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Senate set to kill abortion rights this week

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The aftershocks of the earthquake triggered in Washington last week, with the explosive leak of the first draft of an opinion authored by Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, and backed in by four other Justices, including the three radical conservatives appointed by former president Donald Trump, continue to shake the foundations of the capital and the landscape across the country

USSC Bruce Wolpe joins U.S correspondent Veronica Dudo, and ticker’s Holly Stearnes join a panel on U.S. abortion rights

The magnitude of the impact of the draft opinion is simply enormous. 

What has been accepted by well over 60% of the American people as a constitutional right – the ability of women to have access to abortion services – is about to be removed. 

There is no good that comes from going down that road of taking rights away from people. In 1856, in the Dred Scott case, the Supreme Court held that former slaves did not have standing in federal courts because they lacked U.S. citizenship, even after they were freed.

PROTESTORS IN U.S.

That decision, so outrageous, contributed to the Civil War.  In 1954, in Brown v Board of Education, the Court ruled that segregated “separate but equal” schools for Black students recognised by the Supreme Court 50 years earlier was unconstitutional as this did not afford equal protection under law – a right guaranteed by the 14th Amendment enacted after President Lincoln and the North won the civil war and ended slavery. 

The arc of justice in other words, is best when the law advances rights – not takes them away.

33 million American women between the ages of 15 and 44 living in over two dozen states across the country will be denied access to abortion services if this draft opinion is ultimately adopted. 

But nothing in the Constitution prevents Congress from enacting a law to legally establish and protect a woman’s right to have access to abortion services. 

U.S WOMAN PROTESTS

This is the basis of the Women’s Health Protection Act which passed the House last September. 

The Democratic leadership of the House recognised that what everyone is facing this week was coming, and that the best protection against overturning the precedent of Roe v Wade is through legislation. 

The bill provides that, “Congress finds abortion services are essential to health care. A health care provider has a statutory right under this Act to provide abortion services.”

This is the bill that the Democratic leadership will bring to the Senate this week.  It will fail.

No Republicans in the House voted for this bill, which passed on a party-line vote of 218-211.  There are only two Republicans in the Senate– both women, Susan Collins of Maine and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska – who support abortion rights.

All but one or two of the 50 Democrats will support it. Bu the Senate is not a democratic institution.  A simple majority vote is insufficient to pass legislation. 

WASHINGTON, DC – APRIL 21: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell

A bill needs a supermajority of 60 votes to pass the Senate.  That is completely out of reach today for abortion rights.

The Senate could change its rules and allow the abortion rights bill to pass in this one instance by a simple majority.  But that will not happen either.

At least two Democrats oppose upending this Senate tradition, and no Republican will vote against their leadership to alter the Senate to pass a Democratic bill on abortion.

This ugly hyper-partisanship will have several ramifications. 

If this Senate cannot protect these rights, perhaps more Democrats in the Senate can.   Democrats will use this vote to target Senate seats held by Republicans that are up in the November midterm elections in states like Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Wisconsin. 

This could well energise not only Democrats but also key swing independent voters who do support, in significant numbers, abortion rights.

But the human impact on women is frightening. 

The journalist who obtained the draft opinion in the leak from the Supreme Court, and broke the story, Josh Gerstein of Politico, said this last Friday:

“And if Justice Alito’s draft opinion that we reported and made public on Monday becomes the Supreme Court’s final word on this issue, you’d have really a situation of abortion haves and have-nots across the country, where you would have many states where abortion was relatively available and probably about 26 states where abortion is banned or very, very sharply restricted. You would then have women trying to get medication abortions in those states or possibly travel through what might develop as a kind of Underground Railroad to get them out of those states and into other states where they could get legal abortions. It would be a pretty dramatic change in the availability of abortion across the country.”

Gerstein is right. This is the world we are in. 

WOMEN ACROSS THE U.S RALLY IN PROTEST

160 years after the Civil War, another Underground Railroad – this time to take women away from states with restrictive medical laws. 

A Handmaid’s Tale come to life, as Canada pledges to open its borders to American women seeking reproductive health services.

Engraved on the pediment of the Supreme Court building in Washington are the words, “Equal Justice Under Law.”

The Supreme Court’s imminent decision and the failure of Congress to enact legislation to overturn it betrays a US political system failing to protect all women equally under law.

Bruce Wolpe is a Ticker News US political contributor. He’s a Senior Fellow at the US Studies Centre and has worked with Democrats in Congress during President Barack Obama's first term, and on the staff of Prime Minister Julia Gillard. He has also served as the former PM's chief of staff.

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Airbus hit by new A320 fuselage panel defect triggering share price drop

Airbus faces manufacturing issues with A320 fuselage panels, impacting shares but confirming safety for in-service aircraft.

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Airbus faces manufacturing issues with A320 fuselage panels, impacting shares but confirming safety for in-service aircraft.


Airbus is confronting a fresh manufacturing issue after discovering a quality defect in several dozen fuselage panels used on A320-family jets. The revelation sparked investor concern, with shares falling by up to 10% as the news broke.

While the newly identified flaw has caused some delivery delays, Airbus confirms that aircraft already in service are safe and unaffected. The defect is limited to a specific batch of panels, and all new production now meets required standards.

The company has apologised for the disruption and says it is working closely with suppliers to prevent a repeat of the issue.

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Bitcoin tanks as markets turn risk-off and tech stocks slide

Bitcoin drops over 7% to $84,555, its lowest in a week, amid waning investor confidence and bearish market pressures.

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Bitcoin drops over 7% to $84,555, its lowest in a week, amid waning investor confidence and bearish market pressures.


Bitcoin has suffered a sharp decline, falling more than 7% and slipping to $84,555 — its lowest point in over a week. After a brutal November where BTC shed more than $18,000, its biggest dollar drop since mid-2021, investor confidence is wavering. Analysts say multiple pressures, including negative ratings for major stablecoins, are amplifying bearish sentiment across the market.

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Seven things to know about Tasmania’s stadium-precinct and AFL push

Tasmania’s AFL bid hinges on the Macquarie Point stadium-precinct; insights from Professor Tim Harcourt on Footynomics.

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Tasmania’s AFL bid hinges on the Macquarie Point stadium-precinct; insights from Professor Tim Harcourt on Footynomics.


Seven things to know about the stadium-precinct and the Tassie Devils

Word by Tim Harcourt*

Tasmania’s been wanting a footy team in the national competition for decades.
Now they are pretty close, but they need the bill for the new stadium-precinct at Macquarie Point to pass the Legislative Council in order to cement their spot as the 19 th team in the Australian Football League (AFL). The bill passed the lower house by a whopping 25-9 majority and the Yes Stadium – Yes Team drew an amazing 15000 crowd from generations of Tasmanians all over the state compared to a paltry 1500 “No” crowd of a narrower demographic that turned up the week before.

I spoke to the Legislative Council stadium committee last week and to cut through all the noise and disinformation I came up with seven key things to consider with the stadium-precinct.


1. The stadium-precinct is a unique opportunity.

According to Brad Van Wely, stadium and sports innovation expert who appeared on my show Footynomics, Stadium Tasmania in Hobart with be the newest stadium in the southern hemisphere and an opportunity to implement all the amazing technology and innovation in smart stadiums that are happening around the world. Tasmania could be a leader in innovation not a laggard and develop a whole sports industry eco-system on the back of the success of the Devils, the JackJumpers, the Hobart Hurricanes and Cricket Tasmania.


2. It’s not just a stadium, it’s a stadium-precinct.

Stadium Tasmania won’t a cold concrete slab on the outskirts of the city. It will be right next to Hobart’s picturesque waterfront in close proximity to bars and restaurants, hotels and other attractions that can be explored easily. And the whole area can be developed as a precinct with cultural attractions, fan zones and the like to make the whole pre-game and post-game experience exciting and to engage fans and visitors all days of the week with a variety of activities.

For instance, why not have the AFL hall of fame in the precinct (for all of Australia not just Tasmania), a hotel to host the Draft or the Brownlow, and host some arts and cultural events in the precinct. The Tasmania Devils Arts Foundation can assist creative Tasmanians too – as arts and sport are not mutually exclusive – they can generate activity together.


3. The stadium-precinct is not just for footy.

Some have said all this is for 7 games a year. It’s not the case. It’s a multi-purpose stadium for a range of sports, footy, soccer, cricket, rugby union, rugby league and may more. It will be used for concerts and conventions, entertainment and with the precinct a whole range of arts and cultural amenities, fan zones etc. According to James Avery of Stadiums Tasmania, their modelling shows that the stadium-precinct will be able to host 334 events a year. This is a once in a century piece of infrastructure that Tasmanians can shape themselves for maximum benefit.

This is similar to international case studies like the soccer stadium in St Louis that hosted 200 events a year that had nothing to do with soccer, and the new Tottenham Hotspur ground that hosts 300 events a year including a National Football League game from the USA. The new rugby union stadiums in Christchurch and Dunedin host a range of other sports including soccer, cricket rugby league and concerts by Elton John. Pink and ACDC.

Similarly, with the Adelaide Oval redevelopment, the Oval now hosts a range of events, many non-sporting, and the whole CBD precinct has been revitalised. South Australian Premier Peter Malinauskas told us on Footynomics, the State Government originally faced great opposition spending $500 million on the Adelaide Oval redevelopment but now you couldn’t find a soul who opposed it, especially at Gather Round or the Adelaide Test match.


4. But the stadium-precinct does unlock the team and all its benefits.

Most importantly building the stadium-precinct unlocks the team and team infrastructure. As the AFL Tasmanian Taskforce says the stadium-precinct, the high performance training centre, and the upgrades around the state enables the Devils to enter the AFL on a sustainable footing to hit the ground running.

This brings economic and social benefits to the Tasmanian community or the ‘powerful enduring stimulus’ as the Devils CEO Brendon Gale put it. This included a boost in construction and other jobs – 6270 new jobs and with a potential boost to tourism of around 123,500 international and interstate visitors, plus intra state visitors.

Leading Burnie business woman Kelly Elphinstone pointed out the potential boost in the Tasmania brand in business and tourism, in education with TALS, UTAS and TAFE pathways for careers in sport and event management and the opportunity for a football club foundation to assist disadvantaged Tasmanians.

The boost in Tassie pride as the community has an emotional connection to their team was mentioned by basketball CEO Christine Finnegan about ‘the JackJumper effect’ with both economic and psychological benefits of having a team to rally around. The impact of a footy team would be even bigger than basketball Finnegan said as Tassie is footy heartland. There’s no need for the AFL to send out missionaries like they send out in western Sydney.

This community connection or emotional engagement was highlighted by Grant O’Brien in Footynomics. He related growing up in Penguin and the role the footy club played in the town and how the connection with the Devils would boost these ties all over the state. Economists call this ‘social capital’, and Grant’s description of his upbringing in Penguin and his motivation to steer a genuine Tassie team into the national competition was the perfect example of social capital at work and the economic benefit it brings to the community.

A genuine Tassie team has more economic benefit than a Fly In Flight Out (FIFO) team, as Hawthorn and North Melbourne have being doing in Launceston and Hobart respectively. It was useful as a stop gap, and brought some economic benefit. The Tasmanian AFL Taskforce cited research showing $28 million being injected into the Tasmanian economy due to Hawthorn playing in Launceston and $40 million due to North Melbourne playing in Hobart decade ago.

With the Devils this stimulus will be turbo charged. Given the scale of the Devils, there will be more home games, the players, staff and their families be based in Tasmania and contributing to the local economy, and they’ll also be AFLW, VFL and VFL teams as well.

The advantage of having a home-grown team, embedded in the state and the state owned infrastructure, rather than a FIFO or re-located team avoids some of the issues with sports economics in the USA when teams move. This is very different to Tasmania, where the Tassie Devils are here for good and the new stadium-precinct will be here to benefit the Tasmania whole community in the arts and entertainment and business and community events as well as sports.

The Tassie Devils will be more like the Green Bay Packers who can never leave Green Bay due to the ownership and governance requirements. And that hasn’t stopped Green Bay being one of the most famous, successful and best supported US football teams in the National Football League (NFL). Green Bay is a small town and much colder and less picturesque than Hobart (and not a state capital city either).


5. Investment in infrastructure is what governments do

Some have been worried about governments taking on the investment and not getting exactly the same amount in their coffers. This is confusing economics with public accounts. Only governments can take on big infrastructure projects like a bridge, or an airport or a stadium-precinct in the first instance (individuals can’t easily) but the benefits come in increased welfare in future jobs for workers and incomes for small business who pay taxes and regenerate the economy.

For instance when a government builds an airport, the passengers, the airlines and the tourism operators benefit and regenerate income in the economy, that improves the welfare of the community (in this case Tasmanians) over future generations. The same goes for a bridge or a stadium-precinct. The government is not like a household, it can take on big projects where required for economic and social benefit.


6. Tasmania can’t afford not to do it.

Many say the state can’t afford it because of the state of the Tasmanian budget. But the alternative is austerity, no growth, no population growth and with nothing to enable the economy to generate the jobs and income to fund education, health and essential services.

There’s a lot of talk about the cost of the stadium-precinct, but what about the cost of not doing it. Imagine the shock to confidence, and the signal to investors looking at Tasmania, if the team didn’t go ahead. It would be such a lost opportunity. Tassie with an ageing population, low literacy rate can’t end up an island state with everyone on NDIS or in nursing homes, it need jobs and growth and a reason for young people to stay or come back to. We have already seen that with the calibre of Tasmanians returning to work for the Devils as well as the VFL draftees.

If the stadium precinct bill was blocked, there would be the psychological shock of losing the team and then the demographic outcomes would follow – lower participation in sport, poorer health outcomes, another outflow of talent to the mainland, and ultimately worse budget outcomes.

And in undertaking this new project, remember Tasmania is not on its own. Tasmania is part of the federation and a foundation footy state. Therefore it will and it should get support from the Commonwealth and the AFL. And it has $240 million from the Commonwealth and $360 million from the Australian Football League (AFL) to invest in grass roots infrastructure not just in Hobart and Launceston but all around the state. And given the spending of $3.4 billion to Brisbane for the Olympics and a reported $1 billion to Adelaide for the climate change conference COP31 for a week in 2026, I’d say the multipurpose stadium-precinct in Hobart that will be around for a century for future generations is pretty good value for money for the Commonwealth.

And Tasmania is not alone as there are examples from other states, like the Adelaide Oval and Optus Stadium in Perth where state governments have built whole industrial strategies around sports and sport infrastructure.


7. The bottom line – maximise the benefits by following some basic principles.

In conclusion, this is a once in a century opportunity and I am excited for Tasmania as they can now maximise the benefits of the new club, the new stadium-precinct, the high performance centre and the upgrades to infrastructure around the whole state from Burnie to Bruny Island.

To maximise the benefits of this exciting new project, Tasmania can:

  • Use the stadium for multiple sports, entertainment, cultural and business and education events like concerts, conferences and conventions
  • See the stadium as a stadium-precinct to add a Hall of Fame, Arts centre, Hotel, fan zones and other facilities
  • Streamline the links to the rest of city to boost tourism and hospitality like restaurants, street vendors live music and the other delights of Hobart’s picturesque waterfront setting
  • Use the benefits of the AFL package to upgrade infrastructure and community football as well as fan engagement around the state.

This is exciting for Tasmania, and for the rest of Australia, whom I am sure will get behind Tassie and the Devils as they finally take their rightful place in the national competition of the game that we Australians invented ourselves, or as Geoffrey Blainey called it, ‘A game of our own.’


*Professor Tim Harcourt is Industry Professor and Chief Economist of the Institute of Public Policy and Governance (IPPG) and Centre for Sport, Business and Society (CSBS) at University of Technology Sydney and host of Footynomics: The Business of Sport on Ticker:
https://tickernews.co/a-powerful-enduring-stimulus-the-economics-of-the-tasmania-devils-football-club/
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