Using IBKR EventTrader Platform – IBKR Webinars

So if you’re looking for a new and straightforward way to trade key futures markets, check out IBKR EventTrader

With low commissions and no minimums, it’s easy to get started. Yes or . . . Yes.

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Money

Wall Street hits record highs on low inflation

Wall Street hits record highs on cool inflation and strong earnings ahead of key Federal Reserve interest rate decision

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Wall Street hits record highs on cool inflation and strong earnings ahead of key Federal Reserve interest rate decision

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In Short:
– U.S. stocks rose to record highs on Friday due to lower inflation and strong corporate earnings.
– Key earnings reports from major companies are expected next week, influencing market trends.
U.S. stocks rose to record highs on Friday due to lower-than-expected inflation data and positive corporate earnings.The S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieved their largest weekly gains since August. The Dow saw its biggest jump from Friday to Friday since June.

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The Labor Department reported that the Consumer Price Index was slightly cooler than analysts’ predictions, easing concerns about inflation impacts from tariffs. This development suggests a likely interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting.

Ryan Detrick from Carson Group noted the positive inflation news may facilitate forthcoming Fed rate cuts. Despite the ongoing government shutdown affecting data releases, this CPI report provided much-needed clarity.

Earnings reports are continuing, with 143 S&P 500 companies having reported results. Growth expectations for third-quarter earnings have risen to 10.4%. Detrick indicated a strong opening to the earnings season with a significant percentage of companies exceeding expectations.

This coming week, key earnings will be reported from Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple, alongside industrial companies like Caterpillar and Boeing.

The Dow rose 472.51 points to 47,207.12. The S&P 500 increased by 53.25 points to 6,791.69, while the Nasdaq gained 263.07 points, reaching 23,204.87.

Alphabet gained 2.7% following a deal expansion with Anthropic. Coinbase saw a 9.8% increase from a JPMorgan upgrade. In contrast, Deckers Outdoor’s shares fell 15.2% after lowering sales forecasts.

Market Trends

Advancing stocks on the NYSE outnumbered decliners by 2.18 to 1. The S&P 500 had 34 new highs, with the Nasdaq recording 124.

Trading volume was 19.04 billion shares, lower than the average of the past 20 days.


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US stocks face tests from Tesla, Netflix earnings

US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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In Short:
– Earnings reports from Tesla and Netflix might affect U.S. stock performance next week amid high inflation concerns.
– Increased market volatility arises from U.S.-China trade tensions and fewer S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend.
This coming week, earnings reports from companies including Tesla and Netflix are anticipated to impact U.S. stock performance.
Investors are also awaiting delayed U.S. inflation data, which could test market stability as it remains near record highs.Recent trading activity has shown increased volatility, influenced by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and concerns regarding regional bank credit risks. The CBOE volatility index has seen a rise, indicating increased market uncertainty.

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The S&P 500 entered its fourth year of growth amidst these fluctuations, having previously experienced a period of calm. Experts suggest market risks are intensifying as valuations reach peak levels.

Market Volatility

Concerns regarding U.S.-China trade relations escalated last week when the U.S. threatened to raise tariffs by November 1 over China’s rare-earth export policies. President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with President Xi Jinping in two weeks to discuss these issues.

Despite these challenges, major stock indexes gained ground over the week, with the S&P 500 up 13.3% year-to-date. However, a noticeable decline in the number of S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend raises caution among investors about underlying market weaknesses.

The upcoming third-quarter earnings will be closely monitored, especially as the government shutdown halts economic data releases. Companies like Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, RTX, and IBM are due to report. The delayed U.S. consumer price index is also expected to provide crucial insights ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on October 28-29.


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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent

Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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Australia’s unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent in September, prompting calls for potential Reserve Bank interest rate cut

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In Short:
– Australia’s unemployment rate rose to 4.5% in September, the highest since November 2021.
– Economists note a cooling labour market, with fewer job ads and increased participation rate amid rising living costs.
Australia’s unemployment rate increased to 4.5 per cent in September, up from 4.3 per cent in August.It marks the highest seasonally adjusted unemployment rate since November 2021.

Economists suggest that the Reserve Bank should consider another interest rate cut next month. BetaShares chief economist David Bassanese noted a slowdown in employment demand as the labour market struggles to accommodate job seekers.

The number of officially unemployed rose by 33,900 in September, while the employment count increased by 14,900. The labour force expanded by 48,800 people, resulting in a participation rate rise of 0.1 percentage points to 67 per cent, returning to July levels.

In trend terms, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.3 per cent.

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Labour Market

BDO chief economist Anders Magnusson stated that while the unemployment rate has increased, the labour market is cooling, not collapsing.

He pointed out that the 14,900 jobs added in September were slightly below the average for the past year.

A growing participation rate indicates that rising living costs are prompting more individuals to seek employment. Magnusson said the release confirms a gradual cooling of the labour market that keeps the Reserve Bank on track without necessitating immediate action.

He added that hiring activity is slowing, signalled by a 3.3 per cent drop in job advertisements in September, the largest monthly decrease since February 2024.

Despite this, he does not foresee a rate cut in November.


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