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2024 economic slowdown fuels 50% recession prediction

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Economists around the globe are closely monitoring the world’s economic landscape as 2024 ushers in a period of stark economic deceleration.

Amid these challenging times, a growing consensus among experts suggests that the odds of a recession have reached a concerning 50%. This unsettling forecast is sending ripples through financial markets and policy circles, as governments and businesses brace for potential turbulence ahead.

The economic slowdown, attributed to a combination of factors such as supply chain disruptions, rising inflation, and geopolitical tensions, has cast a shadow of uncertainty over global markets. As businesses struggle to adapt to these new challenges, consumer confidence is waning, leading to decreased spending and investment. With central banks and policymakers grappling with limited tools to combat these headwinds, the road ahead appears increasingly treacherous.

In the wake of this sobering prediction, investors are reevaluating their portfolios and risk management strategies, while governments are exploring potential stimulus measures to shore up their economies. The 50% recession probability is not only a cause for concern in developed economies but also poses significant risks for emerging markets already grappling with their own set of challenges.

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France receives lowest credit rating due to crisis

France’s credit rating downgraded to record low amid political and fiscal crisis, raising concerns over debt and stability

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France’s credit rating downgraded to record low amid political and fiscal crisis, raising concerns over debt and stability

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In Short:
– Fitch Ratings downgraded France’s credit rating to A+, citing political instability and fiscal challenges.
– New Prime Minister Lecornu must secure budget approval amidst rising deficit and potential no-confidence vote.
Fitch Ratings has downgraded France’s credit rating from AA- to A+, the lowest ever recorded, amid ongoing political and fiscal challenges.
The decision comes shortly after Prime Minister François Bayrou was removed in a vote of no confidence regarding his €44 billion austerity plan.
President Emmanuel Macron has appointed Sébastien Lecornu as the new prime minister, marking the fifth leadership change in under two years.Banner

Fitch highlighted political instability as a key factor undermining fiscal reforms, with France’s debt now at €3.3 trillion, or 113.9% of GDP.

The budget deficit increased to 5.8% of GDP and is expected to rise, posing challenges ahead.

Political Instability

The new prime minister faces a divided parliament and must secure budget approval by October 7.

The far-left plans a no-confidence vote against Lecornu, complicating further cooperation on legislative reforms, with S&P Global hinting at a potential downgrade.


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Trump moves to fast-track removal of Fed governor Lisa Cook

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The White House is set to fast-track a ruling on firing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, just days before the crucial FOMC meeting.

The move comes as markets reel from surging inflation, weak jobless data, and global currency shifts, raising questions about the Fed’s independence and the stability of policy decisions.

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ANZ job cuts spark banking clash

ANZ plans to cut 3,500 jobs, sparking debate on the future of Australia’s banking sector and employment dynamics.

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ANZ plans to cut 3,500 jobs, sparking debate on the future of Australia’s banking sector and employment dynamics.


ANZ has announced plans to cut 3,500 staff and 1,000 contractors over the next year, triggering a fierce debate between business leaders, unions, and government about the future of Australia’s banking sector.

The decision raises wider questions about the resilience of the business community and the role of politics, productivity, and technology in shaping employment.

#ANZ #Banking #Jobs #Unions #Australia #Economy #TickerNews


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