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Canada on fire! Worst-case climate models busted | ticker VIEWS

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Canada is experiencing extreme weather events, suffering record-breaking heat

Climate change means more dangerous weather events, more often.

The small mountain village of Lytton, Canada, has exceeded its previous temperature record. The temperatures hit 49.6 degrees celsius, for three days straight. This is a new Canadian heat record.

The United States is also being impacted by extreme droughts and heatwaves. With the North West and North Central regions dealing with unprecedented weather events. The extreme temperatures in both Canada and the United States are breaking all of the worst-case climate scenario models.

Heat exceeds worst-case climate models

Johan Rockstrom is the Director at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact and is studying the rapid heating in the Arctic and the decline in sea ice. This is trapping high and low-pressure weather systems over certain areas, in the northern hemisphere.

This (heat dome/ jet stream) theory remains contested but the evidence continues to suggest the world is experiencing dangerous climate change.

“Scientists are finding more extreme and freakish weather events which means the old climate models need to be reconfigured and reconsidered.”

Scott Hamilton

High-pressure circulation in the atmosphere acts like a dome or cap, trapping heat at the surface and favoring the formation of a heatwave

What were once rare heatwaves are becoming more common. Michael Mann is the Director of the Earth System Science Centre at Pennsylvania State University and says climate change is to blame.

 “ We should take this event very seriously…there is something else going on with this heatwave.”

Michael Mann

Friederike Otto is the Associate Director at the Environmental Change Institute at the University of Oxford. He says the unexpected and fierce heatwave in Lytton, is one of many to come.

“If the world does not rapidly eliminate the fossil fuel use and other greenhouse gas emissions like deforestation, global temperatures will continue to rise and deadly heatwaves such as these will become even more common.”

Friederike Otto

UN confirms record temperature in Antarctica 

The United Nations has recorded a new record high temperature for the Antarctic continent, confirming a reading of 18.3 degrees Celsius. The World Meteorological Organisation says this is another climate change wake-up call.

“Verification of this maximum temperature record is important because it helps us to build up a picture of the weather and climate in one of Earth’s final frontiers,”

“The Antarctic Peninsula is among the fastest-warming regions of the planet—almost 3C over the last 50 years.

“This new temperature record is therefore consistent with the climate change we are observing.”

The World Meteorological Organisation secretary-general Petteri Taalas 

IN OTHER NEWS:

UN RANKS AUS CLIMATE LAGGARD OF THE WORLD

UN Sustainable Development Goal report has revealed Australia came in last on its response to climate change, among more than 166 U.N. members. 

The ranking is based on four indicators: per capita emissions from fossil fuel combustion, per capita CO2 emissions embodied in imports, per capita CO2 emissions embodied in exports, and carbon pricing score.

On UN Sustainable Development Goal number 13, Climate Action, Australia ranks dead last out of 166 countries.”

Scott Hamilton

EXXON IN TROUBLE AGAIN

A recently leaked draft report written by some of the world’s top climate scientists has blamed disinformation and lobbying campaigns, for undermining Government efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This includes those done by Exxon Mobile. 

Last week, Exxon lobbyist Keith McCoy told Greenpeace UK activists, that the big oil company would “aggressively fight against some of the science,” including by using third-party “shadow groups.”

THE DAWN OF DOOM?

A gas pipeline leak in the Gulf of Mexico saw fire erupting to the water’s surface. Mexico’s state-owned oil company’s gas pipeline ruptured, sending huge flames boiling to the surface in the Gulf waters. Authorities dispatched fire control boats to pump more water over the flames. Pemex, as the company is known, says nobody was injured in the incident.
 
The company says it brought the gas leak under control about five hours later. However, the accident lit up the ocean with balls of flame boiling up from below the surface of the Gulf of Mexico.

“This is not caused by climate change, it is what is causing climate change”

Scott Hamilton

Watch this weeks full episode of ticker climate:

Holly is an anchor and reporter at Ticker. She's experienced in live reporting, and has previously covered the Covid-19 pandemic on-location. She's passionate about telling stories in business, climate and health.

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Trump’s campaign tactic – debase and disgrace the legal process

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Donald Trump, former president of the United States, hated Arraignment Day I in Manhattan two months ago, the first time a former president had been criminally charged. 

Trump was being forced against his will into a proceeding he had utter contempt for.  He was being arrested and fingerprinted and photographed under an indictment under the jurisdiction of Manhattan in New York City for allegations of hush money payments and fraudulent bookkeeping practices to conceal criminal activity. Trump heard the charges read out against him and he entered a plea of not guilty.

Trump had a terrible day. Trump wore a scowl throughout. His countenance was fearsome.  What Trump hated most about his arraignment in New York is that he had to sit at a table with his counsel side by side with him — equal to him — and with the judge above him looking down on him. Trump could not control the discussion and could not interrupt to make his points.

Trump was subordinate to the judge. He was subordinate to no one as president.

Arraignment Day II

Arraignment Day II in Miami will be worse from Trump, even more stressful.  The charges are substantially more serious:  the alleged violation of federal criminal statutes involving the alleged mishandling and illegal possession of classified documents, lying to legal authorities, and obstruction of justice.  Potential penalties run to years in prison and millions of dollars in fines.

Trump throughout his business life had always crafted his affairs to avoid being a defendant. But in his term in office, he was caught up in it big time. He was a defendant in two impeachment trials – again, unprecedented events – and left office in disgrace.

But Trump does not feel disgraced. He never does.  Trump does not have a reverse gear.  He never retreats.  Never admits. Never concedes. Never yields.  Trump is never embarrassed. Trump never feels ashamed. When something goes wrong, it is always the fault of someone else.

And Trump never repents.

Trump can feel this way because Trump is waging war on behalf of his armies in “the final battle” for the future of the county. In his first, fiery post-indictment speech in Georgia, Trump said, “They’ve launched one witch hunt after another to try and stop our movement, to thwart the will of the American people.  In the end, they’re not coming after me. They’re coming after you … “Either we have a Deep State, or we have a Democracy…Either the Deep State destroys America, or WE destroy the Deep State.”

It is a powerful formulation, and his true believers love it.

Hours later, In North Carolina, Trump mainlined his distilled message for the Republican crowd:

“We are a failing nation. We are a nation in decline. And now these radical left lunatics want to interfere with our elections by using law enforcement.

It’s totally corrupt and we cannot let it happen.

This is the final battle.

With you at my side we will demolish the Deep State.

We will expel the warmongers from our government.

We will drive out the globalists.

We will cast out the communists.

We will throw off the sick political class that hates our country.

We will roll out the fake news media.

We will defeat Joe Bide and we will liberate America from those villains once and for all.”

Any lesser mortal would be staggered by these events.  Any other presidential candidate would be driven from the race.  But not Trump.

Debase and disgrace

Trump is using the same playbook today as he successfully triggered after being charged in New York:  debase and disgrace the legal process by terming it completely political.  Trump said the federal indictment is “election interference at the highest level.”

Almost every other Republican running for president has adopted this line, insulating Trump from pressure to leave the field.

Trump’s chief opponent, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said after these indictments: “The weaponization of federal law enforcement represents a mortal threat to a free society. We have for years witnessed an uneven application of the law depending upon political affiliation.”

Republican congressperson Nancy Mace: “This is a banana republic. I can’t believe this is happening.” Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: “Democrats are arresting their political enemies. and they work together in their corrupt ways to get it done.”

Trump is using his affliction to raise millions of dollars from his base.

Trump will likely face Arraignment Day III in Georgia in August.  A state prosecutor is expected to charge Trump with criminal interference in the certification of Georgia’s vote for Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election.

As of now, there is no sign of cracks in Trump’s support among Republican voters.  There is no surge to another candidate.  What remains to be seen is whether Republican voters, as they see Trump spend his days in courtrooms and his evenings at rallies around the country, reach a conclusion that this is a spectacle too far, too much to bear, and that they want to turn to another conservative populist who stands for them in the political trials— and not the criminal trials – of 2024.

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Donald Trump’s legal woes will serve him well

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It’s not often that a U.S. President faces federal indictment, but if it’s going to happen to anyone, it might as well be Donald Trump first.

The news that Donald Trump is facing a federal investigation over the removal of secret documents from the White House in 2021 came as no surprise.

Keen watches of the Washington soap opera have seen this playbook before, albeit in a different form.

There is no doubt that Donald Trump is a Washington outsider. But as seriously damaged as he may be (thanks to the events of January 6), his support base has only grown whenever he faces scrutiny.

For his supporters, his legal woes mirror their own relationship with the government – a giant, unfair beast that picks and chooses its fights.

Trump is accused of storing sensitive documents—including those concerning matters of national security—in boxes, some even in a shower.

The documents were seized last August when investigators from the FBI executed a search warrant at Mar-a-Lago.

The Department of Justice has historically avoided charging people who are running for public office. Whether they should do that is a debate for another day. But it’s happening now. And it’s making it all too easy for Trump to claim there is a concerted campaign to get him away from the White House.

Trump exposed the deep state. IF they exist, they probably don’t want him back in power. Whether they exist doesn’t matter really, because plenty of Trump’s supporters agree with him, and believe the secret state is working against them. Call it QAnon, call it a conspiracy – it doesn’t matter in a democracy.

The DoJ now has to go all in. Failing to secure a conviction would be a serious embarrassment for the department.

This is the second time Trump has been indicted in recent months, yet the opinion polls show he only increases his popularity among MAGA and Republican voters. It leaves the Republican party in a difficult position. Support their leading candidate or support the law?

As other Republicans rallied around the embattled candidate, Trump held on to his loyal base of supporters.

For the Democrats, and for Biden, another reality will soon sink in – if Trump becomes President, and they lose office next year, how will a Trump-run DoJ deal with them?

Broadly, the tit-for-tat one-up-manship of U.S. politics is breaking tradition and potentially breaking the country.

 

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