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Grinch 3, Biden 0 – U.S is very far from normal | ticker VIEWS

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It was not a good week for the home team in the White House

The plan was to win Senate approval of President Biden’s sweeping social program and climate change package and use the political capital that comes with victory to pivot to a heroic fight to change the Senate rules to enable voting rights legislation to become law in time for the 2022 elections.

But it was not to be…

Sen. Joe Manchin refused to give his endorsement to Biden’s program by the time the Senate adjourned for the year. On Sunday morning on Fox News, Manchin said he was now opposed to the bill altogether: 

“I cannot vote to continue with this piece of legislation. I’ve tried everything humanly possible. I can’t get there. This is a no.”

Democratic Senator Joe Manchin

And in a statement after being on TV, Manchin added insult to injury:

“My Democratic colleagues in Washington are determined to dramatically reshape our society in a way that leaves our country even more vulnerable to the threats we face. I cannot take that risk with a staggering debt of more than $29 trillion and inflation taxes that are real and harmful.” 

The White house reaction in a statement by Jen Psaki was exceptionally blunt:

“If his comments on FOX and written statement indicate an end to that effort, they represent a sudden and inexplicable reversal in his position, and a breach of his commitments to the President and the Senator’s colleagues in the House and Senate.”

The bill cannot pass without Manchin’s 50th vote.  And if this bill cannot pass, no further Biden bills of consequence are likely to pass in the remainder of this Congress.

Without the votes of Manchin and Sen Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona to change the rules and prevent a filibuster of historic voting rights, that bill could not pass either.  And this was after Biden addressed students at a Black college in South Carolina, the state where Black voters cemented his win of the Democratic nomination to become president:

“We must pass the Freedom to Vote Act and the John Lewis Voting Rights Act.  We must. We’re going to keep up the fight until we get it done.  And you’re going to keep up the fight.  And we need your help badly.”

Biden is lagging in the polls in part because Black voters, who overwhelmingly supported Biden in 2020, see no progress on racial justice issues

Biden’s words did not change any votes in the Senate.  And the Senate has adjourned for the year.

At the same time, the new Covid variant started sweeping across the country, disrupting the holiday season. 

Cases are spiking alarmingly, with over 120,000 per day, and deaths at 1,200 per day – just as the US marked 800,000 dead from this pandemic.  That toll is expected to reach 1 million by Easter.

The score this Christmas week: Grinch 3. Biden 0.

With the pandemic raging, lives and hopes are disrupted. Covid is people and people are the economy.

Households in this economy are immensely burdened with the spikes in inflation. At 6.8%, the highest in 39 years, with beef up 20%, fish and eggs, 8%, petrol 58%.

Biden came into office signaling that the pandemic can be managed, and the economy will recover and we will have normal.

The US is very far from normal. And this is why it is really hurting the president, in his overall standing, in his approval rating and in the strong sentiment among voters that the country is moving in the wrong direction.

U.S PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN

Especially in these days leading up to Christmas and the New Year, Biden urgently needs a reset.  He and his advisors now recognize this, with the White House announcing over the weekend that Biden will address the nation Tuesday night.

This is what it needs to accomplish in that speech:

  • On the virus.  What to do.  What not to do.  What the situation really is.  How we will handle it.  How we will get through the holidays and January.  How those who are not vaccinated are at mortal risk.  How he has done everything he can.  How everyone has it in their hands whether they will stay healthy or get sick and possibly die. This is not about mandates.  It’s about the choices the American make and live or die with.
  • Biden needs also to update country on his Build Back Better program and why he is optimistic he  can still get it. The genius of the initiative is to lower cost for what most American households need for childcare, education, care for seniors, health care. Biden has to tell everyone what they will get.  He has to tell them why this is not done yet.  And tell them he will not stop working on it.
  • And Biden must outline the strategy and tactics to change the Senate and win voting rights- or die trying. Why this is so crucial to all Americans and why this is so crucial to America’s democracy.  And demand that the Senate enable this legislation to pass. And demand that they take votes to change the rules. And demand they take votes on this even if the first votes fail – to let everyone know where each Senator stands. (That’s how civil rights bills were passed in the Senate in the ’60s: The southern Senators won early test votes on the civil rights bills, but over time, popular sentiment shifted, and the filibusters were ended by cloture votes and the bills were passed.)

On Tuesday Biden needs to make where he is right now the bottom of his term- and start going up from here. 

Biden needs a speech that turns the tide and makes things happen.

Bruce Wolpe is a Ticker News US political contributor. He’s a Senior Fellow at the US Studies Centre and has worked with Democrats in Congress during President Barack Obama's first term, and on the staff of Prime Minister Julia Gillard. He has also served as the former PM's chief of staff.

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First Xi, now Trump: tariff impacts on the Australian economy

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First, the tariffs from China hit Australian exporters now it’s the Trump tariffs on steel and aluminium – and as we have just learnt there will be no exemption.

How will these measures affect the USA, but also China, Australia and the rest of the global economy?

Like the China COVID tariffs, the Trump tariffs will hurt Australian workers. 

After all, 1 in 5 Australian workers depend on exporters and exporters pay 60 per cent higher wages on average than non-exporters in union jobs with EBAs. This will be bad for the steel workers of the Illawarra and the aluminium workers of Portland, and will also be inflationary, and put upward pressure on interest rates. That’s why we have seen the impact of tariff decisions (and tariff uncertainty) hitting the Australian share market and superannuation balances.

As a former Australian Prime Minister, could Ambassador Kevin Rudd got an exemption? I am sure he’s trying. But his pre-election comments disparaging Trump have not helped Australia’s interests not have the recent comments of another former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull. But to be fair, both Rudd and Turnbull have also been critical of Beijing. 

Of course, Australia is not alone. The USA’s North America closet trading partner, Canada is in the same boat, as is Mexico. Canada has just had a leadership election with former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney (who was also Bank of England Governor) taking over as Prime Minister of Canada from Justin Trudeau. The Canadian Tories led by Pierre Poilievre are going to paint Carney as a Globalist, more comfortable in Switzerland than Saskatoon, but the tariffs on Canada give the new Prime Minister a chance to wrap himself in the Maple Leaf and fight the Trump tariffs. Carney can also paint Poilievre as Trump lite, and improve the Liberals chances in a contest suffering from the unpopularity of Trudeau. When a central banker can replaced a charismatic second-generation politician as Prime Minister and have a better chance we know we are living in interesting times. 

With China and the USA unreliable trade partners, what options does Australia have? The Albanese Labor Government, to their credit have improved relations with our North East Asian trading partners like Japan and South Korea, Taiwan, ASEAN (with the special Australia ASEAN summit in Melbourne last year) as well as Europe and the emerging markets of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and Latin America.

We could actually get closer to Canada under their new Prime Minister, given our similar economic and political backgrounds (if not geography) and current situation on steel and aluminium tariffs. Canada has also had its issues with Beijing as well as Washington.

So forget the tyranny of distance, and May the Moose be with you.

Professor Tim Harcourt is the Chief Economist of IPPG at University of Technology Sydney (UTS) and host of The Airport Economist on Ticker.

Tim is also former chief economist of the Australian Trade Commission (AUSTRADE), the Australian Council of Trade Unions (ACTU) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

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Australia’s million-dollar suburb boom: The next hotspots for investors

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Since the start of the pandemic in 2020, many of Australia’s property markets have experienced some extraordinary price growth.

Many locations, both city-based and regional, achieved unprecedented price increases with median house and unit prices soaring as demand hit new highs. Where once a million-dollar house or unit median was unusual, that recent growth has launched many locations into that club for the first time.

As of January 2025, there were 1,194 suburbs or towns with a median house price or median unit price of $1 million or more – 50 more than in September 2024.

These figures show that although price growth may have eased in some locations in the past six months, the number of million-dollar markets continues to increase throughout Australia.

And there are still plenty of opportunities for investors to find markets that are set to tip over into million-dollar markets in 2025.

The latest Hotspotting and Propertybuyer, National Million Dollar Hotspots report shows there are plenty of markets teetering on the edge of a million-dollar median.

They are the markets where price growth has been steady in recent years and demand remains strong. ith that trajectory set to continue, these markets will soon breach the million-dollar barrier.

They are also strong markets for investors, where rents have been rising, yields are solid and vacancy rates are low.

Residential properties line the Sydney suburb of Birchgrove in Australia.

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Million-dollar median

There is a distinct lure to investing in a suburb with a million-dollar median and it’s not just the prestige of the price tag. The magic of buying in a million-dollar suburb is its capital growth potential.

By reaching a million-dollar median, it’s already proven to be a desirable location where owner-occupiers and investors are prepared to pay top dollar to secure a piece of the action.

There are plenty of inner-city markets throughout Australia which already have million-dollar medians, but successful investors are those who find locations where prices aren’t just rising, but the fundamentals and amenities are in place to ensure ongoing solid price growth and increasing demand for properties in the suburb.

It’s essential when considering a million-dollar location to invest in that it meets a variety of criteria, not just price point. There needs to be ongoing demand for property and significant amenities to meet community needs, such as public transport, shops, schools and recreation spaces, whether that be beaches, parks or lakes.

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Employment opportunities

Infrastructure spending is also important, as is solid population growth and access to good local employment opportunities. These are factors that will keep buyers returning time and again to these suburbs and increased buyer demand is what will keep prices increasing to $1 million and beyond.

Southport on the Gold Coast is a good example of this. Within less than six months, the median house price in Southport, which was a selection in our October 2024 report, has breached the $1 million median mark.

It had a median house price of around $970,000 in September 2024, which hit $1.04 million in February 2025 – that’s a rise of $70,000 in just five months.

The suburb has achieved 15% median house price growth in the 12 months to February 2025 – and is an example of what can be achieved in the Million Dollar Hotspots.

Terry Ryder is the Managing Director of HotSpotting

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A fractured U.S.-Ukraine alliance signals trouble for the West

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In a scene that could have been scripted in the Kremlin, the Oval Office clash between President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has laid bare a troubling fracture in U.S. foreign policy—one that Russian President Vladimir Putin is all too eager to exploit. 

What unfolded last week was not merely a diplomatic misstep but a stark illustration of how domestic bravado and miscalculation can undermine America’s standing on the world stage, tilting the balance of power toward Moscow at a pivotal moment.

The meeting, initially framed as a chance to solidify U.S.-Ukrainian ties through a potential minerals deal, devolved into a public reprimand of Zelensky, orchestrated with alarming precision by Vice President JD Vance and endorsed by Trump.

Vance’s remarks – dismissing Ukraine’s war effort and deriding diplomatic outreach as “propaganda” – set the stage for Trump to send Zelensky packing, empty-handed and humiliated. The fallout is a geopolitical gift to Putin, who now watches as the United States risks squandering its leverage in a conflict that tests the resilience of the Western alliance.

Bruised egos

This episode is more than a tale of bruised egos; it is a warning of the broader unraveling of U.S. – Russia relations at a time when strategic clarity is paramount. For decades, the United States has positioned itself as a bulwark against Russian expansionism, a role that has demanded both resolve and finesse.

Ukraine, locked in a brutal struggle for survival since Russia’s 2022 invasion, has been the frontline of that effort – a democratic nation fighting not just for itself but for the principle that borders cannot be redrawn by force.

Yet, in one ill-fated meeting, the Trump administration signaled a retreat from that commitment, handing Putin a propaganda coup and a tactical advantage.

The implications ripple far beyond Kyiv. Putin’s ambitions have never been confined to Ukraine; they extend to reasserting Russian dominance over its former sphere of influence and weakening NATO’s cohesion. A faltering U.S. commitment to Ukraine emboldens the Kremlin to press its advantage, not only on the battlefield but in the broader contest for global influence.

Staggering losses

With Russia’s incremental gains in eastern Ukraine and its willingness to endure staggering losses, Putin has wagered that time is on his side – a bet that Friday’s debacle only reinforces.

The administration’s defenders might argue that Trump seeks to disentangle the United States from a costly foreign conflict, a sentiment that resonates with a war-weary American public. But the reality of great power rivalry offers no such luxury.

Putin does not view negotiations as a path to compromise but as a tool to consolidate gains. The notion that he can be strong-armed into a settlement overlooks his track record of patience and ruthlessness.

By alienating Ukraine, Trump has not simplified the chessboard – he has ceded key pieces to his adversary.

Ahron Young is Ticker’s Founder and Managing Editor.

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