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Interest rates are still too high in the U.S. more rate hikes possible

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The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes reveal that the majority of its officials remain apprehensive about persistently high inflation and are contemplating the potential necessity of additional interest rate increases.

The minutes from the July 25-26 meeting unveil a mixed viewpoint among the policymakers regarding the trajectory of inflation and its implications for monetary policy.

While acknowledging a few signs that inflation pressures might be subsiding, the minutes underscore that many officials continue to perceive high inflation as a sustained threat.

The cautious sentiment aligns with the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s earlier remarks, where he adopted a noncommittal stance on future rate hikes during a post-meeting news conference.

Persistent inflation

In light of this persistent inflation concern, the minutes indicate that the officials are seeking more data to be confident that inflation pressures are genuinely abating and on a trajectory towards the central bank’s 2% target.

As of now, despite efforts to curb inflation, it remains elevated beyond the desired threshold.

The Federal Reserve’s decision during the meeting to raise its benchmark rate for the 11th time in 17 months reflects its ongoing commitment to combating inflation.

However, the release accompanying the meeting did not provide explicit guidance on the timing or potential occurrence of future rate increases.

Further hikes

Market analysts and economists have been debating the likelihood of further rate hikes following the July increase.

While the consensus among most investors and experts suggests that the July hike could be the final one, Goldman Sachs economists recently projected that the Federal Reserve might begin a phase of rate cuts by the middle of the following year.

The release of the meeting minutes coincides with signs that the economy is undergoing a “soft landing,” where economic growth slows sufficiently to mitigate inflation while avoiding a deep recession.

The Federal Reserve’s extensive series of interest rate hikes, the most significant in over four decades, has aimed to strike this balance.

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Money

Are we in an AI bubble or just a market reality check?

Tech stocks falter as AI boom faces reality; market shifts towards gold amidst growing investor caution.

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Tech stocks falter as AI boom faces reality; market shifts towards gold amidst growing investor caution.


Global tech stocks are losing altitude as investors question whether the AI boom has gone too far — or if the market is simply returning to earth after years of euphoric growth. With valuations for chipmakers and AI giants stretched to perfection, analysts warn that expectations may finally be colliding with economic reality.

In this segment, Brad Gastwirth from Circular Technologies joins us to unpack the trillion-dollar question: is this a healthy correction or the first crack in the AI gold rush? From hyperscaler capex surges to regulatory risks and fragile market leadership, he breaks down what’s driving investor nerves.

We also explore how the market rotation into gold and real assets reflects growing caution, and what this could mean for the future of AI-driven investing.

Subscribe to never miss an episode of Ticker – https://www.youtube.com/@weareticker

#AIBubble #TechStocks #MarketCorrection #Semiconductors #Investing #FinanceNews #AIStocks #TickerNews


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Inflation rise reduces chances of Reserve Bank rate cut

Inflation spikes, drastically reducing chances of a Reserve Bank rate cut amid economic pressures and rising costs

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Inflation spikes, drastically reducing chances of a Reserve Bank rate cut amid economic pressures and rising costs

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In Short:
– Rate cut likelihood by the Reserve Bank has decreased due to a rise in annual inflation to 3.2 per cent.
– Significant price increases in housing, recreation, and transport are raising concerns for the Reserve Bank.

The likelihood of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank has decreased significantly after a surge in annual inflation.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that inflation for the year ending September rose to 3.2 per cent, reflecting a 1.1 per cent increase.

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Trimmed mean inflation, a crucial measure for the Reserve Bank, was recorded at 1 per cent for the quarter and 3 per cent for the year. The bank anticipates inflation to reach 3 per cent by year-end, while trimmed mean inflation is expected to slightly decrease.

The quarterly rise of 1.3 per cent in September exceeded expectations. Governor Bullock noted that a deviation from the Reserve Bank’s projections could have material implications.

Financial markets reacted promptly, with the Australian dollar rising against the US dollar, while the ASX200 index fell.

The most significant price increases were observed in housing, recreation, and transport, indicating widespread price pressures that concern the Reserve Bank.

Despite the unexpected inflation rise, some economists believe the Reserve Bank may still consider rate cuts in December, viewing current price spikes as temporary due to the winding back of subsidies.

Economic Pressures

Broad-based economic pressures suggest that the Reserve Bank may not reduce interest rates at its upcoming meeting. Analysts highlight the need for ongoing support for households facing cost-of-living challenges.


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Wall Street hits record highs on low inflation

Wall Street hits record highs on cool inflation and strong earnings ahead of key Federal Reserve interest rate decision

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Wall Street hits record highs on cool inflation and strong earnings ahead of key Federal Reserve interest rate decision

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In Short:
– U.S. stocks rose to record highs on Friday due to lower inflation and strong corporate earnings.
– Key earnings reports from major companies are expected next week, influencing market trends.
U.S. stocks rose to record highs on Friday due to lower-than-expected inflation data and positive corporate earnings.The S&P 500 and Nasdaq achieved their largest weekly gains since August. The Dow saw its biggest jump from Friday to Friday since June.

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The Labor Department reported that the Consumer Price Index was slightly cooler than analysts’ predictions, easing concerns about inflation impacts from tariffs. This development suggests a likely interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting.

Ryan Detrick from Carson Group noted the positive inflation news may facilitate forthcoming Fed rate cuts. Despite the ongoing government shutdown affecting data releases, this CPI report provided much-needed clarity.

Earnings reports are continuing, with 143 S&P 500 companies having reported results. Growth expectations for third-quarter earnings have risen to 10.4%. Detrick indicated a strong opening to the earnings season with a significant percentage of companies exceeding expectations.

This coming week, key earnings will be reported from Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple, alongside industrial companies like Caterpillar and Boeing.

The Dow rose 472.51 points to 47,207.12. The S&P 500 increased by 53.25 points to 6,791.69, while the Nasdaq gained 263.07 points, reaching 23,204.87.

Alphabet gained 2.7% following a deal expansion with Anthropic. Coinbase saw a 9.8% increase from a JPMorgan upgrade. In contrast, Deckers Outdoor’s shares fell 15.2% after lowering sales forecasts.

Market Trends

Advancing stocks on the NYSE outnumbered decliners by 2.18 to 1. The S&P 500 had 34 new highs, with the Nasdaq recording 124.

Trading volume was 19.04 billion shares, lower than the average of the past 20 days.


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