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From the Middle East to America, history shows you cannot assassinate your way to peace

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Iran war: from the Middle East to America, history shows you cannot assassinate your way to peace

Matt Fitzpatrick, Flinders University

In the late 1960s, the prevailing opinion among Israeli Shin Bet intelligence officers was that the key to defeating the Palestinian Liberation Organisation was to assassinate its then-leader Yasser Arafat.

The elimination of Arafat, the Shin Bet commander Yehuda Arbel wrote in his diary, was “a precondition to finding a solution to the Palestinian problem.”

For other, even more radical Israelis – such as the ultra-nationalist assassin Yigal Amir – the answer lay elsewhere. They sought the assassination of Israeli leaders such as Yitzak Rabin who wanted peace with the Palestinians.

Despite Rabin’s long personal history as a famed and often ruthless military commander in the 1948 and 1967 Arab-Israeli Wars, Amir stalked and shot Rabin dead in 1995. He believed Rabin had betrayed Israel by signing the Oslo Accords peace deal with Arafat.

It’s been 20 years since Arafat died as possibly the victim of polonium poisoning, and 30 years after the shooting of Rabin. Peace between Israelis and the Palestinians has never been further away.

What Amnesty International and a United Nations Special Committee have called genocidal attacks on Palestinians in Gaza have spilled over into Israeli attacks on the prominent leaders of its enemies in Lebanon and, most recently, Iran.

Since its attacks on Iran began on Friday, Israel has killed numerous military and intelligence leaders, including Iran’s intelligence chief, Mohammad Kazemi; the chief of the armed forces, Mohammad Bagheri; and the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Hossein Salami. At least nine Iranian nuclear scientists have also been killed.

Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly said:

We got their chief intelligence officer and his deputy in Tehran.

Iran, predictably, has responded with deadly missile attacks on Israel.

Far from having solved the issue of Middle East peace, assassinations continue to pour oil on the flames.

A long history of extra-judicial killings

Israeli journalist Ronen Bergman’s book Rise and Kill First argues assassinations have long sat at the heart of Israeli politics.

In the past 75 years, there have been more than 2,700 assassination operations undertaken by Israel. These have, in Bergman’s words, attempted to “stop history” and bypass “statesmanship and political discourse”.

This normalisation of assassinations has been codified in the Israeli expression of “mowing the grass”. This is, as historian Nadim Rouhana has shown, a metaphor for a politics of constant assassination. Enemy “leadership and military facilities must regularly be hit in order to keep them weak.”

The point is not to solve the underlying political questions at issue. Instead, this approach aims to sow fear, dissent and confusion among enemies.

Thousands of assassination operations have not, however, proved sufficient to resolve the long-running conflict between Israel, its neighbours and the Palestinians. The tactic itself is surely overdue for retirement.

Targeted assassinations elsewhere

Israel has been far from alone in this strategy of assassination and killing.

Former US President Barack Obama oversaw the extra-judicial killing of Osama Bin Laden, for instance.

After what Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch denounced as a flawed trial, former US President George W. Bush welcomed the hanging of Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein as “an important milestone on Iraq’s course to becoming a democracy”.

Current US President Donald Trump oversaw the assassination of Iran’s leader of clandestine military operations, Qassem Soleimani, in 2020.

More recently, however, Trump appears to have baulked at granting Netanyahu permission to kill Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

And it’s worth noting the US Department of Justice last year brought charges against an Iranian man who said he’d been tasked with killing Trump.

Elsewhere, in Vladimir Putin’s Russia, it’s common for senior political and media opponents to be shot in the streets. Frequently they also “fall” out of high windows, are killed in plane crashes or succumb to mystery “illnesses”.

A poor record

Extra-judicial killings, however, have a poor record as a mechanism for solving political problems.

Cutting off the hydra’s head has generally led to its often immediate replacement by another equally or more ideologically committed person, as has already happened in Iran. Perhaps they too await the next round of “mowing the grass”.

But as the latest Israeli strikes in Iran and elsewhere show, solving the underlying issue is rarely the point.

In situations where finding a lasting negotiated settlement would mean painful concessions or strategic risks, assassinations prove simply too tempting. They circumvent the difficulties and complexities of diplomacy while avoiding the need to concede power or territory.

As many have concluded, however, assassinations have never killed resistance. They have never killed the ideas and experiences that give birth to resistance in the first place.

Nor have they offered lasting security to those who have ordered the lethal strike.

Enduring security requires that, at some point, someone grasp the nettle and look to the underlying issues.

The alternative is the continuation of the brutal pattern of strike and counter-strike for generations to come.

Matt Fitzpatrick, Professor in International History, Flinders University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Multiple flights Australia-Bali cancelled due to volcano eruption

Multiple Australia-Bali flights cancelled as Mount Lewotobi Laki-Laki erupts again, disrupting travel for the second time in two months.

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Multiple Australia-Bali flights cancelled as Mount Lewotobi Laki-Laki erupts again, disrupting travel for the second time in two months.

In Short:
International flights between Australia and Bali have been cancelled again due to the recent eruption of Mount Lewotobi Laki-Laki in Indonesia. This marks the second eruption in two months.

Multiple return international flights between Australia and Bali have faced cancellations following the recent eruption of Indonesia’s Mount Lewotobi Laki-Laki volcano. It marks the second time in as many months that volcanic activity has disrupted travel plans for passengers heading to the popular tourist destination.

Observations from drones showed lava filling the crater, indicating deep movement of magma that set off volcanic earthquakes.

“An eruption of that size certainly carries a higher potential for danger, including its impact on aviation,” Mr Wafid told The Associated Press.

“We shall re-evaluate to enlarge its danger zone that must be cleared of villagers and tourist activities.”

Flight delays

“Some Virgin Australia Bali services have been cancelled following the eruption of Mount Lewotobi earlier today,” a Virgin Australia spokesperson said.

“The safety of our guests and crew is our highest priority and our team of expert meteorologists are closely monitoring the situation and ash cloud activity.

“We regret the impact of this on guests’ travel plans and encourage guests travelling to or from Bali to closely monitor their flight status via the Virgin Australia website or app.”

Qantas flights QF43 from Sydney and QF45 from Melbourne to Denpasar, Bali have been delayed.

Bali, known for its stunning landscapes and cultural attractions, relies heavily on international tourism, particularly from Australia. With flight cancellations, many are left scrambling to adjust their itineraries or seek alternative destinations. The situation has put a spotlight on the challenges that natural events can pose to the tourism sector.

Authorities in Indonesia are working to assess the situation and manage the impact of the volcano’s activity. Updates on travel advisories and safety measures are expected to be communicated to the public as conditions evolve.

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Trump imposes new tariffs on seven countries starting August

Trump announces 25-40% tariffs on imports from seven countries starting August 1, amid ongoing trade deficit concerns.

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Trump announces 25-40% tariffs on imports from seven countries starting August 1, amid ongoing trade deficit concerns.

In Short:
President Trump has announced tariffs on imports from seven countries, effective August 1, with rates varying from 25% to 40%. This decision has caused U.S. financial markets to drop, and the legality of the tariffs is under review.

President Donald Trump has announced significant tariffs on imports from seven countries, effective August 1. The affected countries include Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Laos, and Myanmar.

Imports from Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, and Kazakhstan will face a 25% tariff, while South African goods will incur a 30% duty.

Laos and Myanmar imports are subject to a 40% tariff. These measures were detailed in letters Trump shared on social media with the leaders of the respective countries. The U.S. may adjust these tariffs based on diplomatic relations, according to Trump’s statements.

This announcement precedes the scheduled reinstatement of reciprocal tariffs, set to revert to higher levels.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt

Letters dispatched

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt indicated that 14 letters would be dispatched, delaying the Wednesday deadline to August 1. Following the tariff announcement, U.S. financial markets dropped, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average declining by 637 points.

The announced rates generally align with tariffs previously imposed in April.

Despite claims of correcting trade deficits, some countries do not have large trade surpluses with the U.S. U.S. deficits for 2024 included $68.5 billion with Japan and $66 billion with South Korea, while Myanmar had a much smaller deficit.

The letters also warned against retaliatory tariffs from these nations, stating any increase from them would be added to the announced U.S. tariff rates. The Trump administration’s prior three-month tariff pause was intended to facilitate trade negotiations, though few concrete agreements have been finalised.

The legality of these tariffs is currently under review following a court decision against them in May.

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Erin Patterson found GUILTY in triple murder mushroom trial

Erin Patterson’s trial jury has reached verdicts in her triple murder case over a fatal mushroom lunch.

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Erin Patterson’s trial jury has reached verdicts in her triple murder case over a fatal mushroom lunch.

In Short:
Erin Patterson is on trial for allegedly murdering her in-laws by serving a toxic meal containing death cap mushrooms. The jury has reached verdicts, with updates on the case expected soon.

Erin Patterson has been found guilty for triple murder and attempted murder related to a beef Wellington lunch served to her in-laws in regional Australia. The charges stem from a gathering held on 29 July 2023, where a beef Wellington meal allegedly contained death cap mushrooms.

Patterson, 50, has pleaded not guilty to all charges.

A jury of 12 has found her guilty of murdering the three people who attended the lunch.

Ms Patterson is now a convicted triple murderer and attempted murderer. She wore her signature paisley.shirt and sat stony faced as the jury entered the court room.

She remained expressionless as the forewoman softly said “guilty” in response to each charge. Ms Patterson watched and blinked heavily as the jury left the courtroom.

About 50 people sat in the gallery as the jury foreperson announced the verdicts about 2.18pm, but no members of the Patterson or Wilkinson families were present.

Justice Beale thanked the jurors for their time.

“You’ve been an exceptional jury,” he said. “The way you’ve conducted yourself throughout this trial has caught my attention.”

This trial draws significant attention as the circumstances surrounding the mushroom lunch have raised questions about intent and accountability.

Latrobe Valley Law Court where the court case was heard.

Court case

Erin Patterson, 50, has pleaded not guilty to three counts of murder and one of attempted murder, stemming from a beef Wellington lunch she hosted at her Leongatha home in regional Victoria in July 2023.

The prosecution alleges Patterson laced the meal with deadly death cap mushrooms, knowingly poisoning her former in-laws Don and Gail Patterson, both 70, and Gail’s sister Heather Wilkinson, 66, all of whom died. Heather’s husband, local pastor Ian Wilkinson, was the only survivor, spending weeks in an induced coma. Patterson’s estranged husband Simon, who had been invited to the lunch, did not attend.

During the trial, Crown prosecutor Nanette Rogers SC painted Patterson as deceitful and manipulative, accusing her of lying to police, doctors, and even family members — including faking a cancer diagnosis — to orchestrate the fatal lunch. “She has told lies upon lies because she knew the truth would implicate her,” Rogers told the court, dismissing Patterson’s claim it was all a terrible accident.

Defence case

The defence urged the jury to focus on the lack of motive. Patterson, they argued, had no reason to harm people she loved. Taking the stand as the sole defence witness, Patterson said she may have accidentally used a mix of store-bought and foraged mushrooms from her pantry.

She admitted to making false statements, including the cancer lie, but said they stemmed from personal shame and panic – not a murderous intent.

Defence barrister Colin Mandy SC told jurors the case was being built on assumptions, with prosecutors trying to “stretch” evidence to fit a preconceived narrative. “This is not a court of moral judgment,” he said.

Justice Christopher Beale, in his final instructions to the jury last Monday, reminded the panel that while Patterson had told lies, that alone was not proof of guilt.

“There are all sorts of reasons why a person might behave in a way that makes them look guilty,” he said, urging jurors to keep emotion out of their deliberations despite the tragic outcome for both the Patterson and Wilkinson families.

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