SpaceX’s valuation unlikely to outperform S&P 500

SpaceX’s market valuation is projected at $1.75 trillion with a targeted IPO price of $135 per share.This valuation raises concerns about the stock’s ability to match the performance of the S&P 500 in the next few years.

Stock valuation concerns

The price-to-sales ratio (PSR) is crucial for valuing IPOs.

SpaceX’s expected PSR at $135 per share exceeds 90-to-1.

Historically, high PSRs correlate with poor market performance over subsequent years.

Data from finance professor Jay Ritter indicates IPOs with PSRs above 40 underperform the market by 58.5% over three years.

In contrast, the S&P 500 has a PSR of 3.7.

Even the Nasdaq 100, which features growth stocks, has a PSR of 6.1.

For reference, Nvidia’s current PSR is 20.7.

Such comparisons highlight the substantial risk associated with SpaceX’s anticipated IPO pricing.

Investors should consider these factors carefully when evaluating potential investments in SpaceX.

SpaceX is the only company building the infrastructure of the future across space, connectivity, and AI → https://t.co/PSCyWrNsOg pic.twitter.com/d1zBY7Hx7u

— SpaceX (@SpaceX) June 4, 2026

Investor caution advised

The extreme PSR could hinder SpaceX’s stock from delivering strong returns.

History suggests stocks with similar valuations often do not meet market expectations.

Continued scrutiny of the company’s financial performance will be essential.

Investors are advised to remain vigilant as the IPO date approaches.

Potential investors should weigh these insights against their risk tolerance.

For informed decision-making, regular updates on market trends are recommended.