Fifty-fifty is the chance the world will warm by 1.5 degrees over the next five years and breach the critical climate limit
If it does, the effects will be devastating.
Researchers at the UK Met Office say while the rise would be temporary, the overall direction of the Earth’s temperature is concerning.
With greenhouse gases increasing rapidly over the past few years, global temperatures have followed in-step.
In 2015 we witnessed the world’s average temperature increase by 1 degree above pre-industrial levels, and it has largely stayed at or around that mark.
2016 and 2020 were the hottest years on record, but scientists are almost certain this record will be beaten within the next four years.
At just 1 degree above pre industrial levels, the effects on communities in all parts of the globe are already devastating.
From unprecedented wildfires seen in North America last year, or heatwaves in India and Pakistan, lives have been lost, homes destroyed and it will likely only get worse.
Scientists say limiting greenhouse gases is the only solution.
