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The ASX’s rookie error is just the latest of many blunders and investors are losing confidence

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The ASX’s rookie error is just the latest of many blunders. Investors are losing confidence

Angel Zhong, RMIT University

It was the latest blow to the credibility of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This time, the nation’s stock exchange mixed up two company names in an error that briefly wiped A$400 million off the market value of our third biggest telco, TPG Telecom.

On Wednesday morning, the ASX mistakenly linked TPG Telecom Limited to a market announcement involving a completely different company — TPG Capital Asia. This US-owned, private equity giant just revealed a A$651 million takeover of the software firm Infomedia.

The ASX’s error led investors to believe TPG Telecom was making an acquisition outside its sector. Automatic trading algorithms also kicked in. Within minutes, TPG Telecom’s stock plunged nearly 5% before the ASX halted trading. The damage was done.

The ASX later described the mistake as “an inadvertent human error”.

The exchange moved quickly to cancel trades executed during the 15-minute error window. But the incident has reignited longstanding concerns about the ASX’s operational resilience and governance, and the fragility of investor confidence.

In a market where milliseconds matter, even a minor error can have major consequences.

A pattern of failure

This latest blunder is far from an isolated incident. It’s the culmination of years of operational failures that would be unacceptable in any other critical infrastructure sector.

An outage related to the ASX’s ageing platform for clearing and settling trades in December 2024 stands as perhaps the most serious breach of market confidence. The system couldn’t complete basic settlement processes.

This prompted unprecedented intervention from the regulators. The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) and the Reserve Bank of Australia expressed “deep concerns” about these “repeated and serious failures” in the exchange’s trading infrastructure.

This came on top of the botched replacement project for the ASX’s platform known as CHESS. The upgrade remains years behind schedule and hundreds of millions over budget. These events expose fundamental weaknesses in technical capabilities.

TPG Telecom: collateral damage in a system failure

For TPG Telecom, this was an uninvited PR disaster. The company didn’t seek the spotlight, but the ASX error has placed it under the microscope. While its fundamentals haven’t changed, the incident has heightened scrutiny of its strategy, debt levels and market positioning.

Academic research in finance shows exogenous shocks (unexpected external events) beyond a firm’s control can lead to disproportionate attention from investors and analysts. Once a stock becomes the focus of media and market chatter, questions that might have remained on the margins become front and centre.

This kind of exposure can be both a risk and an opportunity.

If the company is seen as opaque or unprepared, it risks reputational damage. But it also has a chance to build investor trust through strong, transparent communication. In today’s markets, how a company responds under pressure matters as much as the trigger itself.

Competition for the ASX

What’s becoming increasingly clear is that Australia needs more than a reliable exchange. It needs competition, accountability and innovation. The ASX’s dominance in trading and post-trade services has long frustrated market participants.

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission’s announcement this week about boosting competition to the ASX couldn’t be more timely.

ASIC said it is considering plans to strengthen the alternative trading exchange Cboe Australia in a bid to improve resilience and innovation. Launched in 2011 as Chi-X, Cboe now claims around 20% of daily share trading volume.

News of increased competition helped to send ASX’s own shares down 11% in early trade on Thursday before ending at 8.6% down.

Australia has a persistent problem with concentrated markets, from banking to telecommunications to supermarkets. The ASX monopoly follows the same pattern: limited competition can breed complacency.

The message is clear: trust in infrastructure must be earned, not assumed. The ASX must now prove it deserves its dominant role in Australia’s financial system, or risk losing it.

Trust is the real currency of markets

The TPG trading error is more than a technical mishap. It is a warning. Financial markets depend on trust in price accuracy, infrastructure reliability, and timely, transparent responses when things go wrong.

Repeated failures undermine this trust. If investors begin to question the accuracy of what they see on the trading screen, or the ability of the system to recover from mistakes, the risk isn’t just reputational. It’s systemic.

In academic terms, this is a textbook case of what’s known as “market microstructure friction” in the trading of stocks or bonds. This means the plumbing of the financial system breaks down and distorts outcomes. But for the average investor, it’s simpler: if the exchange can’t get the basics right, how can we trust the prices or the market?

The ASX now faces a crisis of credibility. If trust is the currency of markets, it’s one the exchange can no longer afford to spend lightly. For regulators, investors and listed firms, this could be a turning point towards a more competitive, resilient and accountable trading environment.The Conversation

Angel Zhong, Professor of Finance, RMIT University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Inflation rise reduces chances of Reserve Bank rate cut

Inflation spikes, drastically reducing chances of a Reserve Bank rate cut amid economic pressures and rising costs

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Inflation spikes, drastically reducing chances of a Reserve Bank rate cut amid economic pressures and rising costs

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In Short:
– Rate cut likelihood by the Reserve Bank has decreased due to a rise in annual inflation to 3.2 per cent.
– Significant price increases in housing, recreation, and transport are raising concerns for the Reserve Bank.

The likelihood of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank has decreased significantly after a surge in annual inflation.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that inflation for the year ending September rose to 3.2 per cent, reflecting a 1.1 per cent increase.

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Trimmed mean inflation, a crucial measure for the Reserve Bank, was recorded at 1 per cent for the quarter and 3 per cent for the year. The bank anticipates inflation to reach 3 per cent by year-end, while trimmed mean inflation is expected to slightly decrease.

The quarterly rise of 1.3 per cent in September exceeded expectations. Governor Bullock noted that a deviation from the Reserve Bank’s projections could have material implications.

Financial markets reacted promptly, with the Australian dollar rising against the US dollar, while the ASX200 index fell.

The most significant price increases were observed in housing, recreation, and transport, indicating widespread price pressures that concern the Reserve Bank.

Despite the unexpected inflation rise, some economists believe the Reserve Bank may still consider rate cuts in December, viewing current price spikes as temporary due to the winding back of subsidies.

Economic Pressures

Broad-based economic pressures suggest that the Reserve Bank may not reduce interest rates at its upcoming meeting. Analysts highlight the need for ongoing support for households facing cost-of-living challenges.


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Wall Street hits record highs on low inflation

Wall Street hits record highs on cool inflation and strong earnings ahead of key Federal Reserve interest rate decision

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Wall Street hits record highs on cool inflation and strong earnings ahead of key Federal Reserve interest rate decision

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In Short:
– U.S. stocks rose to record highs on Friday due to lower inflation and strong corporate earnings.
– Key earnings reports from major companies are expected next week, influencing market trends.
U.S. stocks rose to record highs on Friday due to lower-than-expected inflation data and positive corporate earnings.The S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieved their largest weekly gains since August. The Dow saw its biggest jump from Friday to Friday since June.

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The Labor Department reported that the Consumer Price Index was slightly cooler than analysts’ predictions, easing concerns about inflation impacts from tariffs. This development suggests a likely interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting.

Ryan Detrick from Carson Group noted the positive inflation news may facilitate forthcoming Fed rate cuts. Despite the ongoing government shutdown affecting data releases, this CPI report provided much-needed clarity.

Earnings reports are continuing, with 143 S&P 500 companies having reported results. Growth expectations for third-quarter earnings have risen to 10.4%. Detrick indicated a strong opening to the earnings season with a significant percentage of companies exceeding expectations.

This coming week, key earnings will be reported from Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple, alongside industrial companies like Caterpillar and Boeing.

The Dow rose 472.51 points to 47,207.12. The S&P 500 increased by 53.25 points to 6,791.69, while the Nasdaq gained 263.07 points, reaching 23,204.87.

Alphabet gained 2.7% following a deal expansion with Anthropic. Coinbase saw a 9.8% increase from a JPMorgan upgrade. In contrast, Deckers Outdoor’s shares fell 15.2% after lowering sales forecasts.

Market Trends

Advancing stocks on the NYSE outnumbered decliners by 2.18 to 1. The S&P 500 had 34 new highs, with the Nasdaq recording 124.

Trading volume was 19.04 billion shares, lower than the average of the past 20 days.


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US stocks face tests from Tesla, Netflix earnings

US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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US markets brace for Tesla and Netflix earnings amid rising volatility and delayed inflation data

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In Short:
– Earnings reports from Tesla and Netflix might affect U.S. stock performance next week amid high inflation concerns.
– Increased market volatility arises from U.S.-China trade tensions and fewer S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend.
This coming week, earnings reports from companies including Tesla and Netflix are anticipated to impact U.S. stock performance.
Investors are also awaiting delayed U.S. inflation data, which could test market stability as it remains near record highs.Recent trading activity has shown increased volatility, influenced by ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and concerns regarding regional bank credit risks. The CBOE volatility index has seen a rise, indicating increased market uncertainty.

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The S&P 500 entered its fourth year of growth amidst these fluctuations, having previously experienced a period of calm. Experts suggest market risks are intensifying as valuations reach peak levels.

Market Volatility

Concerns regarding U.S.-China trade relations escalated last week when the U.S. threatened to raise tariffs by November 1 over China’s rare-earth export policies. President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with President Xi Jinping in two weeks to discuss these issues.

Despite these challenges, major stock indexes gained ground over the week, with the S&P 500 up 13.3% year-to-date. However, a noticeable decline in the number of S&P 500 stocks in an uptrend raises caution among investors about underlying market weaknesses.

The upcoming third-quarter earnings will be closely monitored, especially as the government shutdown halts economic data releases. Companies like Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, RTX, and IBM are due to report. The delayed U.S. consumer price index is also expected to provide crucial insights ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on October 28-29.


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